Florida Housing Intelligence › Pasco County › 33523 (Dade City)
Aerial view of 33523, Florida

33523 (Dade City)
Housing Market & Home Values

ZIP code market report · Pasco County, FL

Median sale price $219,900, with homes going under contract in about 40 days, 34 homes on the market.

22 communities reporting444 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 61
Live Market Pulse
61/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
Buyers are negotiating roughly 7% off asking. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh October 6, 2026 at 7:22 PM ET.
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Live · 33523 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$220K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
flat vs the prior 12 months
-0.0%
1-yr price change
n = 444 recent sales
$183/sf ▼
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Pasco County: $191 · -1.1% vs prior yr
93.2% ▼
Sale vs ask
Pasco County: 94.9% · -0.1pp vs prior yr
$329K ▼
Pasco County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.1% vs a year ago
Tempo
4.3mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
40days ▲
Median DOM · closed
Pasco County: 47 days · +1.0 days vs prior yr
44%
Under contract
Pasco County: 25%
34 · 15 ▼4
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
92 ▲
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +4.0% vs prior yr
Market context
32% ▲
Listings with price cuts
Pasco County · Zillow · +0.4pp vs prior month
4,707 ▲
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +1.3% vs prior month
11% ▲
New construction
share of recent sales · +8.0pp vs prior yr
31% ▲
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 63% · +2.5pp vs prior yr
61/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$67,384
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
588,758
County population
+15.3% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,028/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
✓ $3.5B+ sold✓ 10,000+ customers served✓ Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends✓ 800+ five-star reviews✓ Licensed FL MLS data✓ Updated daily
Today's Take · October 6, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks →
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 4.3 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 44% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 0.0% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 93.2% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 61
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage39
Seller leverage61

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 44% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33523 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
4.1 mo · balanced band · 12 active
$300K–$500K
3.2 mo · balanced band · 14 active
$500K–$750K
— mo · buyer-tilted · 8 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33523 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (21 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33523 (Dade City)

The median sale price across 33523 currently stands at $219,900, essentially flat year over year. Buyers are paying a median of $183 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 40 days. Sellers are capturing 93.2% of their original asking price on average.

There are 34 active listings on the market, with 15 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.3 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 92 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $329,345. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33523 is 61 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 6, 2026.

Trends & History

33523 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $74,058 in 2012 and $238,563 over the last recorded year — 222% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 31% of recent sales, down from a 63% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (3,733 recorded sales)

$54K$155K$257K$239K2012: $74K2013: $58K2014: $69K2015: $67K2016: $84K2017: $94K2018: $93K2019: $114K2021: $212K2022: $235K2023: $245K2024: $253K2025: $229K2026: $239K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

5d39d72d40d2012: 68d2013: 71d2014: 62d2015: 50d2016: 33d2017: 28d2018: 13d2019: 53d2021: 7d2022: 7d2023: 17d2024: 29d2025: 39d2026: 40d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

27%46%64%31%2016: 63%2017: 49%2018: 40%2019: 37%2020: 41%2021: 30%2022: 37%2023: 30%2024: 28%2025: 28%2026: 31%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)

$329K$333K$337K$329KAug '25: $336KSep '25: $335KOct '25: $334KNov '25: $334KDec '25: $333KJan '26: $333KFeb '26: $333KMar '26: $333KApr '26: $333KMay '26: $332KJun '26: $331KJul '26: $330KAug '26: $329KAug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

4,2244,4814,7384,707Aug '25: 4,728Sep '25: 4,662Oct '25: 4,589Nov '25: 4,461Dec '25: 4,304Jan '26: 4,235Feb '26: 4,251Mar '26: 4,424Apr '26: 4,515May '26: 4,569Jun '26: 4,601Jul '26: 4,646Aug '26: 4,707Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26

Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)

