Florida Housing IntelligencePasco County › 33576 (San Antonio)
Aerial view of 33576, Florida

33576 (San Antonio)
Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Pasco County

Median sale price $409,990, down 6.6% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 40 days, 39 homes on the market.

13 communities reporting424 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 61
Live Market Pulse
61/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
224 homes sold here in the last 12 months. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET.
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Live · 33576 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$410K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 6.6% vs the prior 12 months
-6.6%
1-yr price change
n = 424 recent sales
$192/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Pasco County: $192 · -1.1% vs prior yr
94.6%
Sale vs ask
Pasco County: 94.9% · -2.5pp vs prior yr
$332K
Pasco County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.8% vs a year ago
Tempo
2.1mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
40days
Median DOM · closed
Pasco County: 47 days · +7.0 days vs prior yr
24%
Under contract
Pasco County: 23%
39 · 25 ▲97
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
224
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -53.0% vs prior yr
Market context
32%
Listings with price cuts
Pasco County · Zillow · +0.7pp vs prior month
4,601
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.7% vs prior month
70%
New construction
share of recent sales · -18.2pp vs prior yr
24%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 43% · +4.1pp vs prior yr
61/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$67,384
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
588,758
County population
+15.3% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,028/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 6, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 2.1 months of supply — tight by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 24% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 6.6% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 94.6% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 61
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage39
Seller leverage61

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 24% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33576 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
1.4 mo · seller-tilted · 3 active
$300K–$500K
2.2 mo · seller-tilted · 36 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33576 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (12 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33576 (San Antonio)

The median sale price across 33576 currently stands at $409,990, down 6.6% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $192 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 40 days. Sellers are capturing 94.6% of their original asking price on average.

There are 39 active listings on the market, with 25 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 2.1 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 224 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,852. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33576 is 61 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.

Trends & History

33576 since 2014 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $144,092 in 2014 and $353,867 over the last recorded year — 146% appreciation across 12 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 24% of recent sales, down from a 43% peak.

Median sale price · 2014–2026 (2,912 recorded sales)

$139K$266K$394K$354K2014: $144K2015: $157K2016: $165K2017: $195K2019: $204K2021: $256K2022: $347K2023: $389K2024: $383K2025: $370K2026: $354K20142016202120242026

Days on market by year

5d48d90d40d2014: 78d2015: 66d2016: 52d2017: 89d2019: 69d2021: 7d2022: 9d2023: 16d2024: 29d2025: 33d2026: 40d20142016202120242026

Cash buyers · share of sales

18%30%43%24%2016: 42%2017: 43%2018: 40%2019: 41%2020: 33%2021: 18%2022: 30%2023: 26%2024: 27%2025: 20%2026: 24%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)

$332K$337K$342K$332KJun '25: $341KJul '25: $339KAug '25: $337KSep '25: $336KOct '25: $335KNov '25: $335KDec '25: $334KJan '26: $334KFeb '26: $334KMar '26: $334KApr '26: $334KMay '26: $333KJun '26: $332KJun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

4,2244,4894,7544,601Jun '25: 4,721Jul '25: 4,744Aug '25: 4,728Sep '25: 4,662Oct '25: 4,589Nov '25: 4,461Dec '25: 4,304Jan '26: 4,235Feb '26: 4,251Mar '26: 4,424Apr '26: 4,515May '26: 4,569Jun '26: 4,601Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)

1,3753,0524,729Jul 07 · Active: 4,578Aug 03 · Active: 4,663Aug 04 · Active: 4,488Aug 05 · Active: 4,585Jul 07Aug 04Aug 05ActivePending
Single-family 69%Villa 22%Townhome 8%? 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33576

Who’s moving here
+18,430 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,659/yr avg premium

8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
7,878 units permitted +16% YoY

6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
MIRADA ACTIVE ADULT ▼ 17%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
$300K–$500K: 2.2 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 33576 right now.

Biggest opportunity
Under $300K: 1.4 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Pasco

MarketMedianActiveScore
33576 ← this page$410K3961
33543$415K18252Open →
34652$239K17747Open →
34667$250K16543Open →
33541$400K15345Open →
33545$439K9848Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
AUTUMN OAKSHudson$458K▲ 5%
MIRADA TOWNHOMESSan Antonio$277K▲ 2%
TAMPA BAY GOLF AND TENNIS CLUBSan Antonio$350K▲ -3%
MIRADASan Antonio$410K▲ -5%
TAMPA BAY GOLF TENNIS CLUB PH 02ASan Antonio$283K▲ -8%
Prices cooling fastest
MIRADA ACTIVE ADULTSan Antonio$282K▼ 17%
TAMPA BAY GOLF & TENNIS CLUB PH 04San Antonio$326K▼ 9%
TAMPA BAY GOLF TENNIS CLUB PH 02ASan Antonio$283K▼ 8%
MIRADASan Antonio$410K▼ 5%
TAMPA BAY GOLF AND TENNIS CLUBSan Antonio$350K▼ 3%
Most homes for sale
MIRADASan Antonio$410K34
MIRADA TOWNHOMESSan Antonio$277K3
Selling fastest
MIRADA ACTIVE ADULTSan Antonio$282K26 days
MIRADA TOWNHOMESSan Antonio$277K33 days
TAMPA BAY GOLF & TENNIS CLUB PH 04San Antonio$326K38 days
TAMPA BAY GOLF AND TENNIS CLUBSan Antonio$350K39 days
AUTUMN OAKSHudson$458K44 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33576 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33576 — the Momentum Score reads 61/100 with 2.1 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33576 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33576 is $409,990, down 6.6% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 94.6% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33576?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are MIRADA ACTIVE ADULT (-17%); TAMPA BAY GOLF & TENNIS CLUB PH 04 (-9%); TAMPA BAY GOLF TENNIS CLUB PH 02A (-8%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33576 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are MIRADA ACTIVE ADULT (26 days); MIRADA TOWNHOMES (33 days); TAMPA BAY GOLF & TENNIS CLUB PH 04 (38 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 40 days.

Questions

33576 (San Antonio) housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in 33576?

The median sale price in 33576 is currently $409,990, down 6.6% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.

Is 33576 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. 33576 scores 61 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 2.1 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33576?

The typical home in 33576 goes under contract in about 40 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33576?

There are approximately 39 active listings in 33576 as of August 6, 2026.

Are home prices in 33576 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 6.6% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33576 (San Antonio). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.