Florida Housing IntelligenceBay County › 32409 (Panama City)
Aerial view of 32409, Florida

32409 (Panama City)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Bay County

Median sale price $455,000, up 1.6% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 64 days, 84 homes on the market.

18 communities reporting128 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 51
Live Market Pulse
51/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
Tracking 18 communities across 32409. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
Free · Built from today's data
Get My Custom 32409 (Panama City) Market Report

Your exact situation run against today's numbers: true comps, negotiation targets, and the off-market homes portals never show.

Selling instead? See what your home is worth today →

Live · 32409 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$455K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
up 1.6% vs the prior 12 months
+1.6%
1-yr price change
n = 128 recent sales
95.2%
Sale vs ask
Bay County: 94.0% · -0.1pp vs prior yr
$345K
Bay County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -0.9% vs a year ago
Tempo
64days
Median DOM · closed
Bay County: 71 days · +3.0 days vs prior yr
24%
Under contract
Bay County: 25%
84 · 35 ▼8
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
Market context
26%
Listings with price cuts
Bay County · Zillow
3,199
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.8% vs prior month
45%
New construction
share of recent sales · +4.7pp vs prior yr
51/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
18
Communities reporting
of 50 tracked in 32409
Economy & people · county layer
$70,188
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
181,368
County population
-0.6% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
68%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,653/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

24% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 1.6% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 95.2% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 51
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage49
Seller leverage51

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 24% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 32409 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
mo · buyer-tilted · 12 active
$300K–$500K
mo · buyer-tilted · 34 active
$500K–$750K
mo · buyer-tilted · 38 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 32409 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (16 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 32409 (Panama City)

The median sale price across 32409 currently stands at $455,000, up 1.6% from a year ago. The typical home goes under contract in about 64 days. Sellers are capturing 95.2% of their original asking price on average.

There are 84 active listings on the market, with 35 more already under contract.

Zillow's home value index for Bay County stands at $344,901. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 32409 is 51 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

32409 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $183,051 in 2012 and $437,591 over the last recorded year — 139% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (1,888 recorded sales)

$177K$318K$458K$438K2012: $183K2013: $191K2014: $195K2015: $197K2016: $235K2017: $271K2018: $247K2019: $279K2020: $287K2021: $313K2022: $364K2023: $453K2024: $369K2025: $381K2026: $438K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

16d70d124d64d2012: 116d2013: 107d2014: 122d2015: 92d2016: 88d2017: 52d2018: 83d2019: 53d2020: 78d2021: 29d2022: 19d2023: 27d2024: 43d2025: 61d2026: 64d20122015201920232026

Home value trend · Bay County (Zillow ZHVI)

$342K$345K$348K$345KJul '25: $348KAug '25: $346KSep '25: $344KOct '25: $343KNov '25: $342KDec '25: $342KJan '26: $343KFeb '26: $344KMar '26: $346KApr '26: $347KMay '26: $346KJun '26: $346KJul '26: $345KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

2,9543,3703,7863,199Jul '25: 3,770Aug '25: 3,674Sep '25: 3,536Oct '25: 3,402Nov '25: 3,251Dec '25: 3,123Jan '26: 3,030Feb '26: 2,971Mar '26: 3,026Apr '26: 3,109May '26: 3,208Jun '26: 3,224Jul '26: 3,199Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Bay County (MLS)

5481,7933,037Aug 22 · Active: 2,988Aug 23 · Active: 2,985Aug 28 · Active: 2,986Aug 29 · Active: 2,985Aug 30 · Active: 2,980Aug 31 · Active: 2,976Sep 07 · Active: 2,936Sep 09 · Active: 2,922Sep 11 · Active: 2,950Sep 12 · Active: 2,944Sep 13 · Active: 2,935Sep 14 · Active: 2,924Sep 15 · Active: 2,916Aug 22Sep 07Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$338K$397K$457K$455KAug 06: $340KAug 08: $340KAug 09: $340KAug 10: $340KAug 11: $340KAug 12: $340KAug 13: $340KAug 15: $340KAug 17: $340KAug 18: $340KAug 19: $340KAug 20: $340KAug 21: $340KAug 22: $340KAug 23: $340KAug 24: $340KAug 26: $340KAug 28: $340KAug 29: $340KAug 30: $340KAug 31: $340KSep 01: $340KSep 04: $340KSep 05: $340KSep 06: $340KSep 07: $340KSep 08: $340KSep 09: $340KSep 10: $340KSep 11: $340KSep 12: $455KSep 13: $455KSep 14: $455KSep 15: $455KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 32409

Who’s moving here
+4,173 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: GA, AL, TX, AZ. Movers arriving report ~$74,894 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,928/yr avg premium

1,264 Citizens policies in force in Bay County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Bay purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
2,072 units permitted -16% YoY

1,685 single-family · 387 multi-family · 11.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Fanning Bayou ▲ 12%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Bay

MarketMedianActiveScore
32409 ← this page$455K8451
32408$412K1,19242Open →
32407$393K1,10537Open →
32413$445K1,08439Open →
32404$290K40356Open →
32405$280K21356Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Fanning BayouPanama City$512K▲ 12%
Hodges Bayou PlantationPanama City$350K▲ 1%
Lake MerialPanama City$526K▲ -5%
Cedar Creek At Deerpoint LakePanama City$551K▲ -6%
Prices cooling fastest
Cedar Creek At Deerpoint LakePanama City$551K▼ 6%
Lake MerialPanama City$526K▼ 5%
Hodges Bayou PlantationPanama City$350K▼ 1%
Fanning BayouPanama City$512K▼ 12%
Most homes for sale
Hodges Bayou PlantationPanama City$350K28
Fanning BayouPanama City$512K11
Lake MerialPanama City$526K7
Burnt Mill CreekSouthport$299K5
Kirkland ManorPanama City$513K4
Selling fastest
Lake MerialPanama City$526K36 days
Hodges Bayou PlantationPanama City$350K66 days
Cedar Creek At Deerpoint LakePanama City$551K67 days
Fanning BayouPanama City$512K76 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 32409 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 32409 — the Momentum Score reads 51/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 32409 becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in 32409 is $455,000, up 1.6% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.2% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in 32409?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Cedar Creek At Deerpoint Lake (-6%); Lake Merial (-5%); Hodges Bayou Plantation (1%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 32409 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Lake Merial (36 days); Hodges Bayou Plantation (66 days); Cedar Creek At Deerpoint Lake (67 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 64 days.

Questions

32409 (Panama City) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 32409 right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the 32409 housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $455,000 (up 1.6% year over year), 84 homes are for sale, and the typical home goes under contract in about 64 days.

How much is a house in 32409?

The median home sold for $455,000 in 32409 over the last 12 months; asking prices on the 84 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 32409?

By the numbers, sellers in 32409 are getting 95.2% of asking price and going under contract in about 64 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 32409 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 32409 median sale prices are up 1.6% year over year, and 24% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 32409?

The median sale price in 32409 is currently $455,000, up 1.6% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 32409 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 32409 scores 51 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 32409?

The typical home in 32409 goes under contract in about 64 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 32409?

There are approximately 84 active listings in 32409 as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in 32409 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 1.6% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 32409 (Panama City). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

Talk to founders
Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.