Winter Haven
Housing Market

City market report · Polk County · 12 ZIP codes

Median sale price $308,400, down 2.6% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 65 days.

87 communities reporting804 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 52
Live Market Pulse
52/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
Tracking 87 communities across Winter Haven. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 16, 2026 at 7:48 PM ET.
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Live · Winter Haven Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$308K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 2.6% vs the prior 12 months
-2.6%
1-yr price change
n = 804 recent sales
$163/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Polk County: $174 · -7.1% vs prior yr
95.0%
Sale vs ask
Polk County: 95.6% · -0.3pp vs prior yr
$298K
Polk County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.7% vs a year ago
Tempo
65days
Median DOM · closed
Polk County: 58 days · +3.0 days vs prior yr
Market context
26%
Listings with price cuts
Polk County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
5,166
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.5% vs prior month
47%
New construction
share of recent sales · -1.1pp vs prior yr
19%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 36% · +1.5pp vs prior yr
52/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$63,644
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
760,961
County population
+13.8% since 2018
4.7×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
70%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,769/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 16, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Prices are down 2.6% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.0% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 52
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage48
Seller leverage52

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Winter Haven data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where Winter Haven is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (54 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on Winter Haven

The median sale price across Winter Haven currently stands at $308,400, down 2.6% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $163 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 65 days. Sellers are capturing 95.0% of their original asking price on average.

Zillow's home value index for Polk County stands at $298,058. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Winter Haven is 52 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 16, 2026.

Trends & History

Winter Haven since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $60,773 in 2012 and $297,654 over the last recorded year — 390% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 19% of recent sales, down from a 36% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (5,786 recorded sales)

$56K$183K$311K$298K2012: $61K2013: $84K2014: $87K2015: $134K2016: $156K2017: $160K2018: $181K2019: $182K2021: $251K2022: $294K2023: $301K2024: $306K2025: $299K2026: $298K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

3d44d86d66d2012: 62d2013: 44d2014: 46d2015: 69d2016: 59d2017: 61d2018: 71d2019: 85d2021: 5d2022: 10d2023: 19d2024: 40d2025: 63d2026: 66d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

17%27%37%19%2016: 36%2017: 35%2018: 28%2019: 24%2020: 19%2021: 18%2022: 33%2023: 21%2024: 21%2025: 17%2026: 19%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Polk County (Zillow ZHVI)

$298K$302K$307K$298KJul '25: $306KAug '25: $305KSep '25: $304KOct '25: $303KNov '25: $302KDec '25: $302KJan '26: $302KFeb '26: $302KMar '26: $301KApr '26: $301KMay '26: $300KJun '26: $299KJul '26: $298KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

5,0565,3545,6515,166Jul '25: 5,640Aug '25: 5,549Sep '25: 5,428Oct '25: 5,342Nov '25: 5,265Dec '25: 5,136Jan '26: 5,084Feb '26: 5,068Mar '26: 5,193Apr '26: 5,212May '26: 5,227Jun '26: 5,190Jul '26: 5,166Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Polk County (MLS)

1,6843,8295,973Aug 03 · Active: 5,584Aug 04 · Active: 5,523Aug 05 · Active: 5,552Aug 06 · Active: 5,566Aug 07 · Active: 5,587Aug 08 · Active: 5,593Aug 09 · Active: 5,599Aug 10 · Active: 5,585Aug 11 · Active: 5,567Aug 12 · Active: 5,606Aug 13 · Active: 5,607Aug 15 · Active: 5,600Aug 17 · Active: 5,562Aug 19 · Active: 5,572Aug 22 · Active: 5,630Aug 23 · Active: 5,646Aug 28 · Active: 5,637Aug 29 · Active: 5,656Aug 30 · Active: 5,646Aug 31 · Active: 5,638Sep 07 · Active: 5,799Sep 09 · Active: 5,793Sep 11 · Active: 5,864Sep 12 · Active: 5,881Sep 13 · Active: 5,888Sep 14 · Active: 5,863Sep 15 · Active: 5,855Sep 16 · Active: 5,835Aug 03Aug 22Sep 16ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$295K$308K$321K$308KAug 06: $308KAug 08: $308KAug 09: $308KAug 10: $308KAug 11: $308KAug 12: $308KAug 13: $308KAug 15: $308KAug 17: $308KAug 18: $308KAug 19: $308KAug 20: $308KAug 21: $308KAug 22: $308KAug 23: $308KAug 24: $308KAug 26: $308KAug 28: $308KAug 29: $308KAug 30: $308KAug 31: $308KSep 01: $308KSep 04: $308KSep 05: $308KSep 06: $308KSep 07: $308KSep 08: $308KSep 09: $308KSep 10: $308KSep 11: $308KSep 12: $308KSep 13: $308KSep 14: $308KSep 15: $308KSep 16: $308KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 08Sep 16
Single-family 86%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 6%Townhome 2%? 2%Manufactured 2%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Winter Haven

