The regional housing market, measured monthly.
Every number on this page comes from MLS board statistics. No estimates, no national averages, no narrative without data. Latest month: May 2026.
Northeast Florida sits at 4.35 months of supply, just inside the balanced band and down 17.8% from a year ago. Under 4 months favors sellers, 4 to 6 is balanced, over 6 favors buyers.
Six things the data actually says.
Twelve months, every metric.
Board-wide residential statistics, June 2025 through May 2026. Pick a metric, switch regions with the tabs above the fold or right here. Hover any point for the exact figure.
Every county, over time.
Quarterly trend by county, 2019 through the latest complete quarter. Pick a metric, switch counties. Volusia and Flagler are sourced from the Daytona Beach Area Association of REALTORS® MLS; the rest from realMLS. Hover any point for the exact figure.
May 2026 at a glance.
Single-family figures for the nine-county realMLS footprint. The headline: prices keep grinding higher while supply quietly tightened against last year. The median single-family sale hit $405,000, up 5.2% year over year, and 13.6% of sales closed over list price, up 24% from a year ago. Homes are moving in a median of 32 days, almost two weeks faster than last May.
| Metric | May 2026 | vs. May 2025 | vs. April 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median sales price | $405,000 | +5.2% | +4.8% |
| Closed sales | 2,072 | -4.3% | +1.5% |
| Median days on market | 32 | -13.5% | -8.6% |
| List price received | 97.9% | +0.5% | +0.4% |
| Sales closed over list price | 13.6% | +24.4% | +12.1% |
| Home affordability index | 82 | -1.2% | -5.7% |
| Median sold price per sq ft | $211 | +2.4% | +2.9% |
| New pendings | 1,446 | -32.9% | -30.1% |
| New listings | 2,888 | -11.0% | -3.1% |
| Active inventory | 7,751 | -14.5% | +8.3% |
| Months supply of inventory | 3.7 | -10.7% | +6.6% |
Source: Data provided by realMLS. Single Family Residence, all nine realMLS counties. Statistics processed by Domus Analytics; dashboard data refreshes nightly.
The quiet story is inventory. Active single-family listings sit at 7,751, down 14.5% from last May, and new listings are down 11% year over year. The "wave of inventory" narrative from early 2026 has not held for single-family in this region. At 3.7 months of supply, the market still leans toward sellers, just less aggressively than the 2021-2022 era.
The number worth watching is new pendings: 1,446, down sharply from both last month and last year. Fresh pending counts often revise upward as late contracts get recorded, so treat the size of that drop with caution. But if June confirms the direction, buyer activity is cooling into summer even as supply stays thin. That combination is what creates negotiating windows. For what this means on a specific street or price band, talk to us.
Where new supply is, and is not.
New listings by price band, realMLS region, May 2026 versus May 2025. Every band below $1M shrank. The $1M+ band held flat, which means luxury's share of new supply rose from 5.7% to 6.7% in twelve months. Entry-level supply under $200K fell 27%, the steepest contraction on the board. If you are waiting for a flood of affordable inventory, the data says you are waiting for something that is not happening.
New listings by price band, May 2026 vs. May 2025, all residential, realMLS board summary. Bar length shows the size of the year-over-year change. Source: Data provided by realMLS.
Tracking the luxury end? See our Northeast Florida luxury market report and luxury communities guide.
Florida is not one market.
The single biggest mistake in Florida housing commentary is treating the state as a monolith. Within 90 minutes of driving you can move from a balanced-tight market to a firmly buyer-leaning one. Same state, same month, three different realities.
May 2026 board summary statistics, all residential, board-wide. Supply in every region is tighter than a year ago even where the absolute level favors buyers. Source: MLS board summary exports.
Every county, side by side.
