Dade City
Housing Market
Median sale price $354,820, down 3.4% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 52 days, 135 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 6.6 months of supply — heavy by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 24% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 3.4% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.4% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.
- Prices — heavy supply keeps the pressure on sellers; softening is the path of least resistance.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 24% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Dade City data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where Dade City is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (42 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on Dade City
The median sale price across Dade City currently stands at $354,820, down 3.4% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $175 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 52 days. Sellers are capturing 95.4% of their original asking price on average.
There are 135 active listings on the market, with 50 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 6.6 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 327 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,636. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Dade City is 47 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.
Dade City since 2013 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $168,619 in 2013 and $387,228 over the last recorded year — 130% appreciation across 13 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 19% of recent sales, down from a 58% peak.
Median sale price · 2013–2026 (2,524 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving Dade City
Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Dade City right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up across Pasco County
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dade City ← this page | $355K | 135 | 47 | |
| New Port Richey | $267K | 426 | 53 | Open → |
| Zephyrhills | $340K | 300 | 50 | Open → |
| Wesley Chapel | $425K | 298 | 60 | Open → |
| Hudson | $300K | 228 | 44 | Open → |
| Land O' Lakes | $395K | 196 | 70 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| Lakewood Unit 2Dade City | $221K | ▲ 53% |
| abbey glen i a-eDade City | $366K | ▲ 15% |
| Ridge Manor FarmsDade City | $285K | ▲ 2% |
| lake jovita golf & country club ph 03bDade City | $692K | ▲ 1% |
| LAKE JOVITA GOLF & COUNTRY CLUB PH 01Dade City | $700K | ▲ -0% |
| HILLTOP POINTDade City | $355K | ▼ 17% |
| Hilltop Point ReplatDade City | $355K | ▼ 16% |
| Vista WalkDade City | $301K | ▼ 8% |
| Abbey Glen Phase 2Dade City | $350K | ▼ 6% |
| Summit ViewDade City | $334K | ▼ 3% |
| PASADENA WOODSDade City | $545K | 36 |
| PASADENA RIDGEDade City | $386K | 35 |
| Summit ViewDade City | $334K | 9 |
| abbey glen i a-eDade City | $366K | 8 |
| Hampton Court UnrecDade City | $160K | 8 |
| Vista WalkDade City | $301K | 16 days |
| Bellamy CrossingsDade City | $339K | 16 days |
| Ridge Manor FarmsDade City | $285K | 16 days |
| Talisman North Ridge ManorDade City | $230K | 23 days |
| PASADENA WOODSDade City | $545K | 25 days |
Dade City ZIP codes
Most active communities
More on Dade City
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Dade City right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Dade City — the Momentum Score reads 47/100 with 6.6 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Dade City becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Dade City is $354,820, down 3.4% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.4% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in Dade City?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are HILLTOP POINT (-17%); Hilltop Point Replat (-16%); Vista Walk (-8%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Dade City neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Vista Walk (16 days); Bellamy Crossings (16 days); Ridge Manor Farms (16 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 52 days.
How does Dade City compare to the rest of Pasco County?
Dade City's median of $354,820 runs 0% below the county-wide median of $354,820, and homes here take 52 days to go under contract versus 47 county-wide.
Dade City housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in Dade City right now?
As of September 15, 2026, the Dade City housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $354,820 (down 3.4% year over year), 135 homes are for sale against 327 sales in the last 12 months, which is 6.6 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 52 days.
How much is a house in Dade City?
The median home sold for $354,820 in Dade City over the last 12 months, about $175 per square foot; asking prices on the 135 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in Dade City?
By the numbers, sellers in Dade City are getting 95.4% of asking price and going under contract in about 52 days with 6.6 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the Dade City housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Dade City median sale prices are down 3.4% year over year, inventory stands at 6.6 months of supply, and 24% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in Dade City?
The median sale price in Dade City is currently $354,820, down 3.4% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.
Is Dade City a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently is roughly balanced. Dade City scores 47 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 6.6 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Dade City?
The typical home in Dade City goes under contract in about 52 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Dade City?
There are approximately 135 active listings in Dade City as of September 15, 2026.
Are home prices in Dade City rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 3.4% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Dade City. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.