Aerial view of 32561, Florida

32561 (Gulf Breeze)
Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Santa Rosa County

Median sale price $420,000, down 4.0% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 32 days, 14 homes on the market.

4 communities reporting31 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 49
Live Market Pulse
49/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
About 5 months of supply — room to negotiate. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 31, 2026 at 7:34 AM ET.
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Live · 32561 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$420K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: Medium
down 4.0% vs the prior 12 months
-4.0%
1-yr price change
n = 31 recent sales
$274/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Santa Rosa County: $177 · +3.1% vs prior yr
96.1%
Sale vs ask
Santa Rosa County: 96.4% · +2.3pp vs prior yr
$354K
Santa Rosa County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · +0.9% vs a year ago
Tempo
5.4mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
32days
Median DOM · closed
Santa Rosa County: 60 days · -3.0 days vs prior yr
12%
Under contract
Santa Rosa County: 38%
14 · 3
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
34
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · flat vs prior yr
Market context
27%
Listings with price cuts
Santa Rosa County · Zillow · -0.2pp vs prior month
1,321
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +1.9% vs prior month
49/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
4
Communities reporting
of 6 tracked in 32561
Economy & people · county layer
$88,968
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
193,719
County population
+13.7% since 2018
4.0×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
80%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,809/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 31, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 5.4 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 12% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 4.0% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 96.1% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 49
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage51
Seller leverage49

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
  • Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 12% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.0× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here gradually.

Derived from current 32561 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
mo · buyer-tilted · 7 active
$300K–$500K
1.8 mo · seller-tilted · 4 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Analysis

The read on 32561 (Gulf Breeze)

The median sale price across 32561 currently stands at $420,000, down 4.0% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $274 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 32 days. Sellers are capturing 96.1% of their original asking price on average.

There are 14 active listings on the market, with 3 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 5.4 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 34 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Santa Rosa County stands at $353,670. About 27% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 32561 is 49 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 31, 2026.

Trends & History

32561 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $185,239 in 2012 and $461,564 over the last recorded year — 149% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (568 recorded sales)

$179K$339K$499K$462K2012: $185K2013: $216K2014: $262K2015: $199K2016: $264K2017: $243K2018: $315K2019: $379K2020: $316K2021: $485K2022: $488K2023: $437K2024: $493K2025: $486K2026: $462K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

0d85d172d32d2012: 169d2013: 74d2014: 78d2015: 48d2016: 63d2017: 55d2018: 30d2019: 32d2020: 23d2021: 3d2022: 11d2023: 25d2024: 14d2025: 35d2026: 32d20122015201920232026

Home value trend · Santa Rosa County (Zillow ZHVI)

$349K$351K$354K$354KJul '25: $350KAug '25: $349KSep '25: $349KOct '25: $349KNov '25: $349KDec '25: $350KJan '26: $351KFeb '26: $352KMar '26: $353KApr '26: $353KMay '26: $354KJun '26: $354KJul '26: $354KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

1,1381,2701,4021,321Jul '25: 1,397Aug '25: 1,368Sep '25: 1,325Oct '25: 1,309Nov '25: 1,276Dec '25: 1,225Jan '26: 1,179Feb '26: 1,144Mar '26: 1,183Apr '26: 1,219May '26: 1,270Jun '26: 1,296Jul '26: 1,321Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Santa Rosa County (MLS)

5067961,086Aug 03 · Active: 1,069Aug 04 · Active: 1,062Aug 05 · Active: 1,059Aug 06 · Active: 1,058Aug 07 · Active: 1,075Aug 08 · Active: 1,075Aug 09 · Active: 1,070Aug 10 · Active: 1,066Aug 11 · Active: 1,050Aug 12 · Active: 1,053Aug 13 · Active: 1,054Aug 15 · Active: 1,053Aug 17 · Active: 1,044Aug 19 · Active: 1,036Aug 22 · Active: 1,056Aug 23 · Active: 1,047Aug 28 · Active: 1,042Aug 29 · Active: 1,052Aug 30 · Active: 1,038Aug 31 · Active: 1,038Aug 03Aug 13Aug 31ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$402K$420K$438K$420KAug 11: $420KAug 12: $420KAug 13: $420KAug 15: $420KAug 17: $420KAug 18: $420KAug 19: $420KAug 20: $420KAug 21: $420KAug 22: $420KAug 23: $420KAug 24: $420KAug 26: $420KAug 28: $420KAug 29: $420KAug 30: $420KAug 31: $420KAug 11Aug 17Aug 21Aug 26Aug 31
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 32561

Who’s moving here
+3,756 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: TX, AL, VA, CA. Movers arriving report ~$80,188 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$2,444/yr avg premium

876 Citizens policies in force in Santa Rosa County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Santa Rosa purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
1,929 units permitted -3% YoY

1,929 single-family · 0 multi-family · 10.0 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Villa Venyce ▼ 20%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Santa Rosa

MarketMedianActiveScore
32561 ← this page$420K1449
32563$420K1367Open →
32571$356K1149Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Villa VenyceGulf Breeze$420K▲ -20%
Prices cooling fastest
Villa VenyceGulf Breeze$420K▼ 20%
Most homes for sale
Lighthouse PointeGulf Breeze$444K3
Villa VenyceGulf Breeze$420K1
Selling fastest
Villa VenyceGulf Breeze$420K16 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 32561 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 32561 — the Momentum Score reads 49/100 with 5.4 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 32561 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 32561 is $420,000, down 4.0% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.1% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 32561?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Villa Venyce (-20%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 32561 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Villa Venyce (16 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 32 days.

Questions

32561 (Gulf Breeze) housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in 32561?

The median sale price in 32561 is currently $420,000, down 4.0% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 31, 2026.

Is 32561 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 32561 scores 49 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 5.4 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 32561?

The typical home in 32561 goes under contract in about 32 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 32561?

There are approximately 14 active listings in 32561 as of August 31, 2026.

Are home prices in 32561 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 4.0% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 32561 (Gulf Breeze). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 31, 2026 at 7:34 AM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.