Dade City
Housing Market

City market report · Pasco County · 40 ZIP codes

Median sale price $336,990, down 6.8% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 56 days, 45 homes on the market.

40 communities reporting562 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 38
Live Market Pulse
38/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
About 6 months of supply — room to negotiate. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET.
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Live · Dade City Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$337K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 6.8% vs the prior 12 months
-6.8%
1-yr price change
n = 562 recent sales
$171/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Pasco County: $192 · -6.5% vs prior yr
94.6%
Sale vs ask
Pasco County: 94.9% · flat vs prior yr
$332K
Pasco County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.8% vs a year ago
Tempo
6.5mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
56days
Median DOM · closed
Pasco County: 47 days · -15.0 days vs prior yr
7%
Under contract
Pasco County: 23%
45 · 15 ▲97
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
177
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +14.7% vs prior yr
Market context
32%
Listings with price cuts
Pasco County · Zillow · +0.7pp vs prior month
4,601
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.7% vs prior month
68%
New construction
share of recent sales · +4.3pp vs prior yr
16%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 43% · -0.6pp vs prior yr
38/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
Economy & people · county layer
$67,384
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
588,758
County population
+15.3% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,028/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 6, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 6.5 months of supply — heavy by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 7% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 6.8% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 94.6% of asking. Taken together, the data leans toward buyers — leverage is real for those ready to use it.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 38
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage62
Seller leverage38

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors buyers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — heavy supply keeps the pressure on sellers; softening is the path of least resistance.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 7% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Dade City data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
3.4 mo · balanced band · 8 active
$300K–$500K
2.4 mo · seller-tilted · 26 active
$500K–$750K
8.0 mo · buyer-tilted · 10 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where Dade City is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (39 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on Dade City

The median sale price across Dade City currently stands at $336,990, down 6.8% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $171 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 56 days. Sellers are capturing 94.6% of their original asking price on average.

There are 45 active listings on the market, with 15 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 6.5 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 177 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Dade City prices sit below the Pasco County median by roughly 7%. Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,852. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Dade City is 38 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.

Trends & History

Dade City since 2013 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $224,546 in 2013 and $357,881 over the last recorded year — 59% appreciation across 13 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 16% of recent sales, down from a 43% peak.

Median sale price · 2013–2026 (2,219 recorded sales)

$185K$299K$413K$358K2013: $225K2014: $190K2015: $255K2016: $197K2017: $201K2018: $225K2022: $357K2023: $409K2024: $363K2025: $375K2026: $358K20132015201820242026

Days on market by year

13d80d147d56d2013: 77d2014: 88d2015: 145d2016: 47d2017: 62d2018: 46d2022: 16d2023: 38d2024: 44d2025: 71d2026: 56d20132015201820242026

Cash buyers · share of sales

15%29%44%16%2016: 43%2017: 34%2018: 38%2019: 26%2020: 27%2021: 34%2022: 42%2023: 32%2024: 26%2025: 16%2026: 16%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)

$332K$337K$342K$332KJun '25: $341KJul '25: $339KAug '25: $337KSep '25: $336KOct '25: $335KNov '25: $335KDec '25: $334KJan '26: $334KFeb '26: $334KMar '26: $334KApr '26: $334KMay '26: $333KJun '26: $332KJun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

4,2244,4894,7544,601Jun '25: 4,721Jul '25: 4,744Aug '25: 4,728Sep '25: 4,662Oct '25: 4,589Nov '25: 4,461Dec '25: 4,304Jan '26: 4,235Feb '26: 4,251Mar '26: 4,424Apr '26: 4,515May '26: 4,569Jun '26: 4,601Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)

1,3753,0524,729Jul 07 · Active: 4,578Aug 03 · Active: 4,663Aug 04 · Active: 4,488Aug 05 · Active: 4,585Jul 07Aug 04Aug 05ActivePending
Single-family 90%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 3%Townhome 3%Manufactured 1%Mobile Home - Pre 1976 0%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Dade City

Who’s moving here
+18,430 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,659/yr avg premium

8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
7,878 units permitted +16% YoY

6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
UNRECORDED SUB ▼ 33%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
$500K–$750K: 8.0 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Dade City right now.

Biggest opportunity
$300K–$500K: 2.4 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Buyers: ask for concessions — rate buydowns and repair credits are back on the table. Sellers: presentation and the first two weekends decide your outcome; price accordingly.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Pasco County

MarketMedianActiveScore
Dade City ← this page$337K4538
New Port Richey$270K33154Open →
Wesley Chapel$438K21453Open →
Zephyrhills$435K18845Open →
Hudson$300K14739Open →
Land O' Lakes$396K13670Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Lakewood Unit 2Dade City$206K▲ 8%
RIDGE MANOR FARMSDade City$285K▲ 2%
LAKE JOVITA GOLF & COUNTRY CLUB PH 01Dade City$700K▲ -0%
CLINTON TOWNHOMESDade City$240K▲ -1%
SUMMIT VIEWDade City$337K▲ -4%
Prices cooling fastest
UNRECORDED SUBDade City$124K▼ 33%
HILLTOP POINTDade City$355K▼ 17%
Hilltop Point ReplatDade City$370K▼ 13%
VISTA WALKDade City$308K▼ 6%
ABBEY GLENDade City$354K▼ 5%
Most homes for sale
SUMMIT VIEWDade City$337K11
ABBEY GLENDade City$354K10
HAMPTON COURT UNRECDade City$160K6
HICKORY HILL ACRESDade City$345K3
HILLTOP POINTDade City$355K2
Selling fastest
BELLAMY CROSSINGSDade City$335K16 days
RIDGE MANOR FARMSDade City$285K16 days
PASADENA SHORESDade City$338K18 days
VISTA WALKDade City$308K18 days
Talisman North Ridge ManorDade City$230K20 days
Explore Deeper

Dade City ZIP codes

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Dade City right now?

The data says conditions currently favor buyers in Dade City — the Momentum Score reads 38/100 with 6.5 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Dade City becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Dade City is $336,990, down 6.8% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 94.6% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in Dade City?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are UNRECORDED SUB (-33%); HILLTOP POINT (-17%); Hilltop Point Replat (-13%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which Dade City neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are BELLAMY CROSSINGS (16 days); RIDGE MANOR FARMS (16 days); PASADENA SHORES (18 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 56 days.

How does Dade City compare to the rest of Pasco County?

Dade City's median of $336,990 runs 7% below the county-wide median of $363,250, and homes here take 56 days to go under contract versus 47 county-wide.

Questions

Dade City housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in Dade City?

The median sale price in Dade City is currently $336,990, down 6.8% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.

Is Dade City a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors buyers. Dade City scores 38 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 6.5 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Dade City?

The typical home in Dade City goes under contract in about 56 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in Dade City?

There are approximately 45 active listings in Dade City as of August 6, 2026.

Are home prices in Dade City rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 6.8% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Dade City. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.