The eight counties of the Northeast Florida footprint, on the metrics that matter. Figures are Momentum's realMLS-derived aggregates over a trailing-twelve-month window (Volusia and Flagler from the Daytona Beach Area Association of REALTORS® MLS). St. Johns leads on price; Putnam is the value end. The off-market rate, the share of resolved listings that expired, withdrew, or were canceled rather than closing, is a direct read on seller frustration and overpricing.
| County | Median | $/sq ft | Months supply | Days on market | Sale-to-list | Off-market rate (2025) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duval | $310,000 | $186 | 3.7 | 44 | 95.8% | 33.3% |
| St. Johns | $495,000 | $236 | 3.5 | 56 | 95.5% | 30.1% |
| Clay | $340,000 | $180 | 3.9 | 49 | 96.1% | 29.5% |
| Nassau | $448,000 | $223 | 4.7 | 60 | 95.6% | 33.7% |
| Baker | $301,500 | $187 | 4.3 | 51 | 96.0% | 28.3% |
| Putnam | $219,945 | $155 | 6.2 | 58 | 92.3% | 34.9% |
| Flagler | $360,000 | $193 | 5.1 | 68 | 95.4% | 37.9% |
| Volusia | $362,000 | $196 | 6.4 | 50 | 94.3% | 38.9% |
Source: Data provided by realMLS; Volusia and Flagler © 2026 Daytona Beach Area Association of REALTORS®. Median sale price, median price per square foot, months of supply, median cumulative days on market, and sale-to-list are trailing-twelve-month aggregates. Off-market rate = (expired + canceled) ÷ (expired + canceled + closed) for full-year 2025. Aggregates only.
By property type, the May 2026 read is starker. More than one in four resolved listings came off the market without selling, and condos were the worst at nearly 38%, consistent with rising assessments and insurance on attached homes.
| Property type | Closed | Expired/withdrawn/canceled | Off-market share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Single-family | 2,106 | 806 | 27.7% |
| Townhouse | 236 | 87 | 26.9% |
| Condominium | 191 | 116 | 37.8% |
| All residential | 2,642 | 1,057 | 28.6% |
Share of resolved listings in May 2026 that came off the market expired, withdrawn, or canceled rather than closing. Rate = off-market ÷ (off-market + closed). Source: Data provided by realMLS (Back Office, aggregate counts only).
Explore the market yourself.
The interactive dashboard below is powered by realMLS data, processed by Domus Analytics, and refreshes nightly. Toggle between solds, price, price per square foot, new listings, days on market, and inventory. Filter by property type, including condos and townhomes, and by county. History runs back to January 2023.
Source: Data provided by realMLS. Dashboard © Domus Analytics. Provided through Momentum Realty's realMLS membership.
The market moves monthly. So do we.
Get the monthly data drop
One email when new MLS numbers land, with the table, the charts, and what changed. No listings spam, no "just checking in." Data, context, done.
Monthly. Unsubscribe anytime. We never sell your data.
Watch the monthly breakdown
Jon walks through the new numbers on YouTube each month: what moved, what it means, and where the consensus is wrong.
Want hyperlocal pricing insight for your street, neighborhood, or price band? That conversation is free and grounded in this same data.
Northeast Florida market, answered.
Methodology, in the open.
Most market reports do not tell you where the numbers come from or what they include. Ours does. Expand any section below.
Sources and update cadence
What each metric means
Property type scope, and why two medians appear on this page
Revisions and the pending-sale lag
Disclaimers
The record, month by month.
Each month's snapshot is preserved as its own page, so the historical record stays citable even as this dashboard moves forward. Journalists and researchers: link the archive page for a fixed month, link this page for the latest.
Primary sources: realMLS Market Summary statistics for Northeast Florida, plus Daytona Beach area and St. Augustine / Space Coast MLS Market Summary statistics. Figures are charted exactly as reported in the monthly Market Summary export. Single-family statistics processed by Domus Analytics from realMLS data.
Attribution: Source: Data provided by realMLS.
Important: This data is provided for informational purposes only and is not financial, investment, tax, legal, or appraisal advice. Regional MLS averages do not reflect any specific property, and market conditions change continuously. Always consult a licensed professional for advice specific to your situation. Momentum Realty makes no warranty as to the accuracy of third-party data and disclaims liability for decisions made in reliance on it. See full disclosures →
