Florida Housing IntelligencePolk County › 33810 (Lakeland)
Aerial view of 33810, Florida

33810 (Lakeland)
Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Polk County

Median sale price $318,490, down 3.7% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 52 days, 9 homes on the market.

41 communities reporting377 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 56
Live Market Pulse
56/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
About 4 months of supply — room to negotiate. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET.
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Live · 33810 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$318K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 3.7% vs the prior 12 months
-3.7%
1-yr price change
n = 377 recent sales
$187/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Polk County: $174 · -1.1% vs prior yr
96.4%
Sale vs ask
Polk County: 95.5% · +0.6pp vs prior yr
$299K
Polk County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -3.0% vs a year ago
Tempo
4.3mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
52days
Median DOM · closed
Polk County: 60 days · -1.0 days vs prior yr
27%
Under contract
Polk County: 11%
9 · 2 ▲29
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
25
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -4.1% vs prior yr
Market context
26%
Listings with price cuts
Polk County · Zillow
5,187
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.8% vs prior month
23%
New construction
share of recent sales · +2.9pp vs prior yr
24%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 36% · -3.7pp vs prior yr
56/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$63,644
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
760,961
County population
+13.8% since 2018
4.7×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
70%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,769/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 6, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 4.3 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 27% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 3.7% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 96.4% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 56
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage44
Seller leverage56

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
  • Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 27% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33810 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33810 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (31 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33810 (Lakeland)

The median sale price across 33810 currently stands at $318,490, down 3.7% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $187 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 52 days. Sellers are capturing 96.4% of their original asking price on average.

There are 9 active listings on the market, with 2 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.3 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 25 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Polk County stands at $298,826. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33810 is 56 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.

Trends & History

33810 since 2013 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $146,862 in 2013 and $330,479 over the last recorded year — 125% appreciation across 13 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 24% of recent sales, down from a 36% peak.

Median sale price · 2013–2026 (3,052 recorded sales)

$143K$244K$345K$330K2013: $147K2014: $166K2015: $186K2016: $183K2017: $186K2018: $198K2019: $211K2021: $245K2022: $305K2023: $335K2024: $328K2025: $341K2026: $330K20132016201920232026

Days on market by year

3d47d90d54d2013: 39d2014: 41d2015: 52d2016: 46d2017: 40d2018: 48d2019: 89d2021: 5d2022: 6d2023: 28d2024: 43d2025: 55d2026: 54d20132016201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

16%26%37%24%2016: 33%2017: 25%2018: 26%2019: 24%2020: 16%2021: 24%2022: 36%2023: 31%2024: 25%2025: 28%2026: 24%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Polk County (Zillow ZHVI)

$299K$303K$308K$299KJun '25: $308KJul '25: $306KAug '25: $304KSep '25: $303KOct '25: $303KNov '25: $302KDec '25: $302KJan '26: $302KFeb '26: $302KMar '26: $301KApr '26: $301KMay '26: $300KJun '26: $299KJun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

5,0555,3625,6695,187Jun '25: 5,657Jul '25: 5,640Aug '25: 5,549Sep '25: 5,428Oct '25: 5,342Nov '25: 5,265Dec '25: 5,136Jan '26: 5,084Feb '26: 5,068Mar '26: 5,193Apr '26: 5,212May '26: 5,227Jun '26: 5,187Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

Daily active vs pending · Polk County (MLS)

1,7053,6845,663Aug 03 · Active: 5,584Aug 04 · Active: 5,523Aug 05 · Active: 5,552Aug 03Aug 04Aug 05ActivePending
Single-family 76%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 18%Manufactured 4%Townhome 1%? 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33810

Who’s moving here
+18,556 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, PA, TX. Movers arriving report ~$56,322 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,931/yr avg premium

5,380 Citizens policies in force in Polk County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Polk purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
8,236 units permitted -21% YoY

6,725 single-family · 1,511 multi-family · 10.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
ROLLINGLEN PH 01 ▲ 20%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Polk

MarketMedianActiveScore
33810 ← this page$318K956
33813$384K4147Open →
33823$369K1973Open →
33837$355K1855Open →
33884$308K1647Open →
33897$395K1260Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
ROLLINGLEN PH 01Lakeland$210K▲ 20%
HUNTERS GREENTampa$749K▲ 13%
HUNTINGTON HILLSLakeland$365K▲ 8%
FOXWOOD LAKE ESTATES PH 01Lakeland$172K▲ 2%
HAMPTON HILLS SOUTH PH 02Lakeland$310K▲ -2%
Prices cooling fastest
LAKE JAMES PH 01Lakeland$395K▼ 16%
HIGHLAND FAIRWAYS PH 03BLakeland$226K▼ 14%
COUNTRY VIEW ESTATESLakeland$240K▼ 11%
TERRALARGOLakeland$415K▼ 10%
ROSS CREEKLakeland$351K▼ 10%
Most homes for sale
HUNTERS GREENTampa$749K9
Selling fastest
ROLLINGLEN PH 01Lakeland$210K17 days
HUNTERS GREENTampa$749K26 days
HUNTINGTON HILLSLakeland$365K30 days
HIGHLAND FAIRWAYS PH 03BLakeland$226K36 days
TERRALARGOLakeland$415K40 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33810 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33810 — the Momentum Score reads 56/100 with 4.3 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33810 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33810 is $318,490, down 3.7% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.4% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33810?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are LAKE JAMES PH 01 (-16%); HIGHLAND FAIRWAYS PH 03B (-14%); COUNTRY VIEW ESTATES (-11%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33810 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are ROLLINGLEN PH 01 (17 days); HUNTERS GREEN (26 days); HUNTINGTON HILLS (30 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 52 days.

Questions

33810 (Lakeland) housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in 33810?

The median sale price in 33810 is currently $318,490, down 3.7% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.

Is 33810 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 33810 scores 56 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.3 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33810?

The typical home in 33810 goes under contract in about 52 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33810?

There are approximately 9 active listings in 33810 as of August 6, 2026.

Are home prices in 33810 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 3.7% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33810 (Lakeland). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.