Mexico Beach
Housing Market

City market report · Bay County, FL · 4 ZIP codes

Median sale price $274,900, down 9.8% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 182 days, 15 homes on the market.

3 communities reporting32 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 23
Live Market Pulse
23/100
Momentum
Soft Market
Prices are down 10% year over year — negotiating room is real. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh October 5, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET.
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Live · Mexico Beach Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$275K ▼
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: Medium
down 9.8% vs the prior 12 months
-9.8% ▼
1-yr price change
n = 32 recent sales
91.5%
Sale vs ask
Bay County: 94.0%
$344K ▼
Bay County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -0.4% vs a year ago
Tempo
182days
Median DOM · closed
Bay County: 71 days
17%
Under contract
Bay County: 24%
15 · 3 ▼35
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
Market context
26% ▼
Listings with price cuts
Bay County · Zillow · -0.3pp vs prior month
3,171 ▼
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -1.0% vs prior month
84%
New construction
share of recent sales
23/100
Momentum score
Soft Market
3
Communities reporting
of 16 tracked in Mexico Beach
Economy & people · county layer
$70,188
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
181,368
County population
-0.6% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
68%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,653/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
✓ $3.5B+ sold✓ 10,000+ customers served✓ Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends✓ 800+ five-star reviews✓ Licensed FL MLS data✓ Updated daily
Today's Take · October 5, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks →
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

17% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 9.8% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 91.5% of asking. Taken together, the data leans toward buyers — leverage is real for those ready to use it.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 23
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage77
Seller leverage23

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors buyers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 17% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Mexico Beach data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
— mo · buyer-tilted · 9 active
$300K–$500K
— mo · buyer-tilted · 6 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Analysis

The read on Mexico Beach

The median sale price across Mexico Beach currently stands at $274,900, down 9.8% from a year ago. The typical home goes under contract in about 182 days. Sellers are capturing 91.5% of their original asking price on average.

There are 15 active listings on the market, with 3 more already under contract.

Mexico Beach prices sit below the Bay County median by roughly 26%. Zillow's home value index for Bay County stands at $344,049. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Mexico Beach is 23 of 100 — soft market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 5, 2026.

Trends & History

Where the market is heading

Home value trend · Bay County (Zillow ZHVI)

$341K$344K$347K$344KAug '25: $345KSep '25: $344KOct '25: $342KNov '25: $342KDec '25: $341KJan '26: $342KFeb '26: $344KMar '26: $346KApr '26: $346KMay '26: $346KJun '26: $345KJul '26: $345KAug '26: $344KAug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

2,9563,3223,6883,171Aug '25: 3,674Sep '25: 3,536Oct '25: 3,402Nov '25: 3,251Dec '25: 3,123Jan '26: 3,030Feb '26: 2,971Mar '26: 3,026Apr '26: 3,109May '26: 3,208Jun '26: 3,224Jul '26: 3,202Aug '26: 3,171Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26

Daily active vs pending · Bay County (MLS)

