Aerial view of 33070, Florida

33070 (Key Largo)
Housing Market & Home Values

ZIP code market report · Monroe County, FL

Median sale price $905,000, up 8.9% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 86 days.

40 communities reporting265 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 62
Live Market Pulse
62/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
Buyers are negotiating roughly 9% off asking. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh October 3, 2026 at 11:31 AM ET.
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Live · 33070 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$905K ▲
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
up 8.9% vs the prior 12 months
+8.9% ▲
1-yr price change
n = 265 recent sales
$290/sf ▼
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
-25.8% vs prior yr
91.5% ▼
Sale vs ask
Monroe County: 91.4% · -0.2pp vs prior yr
$960K ▲
Monroe County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · +1.1% vs a year ago
Tempo
86days ▲
Median DOM · closed
Monroe County: 86 days · +17.0 days vs prior yr
71%
Under contract
Monroe County: 100%
Market context
19% ▼
Listings with price cuts
Monroe County · Zillow · -0.8pp vs prior month
1,309 ▼
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -4.0% vs prior month
8% ▲
New construction
share of recent sales · +3.8pp vs prior yr
62/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
40
Communities reporting
of 70 tracked in 33070
Economy & people · county layer
$82,430
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
81,840
County population
+7.2% since 2018
11.6×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
63%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$3,943/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
✓ $3.5B+ sold✓ 10,000+ customers served✓ Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends✓ 800+ five-star reviews✓ Licensed FL MLS data✓ Updated daily
Today's Take · October 3, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks →
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

71% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 8.9% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 91.5% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 62
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage38
Seller leverage62

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 71% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 11.6× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33070 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Analysis

The read on 33070 (Key Largo)

The median sale price across 33070 currently stands at $905,000, up 8.9% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $290 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 86 days. Sellers are capturing 91.5% of their original asking price on average.

Zillow's home value index for Monroe County stands at $959,843. About 19% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33070 is 62 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 3, 2026.

Trends & History

33070 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $391,719 in 2012 and $1,212,721 over the last recorded year — 210% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (4,873 recorded sales)

$372K$801K$1.23M$1.21M2012: $392K2013: $397K2014: $389K2015: $452K2016: $503K2017: $484K2018: $539K2019: $639K2020: $620K2021: $724K2022: $995K2023: $1.01M2024: $1.13M2025: $1.14M2026: $1.21M20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

28d85d141d86d2012: 139d2013: 121d2014: 117d2015: 104d2016: 92d2017: 86d2018: 96d2019: 97d2020: 100d2021: 48d2022: 31d2023: 65d2024: 66d2025: 69d2026: 86d20122015201920232026

Home value trend · Monroe County (Zillow ZHVI)

$942K$951K$960K$960KAug '25: $950KSep '25: $945KOct '25: $943KNov '25: $943KDec '25: $942KJan '26: $944KFeb '26: $947KMar '26: $951KApr '26: $953KMay '26: $954KJun '26: $955KJul '26: $956KAug '26: $960KAug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

1,2771,4061,5341,309Aug '25: 1,374Sep '25: 1,308Oct '25: 1,283Nov '25: 1,299Dec '25: 1,348Jan '26: 1,415Feb '26: 1,476Mar '26: 1,529Apr '26: 1,526May '26: 1,492Jun '26: 1,422Jul '26: 1,364Aug '26: 1,309Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26

Daily active vs pending · Monroe County (MLS)

2037661,330Aug 10 · Active: 1,271Aug 11 · Active: 1,266Aug 12 · Active: 1,266Aug 13 · Active: 1,265Aug 15 · Active: 1,257Aug 17 · Active: 1,254Aug 19 · Active: 1,248Aug 22 · Active: 1,238Aug 23 · Active: 1,240Aug 28 · Active: 1,228Aug 29 · Active: 1,224Aug 30 · Active: 1,221Aug 31 · Active: 1,218Sep 07 · Active: 1,308Sep 09 · Active: 1,303Sep 11 · Active: 1,295Sep 12 · Active: 1,295Sep 13 · Active: 1,287Sep 14 · Active: 1,291Sep 15 · Active: 1,280Sep 16 · Active: 1,276Sep 17 · Active: 1,276Sep 19 · Active: 1,285Sep 20 · Active: 1,280Sep 21 · Active: 1,275Sep 22 · Active: 1,274Sep 23 · Active: 1,271Sep 24 · Active: 1,271Sep 25 · Active: 1,275Sep 26 · Active: 1,281Sep 28 · Active: 1,280Sep 29 · Active: 1,271Oct 01 · Active: 1,260Aug 10Sep 12Oct 01ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$900K$902K$905K$905KSep 12: $900KSep 13: $900KSep 14: $900KSep 15: $900KSep 16: $900KSep 17: $900KSep 19: $900KSep 20: $905KSep 21: $905KSep 22: $905KSep 23: $905KSep 24: $905KSep 25: $905KSep 26: $905KSep 28: $905KSep 29: $905KSep 30: $905KOct 01: $905KOct 03: $905KSep 12Sep 16Sep 22Sep 28Oct 03
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33070

Who’s moving here
-713 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: CA, IL, MD. Movers arriving report ~$170,384 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$4,380/yr avg premium

1,542 Citizens policies in force in Monroe County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Monroe purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
279 units permitted -16% YoY

239 single-family · 40 multi-family · 3.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
KEY LARGO NORTH - MARNIER'S CLUB ▲ 45%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Monroe

MarketMedianActiveScore
33070 ← this page$905K—62
31029$505K1847Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
KEY LARGO NORTH - MARNIER'S CLUBKey Largo$1.41M▲ 45%
VENETIAN SHORESPlantation Key$2.61M▲ 16%
PLANT KEY COLONYPlantation Key$1.61M▲ 15%
SILVER PALM PARKMiami$659K▲ 13%
LARGO SOUND PARKKey Largo$760K▲ 7%
Prices cooling fastest
CROSS KEY WATERWAYSKey Largo$1.24M▼ 25%
CALUSA CAMPGROUNDKey Largo$315K▼ 19%
OCEAN HARBORPlantation Key$1.15M▼ 18%
EXECUTIVE BAYPlantation Key$572K▼ 9%
INDIAN WATERWAYSPlantation Key$1.77M▼ 1%
Most homes for sale
SILVER PALM PARKMiami$659K4
Selling fastest
INDIAN WATERWAYSPlantation Key$1.77M43 days
TWIN LAKESKey Largo$1.58M54 days
BUCCANEER POINTKey Largo$2.46M62 days
SILVER PALM PARKMiami$659K62 days
LARGO SOUND PARKKey Largo$760K63 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33070 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33070 — the Momentum Score reads 62/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33070 becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in 33070 is $905,000, up 8.9% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 91.5% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33070?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are CROSS KEY WATERWAYS (-25%); CALUSA CAMPGROUND (-19%); OCEAN HARBOR (-18%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33070 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are INDIAN WATERWAYS (43 days); TWIN LAKES (54 days); BUCCANEER POINT (62 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 86 days.

Questions

33070 (Key Largo) housing market FAQ

Is it a good time to sell a house in 33070?

By the numbers, sellers in 33070 are getting 91.5% of asking price and going under contract in about 86 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 33070 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33070 median sale prices are up 8.9% year over year, and 71% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 33070?

The median sale price in 33070 is currently $905,000, up 8.9% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 3, 2026.

Is 33070 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. 33070 scores 62 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33070?

The typical home in 33070 goes under contract in about 86 days, per current MLS data.

Are home prices in 33070 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 8.9% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33070 (Key Largo). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 3, 2026 at 11:31 AM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.