Who’s moving here
+18,556 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, PA, TX. Movers arriving report ~$56,322 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,931/yr avg premium

5,380 Citizens policies in force in Polk County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Polk purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
8,236 units permitted -21% YoY

6,725 single-family · 1,511 multi-family · 10.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
FOXHAVEN PH 03 ▼ 25%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Polk County

MarketMedianActiveScore
Winter Haven ← this page$308K52
Rockmart$242K1854Open →
Bartow$311K1271Open →
Cedartown$270K755Open →
Lakeland$328K652Open →
Haines City$310K149Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
LAKE ASHTON WEST PH 01Winter Haven$380K▲ 12%
PEACE CREEK RESERVE 40'SWinter Haven$284K▲ 3%
ASHTON COVEYWinter Haven$410K▲ 2%
JAN PHYL VILLAGEWinter Haven$224K▲ 2%
VILLAMARWinter Haven$308K▲ 2%
Prices cooling fastest
FOXHAVEN PH 03Winter Haven$147K▼ 25%
CYPRESSWOOD PATIO HOMESWinter Haven$252K▼ 14%
VIENNA SQUARE PH 01Winter Haven$230K▼ 13%
LUCERNE PARK RESERVEWinter Haven$250K▼ 9%
CYPRESS LANDING PH 02Winter Haven$238K▼ 8%
Selling fastest
FOXHAVEN PH 03Winter Haven$147K11 days
VILLA MAR 40'SWinter Haven$299K14 days
VIENNA SQUARE PH 01Winter Haven$230K20 days
JAN PHYL VILLAGEWinter Haven$224K21 days
LAKE SHIPP HEIGHTSWinter Haven$185K24 days
Explore Deeper

Winter Haven ZIP codes

Most active communities

More on Winter Haven

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Winter Haven right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Winter Haven — the Momentum Score reads 52/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Winter Haven becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Winter Haven is $308,400, down 2.6% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.0% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in Winter Haven?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are FOXHAVEN PH 03 (-25%); CYPRESSWOOD PATIO HOMES (-14%); VIENNA SQUARE PH 01 (-13%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which Winter Haven neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are FOXHAVEN PH 03 (11 days); VILLA MAR 40'S (14 days); VIENNA SQUARE PH 01 (20 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 65 days.

How does Winter Haven compare to the rest of Polk County?

Winter Haven's median of $308,400 runs 1% below the county-wide median of $311,230, and homes here take 65 days to go under contract versus 58 county-wide.

Questions

Winter Haven housing market FAQ

Is it a good time to sell a house in Winter Haven?

By the numbers, sellers in Winter Haven are getting 95.0% of asking price and going under contract in about 65 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the Winter Haven housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Winter Haven median sale prices are down 2.6% year over year. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in Winter Haven?

The median sale price in Winter Haven is currently $308,400, down 2.6% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 16, 2026.

Is Winter Haven a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. Winter Haven scores 52 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Winter Haven?

The typical home in Winter Haven goes under contract in about 65 days, per current MLS data.

Are home prices in Winter Haven rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 2.6% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Winter Haven. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 16, 2026 at 7:48 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.