Florida Housing IntelligenceHernando County › 34609 (Spring Hill)
Aerial view of 34609, Florida

34609 (Spring Hill)
Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Hernando County

Median sale price $374,400, up 1.0% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 63 days, 229 homes on the market.

45 communities reporting933 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 59
Live Market Pulse
59/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
About 4 months of supply — room to negotiate. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET.
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Live · 34609 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$374K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
up 1.0% vs the prior 12 months
+1.0%
1-yr price change
n = 933 recent sales
$191/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Hernando County: $188 · -1.0% vs prior yr
95.4%
Sale vs ask
Hernando County: 95.4% · -1.7pp vs prior yr
$311K
Hernando County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.6% vs a year ago
Tempo
4.2mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
63days
Median DOM · closed
Hernando County: 50 days · +17.0 days vs prior yr
37%
Under contract
Hernando County: 30%
229 · 80 ▲8
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
657
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +2.2% vs prior yr
Market context
31%
Listings with price cuts
Hernando County · Zillow · +0.9pp vs prior month
1,444
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.2% vs prior month
49%
New construction
share of recent sales · +0.8pp vs prior yr
22%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 35% · +4.7pp vs prior yr
59/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$63,193
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
201,512
County population
+10.3% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
82%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,732/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 6, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 4.2 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 37% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 1.0% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 95.4% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 59
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage41
Seller leverage59

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
  • Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 37% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 34609 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
4.5 mo · balanced band · 6 active
$300K–$500K
4.3 mo · balanced band · 177 active
$500K–$750K
3.7 mo · balanced band · 46 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 34609 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (42 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 34609 (Spring Hill)

The median sale price across 34609 currently stands at $374,400, up 1.0% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $191 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 63 days. Sellers are capturing 95.4% of their original asking price on average.

There are 229 active listings on the market, with 80 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.2 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 657 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Hernando County stands at $310,998. About 31% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 34609 is 59 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.

Trends & History

34609 since 2014 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $146,348 in 2014 and $405,891 over the last recorded year — 177% appreciation across 12 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 22% of recent sales, down from a 35% peak.

Median sale price · 2014–2026 (4,782 recorded sales)

$141K$276K$411K$406K2014: $146K2015: $159K2016: $172K2017: $192K2018: $213K2019: $228K2021: $298K2022: $346K2023: $388K2024: $380K2025: $394K2026: $406K20142017202120242026

Days on market by year

3d48d93d63d2014: 63d2015: 63d2016: 56d2017: 48d2018: 74d2019: 92d2021: 5d2022: 6d2023: 23d2024: 37d2025: 46d2026: 63d20142017202120242026

Cash buyers · share of sales

17%26%36%22%2016: 35%2017: 30%2018: 26%2019: 27%2020: 24%2021: 25%2022: 30%2023: 28%2024: 24%2025: 18%2026: 22%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Hernando County (Zillow ZHVI)

$311K$315K$319K$311KJun '25: $319KJul '25: $318KAug '25: $316KSep '25: $314KOct '25: $313KNov '25: $313KDec '25: $313KJan '26: $314KFeb '26: $314KMar '26: $314KApr '26: $314KMay '26: $313KJun '26: $311KJun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

1,4191,4861,5521,444Jun '25: 1,515Jul '25: 1,540Aug '25: 1,550Sep '25: 1,541Oct '25: 1,531Nov '25: 1,505Dec '25: 1,457Jan '26: 1,431Feb '26: 1,422Mar '26: 1,450Apr '26: 1,442May '26: 1,441Jun '26: 1,444Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

Daily active vs pending · Hernando County (MLS)

4879871,486Jul 07 · Active: 1,458Aug 03 · Active: 1,467Aug 04 · Active: 1,434Aug 05 · Active: 1,442Jul 07Aug 04Aug 05ActivePending
Single-family 95%Villa 3%? 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 34609

Who’s moving here
+4,826 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, CA, NJ, IL. Movers arriving report ~$61,429 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,699/yr avg premium

4,534 Citizens policies in force in Hernando County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hernando purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
1,975 units permitted -21% YoY

1,734 single-family · 241 multi-family · 9.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
VILLAGES AT AVALON PH 1 ▲ 28%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
Under $300K: 4.5 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 34609 right now.

Biggest opportunity
$500K–$750K: 3.7 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Hernando

MarketMedianActiveScore
34609 ← this page$374K22959
34613$374K22954Open →
34614$374K15661Open →
34607$300K12458Open →
34608$300K5764Open →
34606$300K5365Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
VILLAGES AT AVALON PH 1Spring Hill$520K▲ 28%
SOUTHERN HILLS PLANTATION PH 2Brooksville$720K▲ 19%
CALDERASpring Hill$510K▲ 17%
SILVERTHORN PH 1Spring Hill$450K▲ 15%
PINE BLUFFSpring Hill$328K▲ 2%
Prices cooling fastest
AVALON WESTSpring Hill$370K▼ 16%
WELLINGTON AT SEVEN HILLS PH 4Spring Hill$265K▼ 15%
MANHATTAN MANOR REVTampa$518K▼ 11%
SEVEN HILLSSpring Hill$340K▼ 9%
PARK RIDGE VILLASSpring Hill$276K▼ 5%
Most homes for sale
ROYAL HIGHLANDSWeeki Wachee$374K152
SOUTHERN HILLS PLANTATION PH 2Brooksville$720K37
SEVEN HILLSSpring Hill$340K8
VILLAGES AT AVALON PH 1Spring Hill$520K6
WEEKI WACHEE WOODLANDSSpring Hill$260K6
Selling fastest
CALDERASpring Hill$510K8 days
MANHATTAN MANOR REVTampa$518K24 days
PARK RIDGE VILLASSpring Hill$276K26 days
SILVERTHORN PH 1Spring Hill$450K40 days
WEEKI WACHEE WOODLANDSSpring Hill$260K48 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 34609 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 34609 — the Momentum Score reads 59/100 with 4.2 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 34609 becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in 34609 is $374,400, up 1.0% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.4% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in 34609?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are AVALON WEST (-16%); WELLINGTON AT SEVEN HILLS PH 4 (-15%); MANHATTAN MANOR REV (-11%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 34609 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are CALDERA (8 days); MANHATTAN MANOR REV (24 days); PARK RIDGE VILLAS (26 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 63 days.

Questions

34609 (Spring Hill) housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in 34609?

The median sale price in 34609 is currently $374,400, up 1.0% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.

Is 34609 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. 34609 scores 59 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.2 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 34609?

The typical home in 34609 goes under contract in about 63 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 34609?

There are approximately 229 active listings in 34609 as of August 6, 2026.

Are home prices in 34609 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 1.0% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 34609 (Spring Hill). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.