Florida Housing IntelligencePolk County › 33884 (Winter Haven)
Aerial view of 33884, Florida

33884 (Winter Haven)
Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Polk County

Median sale price $308,400, down 0.4% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 57 days, 18 homes on the market.

56 communities reporting688 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 65
Live Market Pulse
65/100
Momentum
Healthy Market
Tracking 56 communities across 33884. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 26, 2026 at 8:37 PM ET.
Free · Built from today's data
Get My Custom 33884 (Winter Haven) Market Report

Your exact situation run against today's numbers: true comps, negotiation targets, and the off-market homes portals never show.

Selling instead? See what your home is worth today →

Live · 33884 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$308K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 0.4% vs the prior 12 months
-0.4%
1-yr price change
n = 688 recent sales
$163/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Polk County: $174 · -5.8% vs prior yr
95.6%
Sale vs ask
Polk County: 95.5% · -0.1pp vs prior yr
$298K
Polk County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.7% vs a year ago
Tempo
2.9mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
57days
Median DOM · closed
Polk County: 60 days · +3.0 days vs prior yr
38%
Under contract
Polk County: 11%
18 · 4 ▲16
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
51
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -3.5% vs prior yr
Market context
26%
Listings with price cuts
Polk County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
5,166
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.5% vs prior month
54%
New construction
share of recent sales · -4.3pp vs prior yr
19%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 37% · +1.5pp vs prior yr
65/100
Momentum score
Healthy Market
Economy & people · county layer
$63,644
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
760,961
County population
+13.8% since 2018
4.7×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
70%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,769/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 26, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 2.9 months of supply — tight by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 38% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 0.4% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.6% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a seller-leaning market.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 65
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage35
Seller leverage65

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 38% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33884 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33884 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (35 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33884 (Winter Haven)

The median sale price across 33884 currently stands at $308,400, down 0.4% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $163 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 57 days. Sellers are capturing 95.6% of their original asking price on average.

There are 18 active listings on the market, with 4 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 2.9 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 51 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Polk County stands at $298,058. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33884 is 65 of 100 — healthy market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 26, 2026.

Trends & History

33884 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $68,922 in 2012 and $310,843 over the last recorded year — 351% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 19% of recent sales, down from a 37% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (4,227 recorded sales)

$64K$190K$316K$311K2012: $69K2013: $84K2014: $95K2015: $135K2016: $165K2017: $175K2018: $179K2019: $133K2020: $152K2021: $233K2022: $307K2023: $310K2024: $310K2025: $305K2026: $311K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

7d42d76d58d2012: 75d2013: 60d2014: 56d2015: 63d2016: 59d2017: 63d2018: 55d2019: 67d2020: 49d2021: 15d2022: 9d2023: 17d2024: 37d2025: 55d2026: 58d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

17%27%37%19%2016: 34%2017: 37%2018: 32%2019: 29%2020: 24%2021: 23%2022: 35%2023: 23%2024: 23%2025: 18%2026: 19%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Polk County (Zillow ZHVI)

$298K$302K$307K$298KJul '25: $306KAug '25: $305KSep '25: $304KOct '25: $303KNov '25: $302KDec '25: $302KJan '26: $302KFeb '26: $302KMar '26: $301KApr '26: $301KMay '26: $300KJun '26: $299KJul '26: $298KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

5,0565,3545,6515,166Jul '25: 5,640Aug '25: 5,549Sep '25: 5,428Oct '25: 5,342Nov '25: 5,265Dec '25: 5,136Jan '26: 5,084Feb '26: 5,068Mar '26: 5,193Apr '26: 5,212May '26: 5,227Jun '26: 5,190Jul '26: 5,166Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Polk County (MLS)

1,7043,7155,726Aug 03 · Active: 5,584Aug 04 · Active: 5,523Aug 05 · Active: 5,552Aug 06 · Active: 5,566Aug 07 · Active: 5,587Aug 08 · Active: 5,593Aug 09 · Active: 5,599Aug 10 · Active: 5,585Aug 11 · Active: 5,567Aug 12 · Active: 5,606Aug 13 · Active: 5,607Aug 15 · Active: 5,600Aug 17 · Active: 5,562Aug 19 · Active: 5,572Aug 22 · Active: 5,630Aug 23 · Active: 5,646Aug 03Aug 11Aug 23ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$295K$308K$321K$308KAug 06: $308KAug 08: $308KAug 09: $308KAug 10: $308KAug 11: $308KAug 12: $308KAug 13: $308KAug 15: $308KAug 17: $308KAug 18: $308KAug 19: $308KAug 20: $308KAug 21: $308KAug 22: $308KAug 23: $308KAug 24: $308KAug 26: $308KAug 06Aug 11Aug 17Aug 21Aug 26
Single-family 87%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 6%? 4%Manufactured 1%Villa 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33884

Who’s moving here
+18,556 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, PA, TX. Movers arriving report ~$56,322 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,931/yr avg premium

5,380 Citizens policies in force in Polk County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Polk purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
8,236 units permitted -21% YoY

6,725 single-family · 1,511 multi-family · 10.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
LAS VERDES ▲ 45%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Polk

MarketMedianActiveScore
33884 ← this page$308K1865
33813$384K4147Open →
33837$357K3652Open →
33823$369K1973Open →
33897$395K1260Open →
33810$318K956Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
LAS VERDESDelray Beach$242K▲ 45%
LAKE ASHTON WEST PH 01Winter Haven$380K▲ 12%
GARDEN GROVEWinter Park$261K▲ 9%
HEATHER GLEN PH IPalmetto$320K▲ 7%
PEACE CREEK RESERVE 40'SWinter Haven$284K▲ 3%
Prices cooling fastest
FOXHAVEN PH 03Winter Haven$147K▼ 25%
FLORIDA HIGHLANDSDunnellon$186K▼ 22%
CYPRESSWOOD PATIO HOMESWinter Haven$252K▼ 14%
VIENNA SQUARE PH 01Winter Haven$230K▼ 13%
CYPRESS LANDING PH 02Winter Haven$238K▼ 8%
Most homes for sale
VALHALLAWinter Haven$360K16
LAS VERDESDelray Beach$242K2
Selling fastest
FOXHAVEN PH 03Winter Haven$147K11 days
VILLA MAR 40'SWinter Haven$299K14 days
LAKESIDE PRESERVELakeland$383K18 days
HEATHER GLEN PH IPalmetto$320K18 days
VIENNA SQUARE PH 01Winter Haven$230K20 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33884 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor sellers in 33884 — the Momentum Score reads 65/100 with 2.9 months of supply. Buyers should come fully underwritten; sellers still set the pace here. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33884 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33884 is $308,400, down 0.4% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.6% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33884?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are FOXHAVEN PH 03 (-25%); FLORIDA HIGHLANDS (-22%); CYPRESSWOOD PATIO HOMES (-14%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33884 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are FOXHAVEN PH 03 (11 days); VILLA MAR 40'S (14 days); LAKESIDE PRESERVE (18 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 57 days.

Questions

33884 (Winter Haven) housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in 33884?

The median sale price in 33884 is currently $308,400, down 0.4% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 26, 2026.

Is 33884 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. 33884 scores 65 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 2.9 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33884?

The typical home in 33884 goes under contract in about 57 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33884?

There are approximately 18 active listings in 33884 as of August 26, 2026.

Are home prices in 33884 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 0.4% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33884 (Winter Haven). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

Talk to founders
Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 26, 2026 at 8:37 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.