4861,7623,038Aug 22 · Active: 2,988Aug 23 · Active: 2,985Aug 28 · Active: 2,986Aug 29 · Active: 2,985Aug 30 · Active: 2,980Aug 31 · Active: 2,976Sep 07 · Active: 2,936Sep 09 · Active: 2,922Sep 11 · Active: 2,950Sep 12 · Active: 2,944Sep 13 · Active: 2,935Sep 14 · Active: 2,924Sep 15 · Active: 2,916Sep 16 · Active: 2,912Sep 17 · Active: 2,915Sep 19 · Active: 2,914Sep 20 · Active: 2,904Sep 21 · Active: 2,904Sep 22 · Active: 2,914Sep 23 · Active: 2,914Sep 24 · Active: 2,928Sep 25 · Active: 2,939Sep 26 · Active: 2,949Sep 28 · Active: 2,945Sep 29 · Active: 2,928Oct 01 · Active: 2,893Aug 22Sep 16Oct 01ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$263K$275K$286K$275KAug 06: $275KAug 08: $275KAug 09: $275KAug 10: $275KAug 11: $275KAug 12: $275KAug 13: $275KAug 15: $275KAug 17: $275KAug 18: $275KAug 19: $275KAug 20: $275KAug 21: $275KAug 22: $275KAug 23: $275KAug 24: $275KAug 26: $275KAug 28: $275KAug 29: $275KAug 30: $275KAug 31: $275KSep 01: $275KSep 04: $275KSep 05: $275KSep 06: $275KSep 07: $275KSep 08: $275KSep 09: $275KSep 10: $275KSep 11: $275KSep 12: $275KSep 13: $275KSep 14: $275KSep 15: $275KSep 16: $275KSep 17: $275KSep 19: $275KSep 20: $275KSep 21: $275KSep 22: $275KSep 23: $275KSep 24: $275KSep 25: $275KSep 26: $275KSep 28: $275KSep 29: $275KSep 30: $275KOct 01: $275KOct 03: $275KOct 04: $275KOct 05: $275KAug 06Aug 21Sep 07Sep 21Oct 05
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Mexico Beach

Who’s moving here
+4,173 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: GA, AL, TX, AZ. Movers arriving report ~$74,894 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,928/yr avg premium

1,264 Citizens policies in force in Bay County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Bay purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
2,072 units permitted -16% YoY

1,685 single-family · 387 multi-family · 11.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Salt Creek At Mb Townhomes ▼ 10%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Buyers: ask for concessions — rate buydowns and repair credits are back on the table. Sellers: presentation and the first two weekends decide your outcome; price accordingly.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Bay County

MarketMedianActiveScore
Mexico Beach ← this page$275K1523
Panama City Beach$425K1,40039Open →
Panama City$304K49653Open →
Lynn Haven$300K6852Open →
Youngstown$299K1251Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Salt Creek At Mb TownhomesMexico Beach$275K▲ -10%
Prices cooling fastest
Salt Creek At Mb TownhomesMexico Beach$275K▼ 10%
Most homes for sale
Salt Creek At Mb TownhomesMexico Beach$275K9
Selling fastest
Salt Creek At Mb TownhomesMexico Beach$275K186 days
Explore Deeper

Mexico Beach ZIP codes

Most active communities

More on Mexico Beach

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Mexico Beach right now?

The data says conditions currently favor buyers in Mexico Beach — the Momentum Score reads 23/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Mexico Beach becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Mexico Beach is $274,900, down 9.8% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 91.5% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in Mexico Beach?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Salt Creek At Mb Townhomes (-10%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which Mexico Beach neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Salt Creek At Mb Townhomes (186 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 182 days.

How does Mexico Beach compare to the rest of Bay County?

Mexico Beach's median of $274,900 runs 26% below the county-wide median of $372,176, and homes here take 182 days to go under contract versus 71 county-wide.

Questions

Mexico Beach housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in Mexico Beach right now?

As of October 5, 2026, the Mexico Beach housing market favors buyers: the median sale price is $274,900 (down 9.8% year over year), 15 homes are for sale, and the typical home goes under contract in about 182 days.

How much is a house in Mexico Beach?

The median home sold for $274,900 in Mexico Beach over the last 12 months; asking prices on the 15 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in Mexico Beach?

By the numbers, sellers in Mexico Beach are getting 91.5% of asking price and going under contract in about 182 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the Mexico Beach housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Mexico Beach median sale prices are down 9.8% year over year, and 17% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in Mexico Beach?

The median sale price in Mexico Beach is currently $274,900, down 9.8% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 5, 2026.

Is Mexico Beach a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors buyers. Mexico Beach scores 23 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Mexico Beach?

The typical home in Mexico Beach goes under contract in about 182 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in Mexico Beach?

There are approximately 15 active listings in Mexico Beach as of October 5, 2026.

Are home prices in Mexico Beach rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 9.8% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Mexico Beach. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 5, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.