Florida Housing Intelligence › Monroe County › Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada
Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada, Florida

Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada
Housing Market

City market report · Monroe County, FL · 2 ZIP codes

Median sale price $939,500, down 6.0% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 143 days, 28 homes on the market.

4 communities reporting32 sales analyzedData as of Nov 9, 2026Momentum Score 21
Live Market Pulse
21/100
Momentum
Soft Market
10+ months of homes to choose from. Calculated from licensed MLS data · last refresh November 9, 2026.
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Live · Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$940K ▼
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: Medium
down 6.0% vs the prior 12 months
-6.0% ▼
1-yr price change
n = 32 closed sales, MLS, 12 mo
89.4% ▼
Sale vs ask
Monroe County: 92.5% · -3.3pp vs prior yr
$963K ▲
Monroe County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · +1.9% vs a year ago
Tempo
10.5mo
Supply
28 for sale ÷ (32 sales ÷ 12) · 3 to 6 months is the balanced band
143days ▲
Median DOM · closed
Monroe County: 84 days · +110.0 days vs prior yr
28 · 3 ▼3
For sale · pending
MLS counts as of Nov 9, 2026
32 ▲
Sold · last 12 mo
closed sales, MLS, last 12 full months · +52.4% vs prior 12 mo
Market context
17% ▼
Listings with price cuts
Monroe County · Zillow · -1.7pp vs prior month
1,255 ▼
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -4.1% vs prior month
6%
New construction
share of recent sales · flat vs prior yr
21/100
Momentum score
Soft Market
4
Communities reporting
of 14 tracked in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada
Economy & people · county layer
$87,738
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
81,860
County population
+7.3% since 2018
11.0×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
66%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$4,129/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
✓ $3.5B+ sold✓ 10,000+ customers served✓ Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends✓ 800+ five-star reviews✓ Licensed FL MLS data✓ Data as of Nov 9, 2026
Today's Take · November 9, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks →
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 10.5 months of supply — heavy by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark. Prices are down 6.0% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 89.4% of asking. Taken together, the data leans toward buyers — leverage is real for those ready to use it.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 21
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage79
Seller leverage21

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors buyers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — heavy supply keeps the pressure on sellers; softening is the path of least resistance.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 11.0× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Analysis

The read on Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada

The median sale price across Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada currently stands at $939,500, down 6.0% from a year ago. The typical home goes under contract in about 143 days. Homes are selling for about 89.4% of their original asking price.

There are 28 active listings on the market, with 3 more already under contract. With 32 closed sales over the trailing 12 months (28 listings divided by 32 / 12), that works out to 10.5 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the 3-to-6-month balanced band.

Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada prices sit above the Monroe County median by roughly 4%. Zillow's home value index for Monroe County stands at $962,885. About 17% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada is 21 of 100 — soft market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of November 9, 2026.

Trends & History

Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $331,071 in 2012 and $1,181,588 over the last recorded year — 257% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (260 recorded sales)

$313K$756K$1.20M$1.18M2012: $331K2013: $546K2014: $437K2015: $343K2017: $633K2018: $563K2019: $671K2020: $800K2021: $797K2022: $790K2023: $1.00M2024: $983K2026: $1.18M20122015201920222026

Days on market by year

21d258d495d174d2012: 242d2013: 273d2014: 168d2015: 486d2017: 173d2018: 264d2019: 117d2020: 194d2021: 99d2022: 78d2023: 31d2024: 64d2026: 174d20122015201920222026

Home value trend · Monroe County (Zillow ZHVI)

$942K$953K$963K$963KSep '25: $945KOct '25: $943KNov '25: $942KDec '25: $942KJan '26: $944KFeb '26: $947KMar '26: $951KApr '26: $953KMay '26: $954KJun '26: $954KJul '26: $956KAug '26: $960KSep '26: $963KSep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26Sep '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

1,2491,3921,5341,255Sep '25: 1,308Oct '25: 1,283Nov '25: 1,299Dec '25: 1,348Jan '26: 1,415Feb '26: 1,476Mar '26: 1,529Apr '26: 1,526May '26: 1,492Jun '26: 1,422Jul '26: 1,364Aug '26: 1,309Sep '26: 1,255Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26Sep '26

Daily active vs pending · Monroe County (MLS)

