Florida Housing IntelligencePasco County › 33523 (Dade City)
Aerial view of 33523, Florida

33523 (Dade City)
Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Pasco County

Median sale price $415,000, up 2.7% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 32 days, 18 homes on the market.

17 communities reporting985 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 50
Live Market Pulse
50/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
About 8 months of supply — room to negotiate. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET.
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Live · 33523 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$415K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
up 2.7% vs the prior 12 months
+2.7%
1-yr price change
n = 985 recent sales
$243/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Pasco County: $192 · flat vs prior yr
95.0%
Sale vs ask
Pasco County: 94.9% · +0.5pp vs prior yr
$332K
Pasco County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.8% vs a year ago
Tempo
7.6mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
32days
Median DOM · closed
Pasco County: 47 days · +4.0 days vs prior yr
23%
Under contract
Pasco County: 23%
18 · 5 ▲97
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
23
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +13.9% vs prior yr
Market context
32%
Listings with price cuts
Pasco County · Zillow · +0.7pp vs prior month
4,601
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.7% vs prior month
6%
New construction
share of recent sales · +4.7pp vs prior yr
26%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 58% · -5.6pp vs prior yr
50/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$67,384
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
588,758
County population
+15.3% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,028/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 6, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 7.6 months of supply — heavy by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 23% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 2.7% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 95.0% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 50
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage50
Seller leverage50

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — heavy supply keeps the pressure on sellers; softening is the path of least resistance.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 23% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33523 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
8.0 mo · buyer-tilted · 10 active
$500K–$750K
mo · buyer-tilted · 8 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33523 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (16 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33523 (Dade City)

The median sale price across 33523 currently stands at $415,000, up 2.7% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $243 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 32 days. Sellers are capturing 95.0% of their original asking price on average.

There are 18 active listings on the market, with 5 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 7.6 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 23 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,852. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33523 is 50 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.

Trends & History

33523 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $102,496 in 2012 and $369,736 over the last recorded year — 261% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 26% of recent sales, down from a 58% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (5,578 recorded sales)

$67K$222K$376K$370K2012: $102K2013: $73K2014: $89K2015: $80K2016: $101K2017: $105K2018: $109K2019: $165K2021: $303K2022: $323K2023: $338K2024: $360K2025: $350K2026: $370K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

5d39d72d32d2012: 68d2013: 68d2014: 71d2015: 49d2016: 39d2017: 35d2018: 16d2019: 71d2021: 7d2022: 8d2023: 17d2024: 23d2025: 28d2026: 32d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

25%42%59%26%2016: 58%2017: 47%2018: 38%2019: 37%2020: 29%2021: 25%2022: 32%2023: 29%2024: 31%2025: 31%2026: 26%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)

$332K$337K$342K$332KJun '25: $341KJul '25: $339KAug '25: $337KSep '25: $336KOct '25: $335KNov '25: $335KDec '25: $334KJan '26: $334KFeb '26: $334KMar '26: $334KApr '26: $334KMay '26: $333KJun '26: $332KJun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

4,2244,4894,7544,601Jun '25: 4,721Jul '25: 4,744Aug '25: 4,728Sep '25: 4,662Oct '25: 4,589Nov '25: 4,461Dec '25: 4,304Jan '26: 4,235Feb '26: 4,251Mar '26: 4,424Apr '26: 4,515May '26: 4,569Jun '26: 4,601Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)

1,3753,0524,729Jul 07 · Active: 4,578Aug 03 · Active: 4,663Aug 04 · Active: 4,488Aug 05 · Active: 4,585Jul 07Aug 04Aug 05ActivePending
Single-family 85%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 7%Manufactured 3%? 1%Townhome 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33523

Who’s moving here
+18,430 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,659/yr avg premium

8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
7,878 units permitted +16% YoY

6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
UNRECORDED SUB ▼ 33%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Pasco

MarketMedianActiveScore
33523 ← this page$415K1850
33543$415K18252Open →
34652$239K17747Open →
34667$250K16543Open →
33541$400K15345Open →
33545$439K9848Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
UNPLATTEDPlant City$415K▲ 5%
RIDGE MANOR ESTATE UNIT 4Webster$353K▲ 4%
RIDGE MANOR FARMSDade City$285K▲ 2%
BEACON SQUAREHoliday$220K▲ -0%
VISTA WALKDade City$308K▲ -6%
Prices cooling fastest
UNRECORDED SUBDade City$124K▼ 33%
LakewoodSarasota$210K▼ 7%
VISTA WALKDade City$308K▼ 6%
BEACON SQUAREHoliday$220K▼ 0%
RIDGE MANOR FARMSDade City$285K▼ 2%
Most homes for sale
LakewoodSarasota$210K8
RIDGE MANOR FARMSDade City$285K2
Selling fastest
RIDGE MANOR FARMSDade City$285K16 days
VISTA WALKDade City$308K18 days
UNPLATTEDPlant City$415K28 days
UNRECORDED SUBDade City$124K30 days
BEACON SQUAREHoliday$220K38 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33523 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33523 — the Momentum Score reads 50/100 with 7.6 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33523 becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in 33523 is $415,000, up 2.7% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.0% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33523?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are UNRECORDED SUB (-33%); Lakewood (-7%); VISTA WALK (-6%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33523 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are RIDGE MANOR FARMS (16 days); VISTA WALK (18 days); UNPLATTED (28 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 32 days.

Questions

33523 (Dade City) housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in 33523?

The median sale price in 33523 is currently $415,000, up 2.7% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.

Is 33523 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 33523 scores 50 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 7.6 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33523?

The typical home in 33523 goes under contract in about 32 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33523?

There are approximately 18 active listings in 33523 as of August 6, 2026.

Are home prices in 33523 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 2.7% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33523 (Dade City). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.