1,2633,0604,857Jul 07 · Active: 4,578Aug 03 · Active: 4,663Aug 04 · Active: 4,488Aug 05 · Active: 4,585Aug 06 · Active: 4,605Aug 07 · Active: 4,652Aug 08 · Active: 4,666Aug 09 · Active: 4,669Aug 10 · Active: 4,654Aug 11 · Active: 4,614Aug 12 · Active: 4,612Aug 13 · Active: 4,613Aug 15 · Active: 4,676Aug 17 · Active: 4,646Aug 19 · Active: 4,646Aug 22 · Active: 4,717Aug 23 · Active: 4,721Aug 28 · Active: 4,722Aug 29 · Active: 4,758Aug 30 · Active: 4,758Aug 31 · Active: 4,753Sep 07 · Active: 4,753Sep 09 · Active: 4,690Sep 11 · Active: 4,786Sep 12 · Active: 4,782Sep 13 · Active: 4,781Sep 14 · Active: 4,729Sep 15 · Active: 4,728Sep 16 · Active: 4,724Sep 17 · Active: 4,721Sep 19 · Active: 4,758Sep 20 · Active: 4,750Sep 21 · Active: 4,705Sep 22 · Active: 4,720Sep 23 · Active: 4,713Sep 24 · Active: 4,714Sep 25 · Active: 4,729Sep 26 · Active: 4,754Sep 28 · Active: 4,763Sep 29 · Active: 4,715Oct 01 · Active: 4,685Oct 04 · Active: 4,703Oct 05 · Active: 4,695Oct 06 · Active: 4,691Jul 07Sep 09Oct 06ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$216K$317K$419K$220KAug 06: $415KAug 08: $415KAug 09: $415KAug 10: $415KAug 11: $415KAug 12: $415KAug 13: $415KAug 15: $415KAug 17: $415KAug 18: $415KAug 19: $415KAug 20: $415KAug 21: $415KAug 22: $415KAug 23: $415KAug 24: $415KAug 26: $415KAug 28: $415KAug 29: $415KAug 30: $415KAug 31: $415KSep 01: $415KSep 04: $415KSep 05: $415KSep 06: $415KSep 07: $415KSep 08: $415KSep 09: $415KSep 10: $415KSep 11: $415KSep 12: $220KSep 13: $220KSep 14: $220KSep 15: $220KSep 16: $220KSep 17: $220KSep 19: $220KSep 20: $220KSep 21: $220KSep 22: $220KSep 23: $220KSep 24: $220KSep 25: $220KSep 26: $220KSep 28: $220KSep 29: $220KSep 30: $220KOct 01: $220KOct 03: $220KOct 04: $220KOct 05: $220KOct 06: $220KAug 06Aug 22Sep 08Sep 22Oct 06
Single-family 96%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 2%Manufactured 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33523

Who’s moving here
+18,430 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,659/yr avg premium

8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
7,878 units permitted +16% YoY

6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Lakewood Unit 2 ▲ 53%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
Under $300K: 4.1 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 33523 right now.

Biggest opportunity
$300K–$500K: 3.2 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Pasco

MarketMedianActiveScore
33523 ← this page$220K3461
33543$418K35457Open →
33541$400K29850Open →
34667$252K26849Open →
33545$449K23561Open →
34652$220K20545Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Lakewood Unit 2Dade City$221K▲ 53%
Ridge Manor FarmsDade City$285K▲ 2%
BEACON SQUAREHoliday$220K▲ -0%
Beacon Square Unit 21BHoliday$220K▲ -0%
RIDGE MANOR ESTATEWebster$353K▲ -2%
Prices cooling fastest
Vista WalkDade City$301K▼ 8%
LakewoodSarasota$210K▼ 7%
Ridge Manor Estate Unit 4Webster$345K▼ 4%
RIDGE MANOR ESTATEWebster$353K▼ 2%
BEACON SQUAREHoliday$220K▼ 0%
Most homes for sale
RIDGE MANOR ESTATEWebster$353K10
LakewoodSarasota$210K8
Vista WalkDade City$301K4
Ft Dade Mobile Home ParkDade City$85K3
Ridge Manor FarmsDade City$285K1
Selling fastest
Vista WalkDade City$301K16 days
Ridge Manor FarmsDade City$285K16 days
Talisman North Ridge ManorDade City$230K23 days
Lakewood Unit 2Dade City$221K28 days
BEACON SQUAREHoliday$220K38 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33523 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33523 — the Momentum Score reads 61/100 with 4.3 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33523 becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in 33523 is $219,900, up 0.0% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 93.2% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33523?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Vista Walk (-8%); Lakewood (-7%); Ridge Manor Estate Unit 4 (-4%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33523 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Vista Walk (16 days); Ridge Manor Farms (16 days); Talisman North Ridge Manor (23 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 40 days.

Questions

33523 (Dade City) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 33523 right now?

As of October 6, 2026, the 33523 housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $219,900, 34 homes are for sale against 92 sales in the last 12 months, which is 4.3 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 40 days.

How much is a house in 33523?

The median home sold for $219,900 in 33523 over the last 12 months, about $183 per square foot; asking prices on the 34 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 33523?

By the numbers, sellers in 33523 are getting 93.2% of asking price and going under contract in about 40 days with 4.3 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 33523 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33523 median sale prices are flat 0.0% year over year, inventory stands at 4.3 months of supply, and 44% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 33523?

The median sale price in 33523 is currently $219,900, based on MLS sales data updated October 6, 2026.

Is 33523 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. 33523 scores 61 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.3 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33523?

The typical home in 33523 goes under contract in about 40 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33523?

There are approximately 34 active listings in 33523 as of October 6, 2026.

Are home prices in 33523 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are flat 0.0% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33523 (Dade City). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

Talk to founders
Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 6, 2026 at 7:22 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.