1597801,400Aug 10 · Active: 1,271Aug 11 · Active: 1,266Aug 12 · Active: 1,266Aug 13 · Active: 1,265Aug 15 · Active: 1,257Aug 17 · Active: 1,254Aug 19 · Active: 1,248Aug 22 · Active: 1,238Aug 23 · Active: 1,240Aug 28 · Active: 1,228Aug 29 · Active: 1,224Aug 30 · Active: 1,221Aug 31 · Active: 1,218Sep 07 · Active: 1,308Sep 09 · Active: 1,303Sep 11 · Active: 1,295Sep 12 · Active: 1,295Sep 13 · Active: 1,287Sep 14 · Active: 1,291Sep 15 · Active: 1,280Sep 16 · Active: 1,276Sep 17 · Active: 1,276Sep 19 · Active: 1,285Sep 20 · Active: 1,280Sep 21 · Active: 1,275Sep 22 · Active: 1,274Sep 23 · Active: 1,271Sep 24 · Active: 1,271Sep 25 · Active: 1,275Sep 26 · Active: 1,281Sep 28 · Active: 1,280Sep 29 · Active: 1,271Oct 01 · Active: 1,260Oct 04 · Active: 1,259Oct 05 · Active: 1,257Oct 06 · Active: 1,249Oct 07 · Active: 1,255Oct 09 · Active: 1,267Oct 10 · Active: 1,272Oct 11 · Active: 1,270Oct 12 · Active: 1,276Oct 14 · Active: 1,296Oct 17 · Active: 1,299Oct 18 · Active: 1,302Oct 19 · Active: 1,313Oct 20 · Active: 1,323Oct 23 · Active: 1,343Oct 26 · Active: 1,342Oct 27 · Active: 1,348Oct 28 · Active: 1,353Oct 29 · Active: 1,359Oct 30 · Active: 1,370Oct 31 · Active: 1,376Nov 01 · Active: 1,358Nov 02 · Active: 1,358Nov 03 · Active: 1,364Nov 05 · Active: 1,365Nov 06 · Active: 1,371Nov 08 · Active: 1,367Nov 09 · Active: 1,364Aug 10Sep 28Nov 09ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$939K$954K$970K$940KSep 12: $969KSep 13: $969KSep 14: $969KSep 15: $969KSep 16: $969KSep 17: $969KSep 19: $969KSep 20: $969KSep 21: $969KSep 22: $969KSep 23: $969KSep 24: $969KSep 25: $969KSep 26: $969KSep 28: $969KSep 29: $969KSep 30: $969KOct 01: $969KOct 03: $969KOct 04: $969KOct 05: $969KOct 06: $969KOct 07: $969KOct 09: $969KOct 10: $969KOct 11: $969KOct 12: $969KOct 14: $969KOct 17: $969KOct 18: $969KOct 19: $969KOct 20: $969KOct 23: $969KOct 26: $969KOct 27: $969KOct 28: $969KOct 29: $969KOct 30: $969KOct 31: $969KNov 01: $969KNov 02: $969KNov 05: $940KNov 06: $940KNov 08: $940KNov 09: $940KSep 12Sep 24Oct 07Oct 26Nov 09
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada

Who’s moving here
-713 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: CA, IL, MD. Movers arriving report ~$170,384 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$6,463/yr avg Citizens premium

16,693 Citizens personal-lines policies in Monroe County; average premium $6,671 before the 2026 change, $6,463 after (-3.1%). Citizens is the state-backed insurer of last resort; budget insurance into any Monroe purchase. Source: Citizens Property Insurance Corporation, 2026 Approved Rate Changes by County (ALL PERSONAL LINES COMBINED table).

Building pipeline
279 units permitted -16% YoY

239 single-family · 40 multi-family · 3.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

What we’re telling clients today

Buyers: ask for concessions — rate buydowns and repair credits are back on the table. Sellers: presentation and the first two weekends decide your outcome; price accordingly.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Explore Deeper

Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada ZIP codes

Most active communities

STRATTONS · $1.89MPALMS OF ISLA · $625KBEACON REEF · $905KTARPON FLATS · $969K

More on Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada guides & data

Everything we publish about Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada: live listings by type, prices and market data, taxes, insurance and what it costs to live here.

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada right now?

The data says conditions currently favor buyers in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada — the Momentum Score reads 21/100 with 10.5 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada is $939,500, down 6.0% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 89.4% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

How does Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada compare to the rest of Monroe County?

Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada's median of $939,500 runs 4% above the county-wide median of $907,500, and homes here take 143 days to go under contract versus 84 county-wide.

Questions

Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada right now?

As of November 9, 2026, the Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada housing market favors buyers: the median sale price is $939,500 (down 6.0% year over year), 28 homes are for sale against 32 sales in the last 12 months, which is 10.5 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 143 days.

How much is a house in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada?

The median home sold for $939,500 in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada over the last 12 months; asking prices on the 28 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada?

By the numbers, sellers in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada are getting 89.4% of asking price and going under contract in about 143 days with 10.5 months of supply. Under three months of supply generally favors sellers, three to six is balanced, and over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada median sale prices are down 6.0% year over year, inventory stands at 10.5 months of supply. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada?

The median sale price in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada is currently $939,500, down 6.0% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated November 9, 2026.

Is Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors buyers. Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada scores 21 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 10.5 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada?

The typical home in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada goes under contract in about 143 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada?

There are approximately 28 active listings in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada as of November 9, 2026.

Are home prices in Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 6.0% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use the MLS listing counts from the last data refresh (date below); the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: November 9, 2026

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Using these figures? Link to this page as the source so readers can see the live numbers; they refresh from Momentum Realty’s MLS and county data (as of 2026-11-12). Suggested attribution:
<a href="https://movewithmomentum.com/market/upper-matecumbe-key-islamorada">Upper Matecumbe Key Islamorada Housing Market: Median $940K — Momentum Realty</a>
Press and data requests: jon@movewithmomentum.com · Florida Housing Intelligence
Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.