Falcon Run
Homes for Sale in Middleburg, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Falcon Run sits in Middleburg, out in Clay County, and the honest read is that this is a location-and-condition market more than a headline-price market. We don't have a running median or day-count to quote you here, so I won't pretend one exists — what I can tell you is that pricing in a pocket like this gets set at the property level: lot, updates, and how move-in ready a home is will move a number more than the neighborhood name ever will.
For a buyer, that means the work is in comparing houses, not chasing a community average. For a seller, it means condition and presentation are your levers — the spread between a tired home and an updated one in the same area tends to be wide, and that gap is where you either lose money or make it.
Figures in this note are as of July 12, 2026. The live market numbers elsewhere on this page update nightly and are newer.
The 60-Second Overview
Falcon Run is a Middleburg address in Clay County, the kind of Northeast Florida location where you trade a longer drive into the urban core for more house and lot than you'd get closer in.
Pre-construction details are compiled from public records, builder announcements and builder listings, and are subject to change without notice; figures are deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Momentum Research figures are our own analysis. This page describes homes, pricing and community attributes, not residents.
Who Falcon Run is best for.
Best for
- Buyers prioritizing space and lot size over proximity to the urban core
- Buyers comfortable trading a longer commute for a lower per-square-foot cost
- Buyers willing to shop on individual home condition and negotiate on the specifics
Probably not for
- Buyers who need a short daily commute into Jacksonville's core
- Buyers who want walkable, dense in-town retail and dining nearby
- Buyers who want a turnkey purchase without scrutinizing each home's condition
The market around Falcon Run
Falcon Run is too small for its own price trend, so here is the market around it.
In ZIP 32068, 409 homes are on the market and 22% are under contract — a steady corner of Middleburg.
Across Clay County, 1,279 homes are active and 403 pending (24% under contract).
ZIP and county figures describe the wider market, not Falcon Run specifically. Momentum Research analysis of MLS records.
Falcon Run by the numbers
From county property records and closed MLS sales for the Falcon Run subdivision: 6 homes on record; built 1978–2000; typical size about 1,482 heated sq ft; 3 bedrooms is the median.
| Year | Recorded sales | Median price |
|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 1 | $225,000 |
| 2005 | 2 | $173,750 |
| 2006 | 1 | $89,900 |
| 2017 | 1 | $57,000 |
| 2022 | 1 | $237,000 |
Newest recorded sale: $237,000 on 2022-12-15.
Recorded data as of 2026-09-12; counts cover addresses tagged to this subdivision in the public record, not every parcel. Not an appraisal.
Recent Developments in Falcon Run
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Falcon Run, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated November 2026.
- October 2026Schools
Clay school district says one-mill referendum renews, not raises, property tax
The Clay County school district says the referendum on the upcoming ballot renews the one-mill levy voters first approved in 2020 at the same rate. The money funds school law enforcement contracts and compensation to retain and attract teachers and support staff. A citizens' advisory committee reviews spending, and the district says non-renewal would leave a funding shortfall.
What it may mean for the marketThe outcome sets school operating funding and staffing support for Clay County without changing the current millage rate. The site is about 14 miles southeast of Falcon Run.
Source: Clay Today - September 2026Infrastructure
County Road 220 widening and Little Black Creek bridge replacement open to traffic in Clay County
The project finished ahead of schedule, with a new four-lane bridge over Little Black Creek replacing a 1947 structure. Phase 1 began in December 2024 with intersection improvements at Rideout Ferry Road, and Phase 2 began in January 2025. Officials say it should ease traffic along the corridor.
What it may mean for the marketA four-lane CR 220 corridor improves commute capacity for Fleming Island and Middleburg area drivers. The site is about 6 miles east of Falcon Run.
Source: News4JAX - June 2026Development
Hillwood contracts with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center
Master developer Hillwood contracted with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center on Jacksonville's Westside, continuing the buildout of the former Naval Air Station Cecil Field into an industrial and logistics park.
What it may mean for the marketContinued absorption of large industrial parcels at Cecil signals sustained employment growth on the Westside, which can support housing demand across nearby communities. The site is about 9 miles north of Falcon Run.
Source: Jax Daily Record - June 2026Builder Activity
Hyland Trail to bring over 3,000 homes to Lake Asbury in Clay County
News4Jax reported that Hyland Trail, along with the related Edenbrooke and The Glens communities, will bring more than 3,000 new homes to the Lake Asbury area of Clay County. Homes are being built by Dream Finders, Pulte and Lennar, with a Lodge amenity center featuring a beach-entry pool, splash zone, exercise facility and pickleball courts. Edenbrooke includes an age-restricted, low-maintenance home section.
What it may mean for the marketAdds a large volume of new single-family housing supply and a private amenity center to the Lake Asbury area, expanding for-sale inventory across a range of home sizes and price points. The project is about 7 miles southeast of Falcon Run, elsewhere in Clay County.
Source: News4Jax - June 2026Infrastructure
First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns
The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.
What it may mean for the marketNew limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 11 miles southeast of Falcon Run.
Source: Jax Daily Record - April 2026Development
Hillwood seeks to mass-grade an AllianceFlorida site for a possible 1 million-square-foot building
Hillwood asked to mass grade a site at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center to prepare for a possible 1 million-square-foot building, a step that typically precedes a large industrial or distribution user committing to the Westside park.
What it may mean for the marketA build-ready million-square-foot pad points to a potential large employer on the Westside, the kind of jobs anchor that can lift demand for nearby housing. The site is about 9 miles north of Falcon Run.
Source: Jax Daily Record
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
The Falcon Run buying strategy.
If we were buying in Falcon Run today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Falcon Run.
Buying the house, not the average
Middleburg is decidedly a suburban-to-rural corner of Clay County, and that shapes everything about a purchase here. Commute times, lot sizes, and access to services are the variables that matter, and they vary house to house — so lean on the specifics of a given listing rather than any neighborhood generalization.
Because we're not citing a live median or absorption rate for Falcon Run today, treat any home here on its own merits: inspect condition hard, weigh updates realistically, and price against genuinely comparable properties. That discipline is what protects you in a market where the individual property, not a community stat, sets the number.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Falcon Run. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Why work with Momentum here
We're a Northeast Florida brokerage, and Clay County markets like Middleburg reward local knowledge — knowing which updates actually move a price, how the commute really plays, and how to read a specific home instead of a broad average. We'll give you a straight assessment of any Falcon Run property, and we'll tell you when it isn't the right fit.
Falcon Run in 15 seconds.
Tools for a Falcon Run buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Falcon Run sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Falcon Run, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Falcon Run home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Falcon Run, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Falcon Run on the map →
Frequently Asked Questions
How many homes are in Falcon Run?
What share of Falcon Run is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Falcon Run built?
Who is the best real estate agent for Falcon Run?
How do I find a top Middleburg real estate agent who knows Falcon Run?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Falcon Run?
Should you buy in Falcon Run?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Falcon Run with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR assessment roll (street-list match (1 streets, ZIP 32068)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-11-12 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2014 (4 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Own a home here?
You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.
The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum listings in Northeast Florida sold at 99.1% of final list price vs. 98.6% for the market, in a median 31 days vs. 41 (realMLS, 12 months to Nov 2026). A Momentum agent can price yours against live local comps.
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