34609 (Spring Hill)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market
Median sale price $374,900, down 1.3% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 63 days, 289 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 4.2 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 36% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 1.3% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.6% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.
- Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 36% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current 34609 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where 34609 is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (50 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on 34609 (Spring Hill)
The median sale price across 34609 currently stands at $374,900, down 1.3% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $186 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 63 days. Sellers are capturing 95.6% of their original asking price on average.
There are 289 active listings on the market, with 106 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.2 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 878 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Hernando County stands at $310,261. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 34609 is 57 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.
34609 since 2014 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $140,467 in 2014 and $390,499 over the last recorded year — 178% appreciation across 12 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 30% of recent sales, down from a 38% peak.
Median sale price · 2014–2026 (7,092 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Hernando County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Hernando County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving 34609
Top inbound states: NY, CA, NJ, IL. Movers arriving report ~$61,429 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
4,534 Citizens policies in force in Hernando County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hernando purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
1,734 single-family · 241 multi-family · 9.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 34609 right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
Nearby ZIP codes in Hernando
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34609 ← this page | $375K | 289 | 57 | |
| 34613 | $374K | 265 | 55 | Open → |
| 34606 | $300K | 209 | 65 | Open → |
| 34614 | $375K | 156 | 63 | Open → |
| 34607 | $300K | 128 | 58 | Open → |
| 34608 | $300K | 84 | 63 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| silverthorn ph 2bSpring Hill | $455K | ▲ 18% |
| CALDERASpring Hill | $510K | ▲ 17% |
| SILVERTHORN PH 1Spring Hill | $450K | ▲ 15% |
| Southern Hills PlantationBrooksville | $688K | ▲ 12% |
| Hernando Highlands UnrecSpring Hill | $435K | ▲ 5% |
| Caldera Phases 3 & 4Spring Hill | $376K | ▼ 25% |
| WELLINGTON AT SEVEN HILLS PH 4Spring Hill | $265K | ▼ 15% |
| wellington at seven hills ph 7Spring Hill | $265K | ▼ 15% |
| villages at avalon ph 1Spring Hill | $353K | ▼ 14% |
| manhattan manorTampa | $518K | ▼ 13% |
| royal highlands unit 9Weeki Wachee | $375K | 151 |
| Southern Hills PlantationBrooksville | $688K | 42 |
| sterling hill ph 3Spring Hill | $338K | 19 |
| wellington at seven hills ph 7Spring Hill | $265K | 13 |
| pristine place ph 5Spring Hill | $434K | 10 |
| CALDERASpring Hill | $510K | 8 days |
| silverthorn ph 2bSpring Hill | $455K | 18 days |
| manhattan manorTampa | $518K | 24 days |
| Park Ridge VillasSpring Hill | $276K | 25 days |
| Caldera Phase 5Spring Hill | $498K | 29 days |
Cities in this ZIP
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in 34609 right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 34609 — the Momentum Score reads 57/100 with 4.2 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is 34609 becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 34609 is $374,900, down 1.3% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.6% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in 34609?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Caldera Phases 3 & 4 (-25%); WELLINGTON AT SEVEN HILLS PH 4 (-15%); wellington at seven hills ph 7 (-15%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which 34609 neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are CALDERA (8 days); silverthorn ph 2b (18 days); manhattan manor (24 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 63 days.
34609 (Spring Hill) housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in 34609 right now?
As of September 15, 2026, the 34609 housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $374,900 (down 1.3% year over year), 289 homes are for sale against 878 sales in the last 12 months, which is 4.2 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 63 days.
How much is a house in 34609?
The median home sold for $374,900 in 34609 over the last 12 months, about $186 per square foot; asking prices on the 289 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in 34609?
By the numbers, sellers in 34609 are getting 95.6% of asking price and going under contract in about 63 days with 4.2 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the 34609 housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 34609 median sale prices are down 1.3% year over year, inventory stands at 4.2 months of supply, and 36% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in 34609?
The median sale price in 34609 is currently $374,900, down 1.3% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.
Is 34609 a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently is roughly balanced. 34609 scores 57 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.2 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in 34609?
The typical home in 34609 goes under contract in about 63 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in 34609?
There are approximately 289 active listings in 34609 as of September 15, 2026.
Are home prices in 34609 rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 1.3% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 34609 (Spring Hill). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.