Hernando County
Housing Market
Median sale price $299,900, down 0.5% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 56 days, 1,536 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 4.9 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 28% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 0.5% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.0% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.
- Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 28% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.8× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Hernando County data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where Hernando County is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (226 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on Hernando County
The median sale price across Hernando County currently stands at $299,900, down 0.5% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $187 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 56 days. Sellers are capturing 95.0% of their original asking price on average.
There are 1,536 active listings on the market, with 199 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.9 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 3,764 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Hernando County stands at $306,116. About 31% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Hernando County is 54 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 26, 2026.
Hernando County since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $83,287 in 2012 and $328,445 over the last recorded year — 294% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 33% of recent sales, down from a 41% peak.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (27,491 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Hernando County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Hernando County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving Hernando County
Top inbound states: NY, CA, NJ, IL. Movers arriving report ~$61,429 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
4,534 Citizens policies in force in Hernando County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hernando purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
1,734 single-family · 241 multi-family · 9.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Hernando County right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up against neighboring counties
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernando County ← this page | $300K | 1,530 | 54 | |
| Pasco County | $354K | 4,759 | 55 | Open → |
| Citrus County | $265K | 1,195 | 55 | Open → |
| Sumter County | $310K | 761 | 48 | Open → |
| Marion County | $289K | 4,180 | 57 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| Lakewood Unit 2Dade City | $221K | ▲ 53% |
| Spring Hill Unit 21Spring Hill | $327K | ▲ 29% |
| Weeki Wachee Acres AddSpring Hill | $215K | ▲ 28% |
| Springwood EstateBrooksville | $475K | ▲ 20% |
| WEEKI WACHEE HILLSWeeki Wachee | $229K | ▲ 19% |
| Caldera Phases 3 & 4Spring Hill | $371K | ▼ 26% |
| Voss Oak Lake EstateWeeki Wachee | $265K | ▼ 24% |
| Heather WalkWeeki Wachee | $162K | ▼ 21% |
| Heather TheWeeki Wachee | $212K | ▼ 20% |
| Fairway At The HeatherWeeki Wachee | $128K | ▼ 18% |
| royal highlands unit 9Weeki Wachee | $375K | 157 |
| Southern Hills PlantationBrooksville | $686K | 41 |
| glen lakes ph 1Weeki Wachee | $419K | 39 |
| TIMBER PINESSpring Hill | $284K | 37 |
| BrookridgeBrooksville | $170K | 36 |
| ridge manor westBrooksville | $237K | 4 days |
| CALDERASpring Hill | $510K | 8 days |
| Spring Hill Unit 13Spring Hill | $285K | 9 days |
| FOREST OAKSSpring Hill | $305K | 14 days |
| Hill N Dale Unit 3Brooksville | $221K | 14 days |
Cities in Hernando County
ZIP codes
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Hernando County right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Hernando County — the Momentum Score reads 54/100 with 4.9 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Hernando County becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Hernando County is $299,900, down 0.5% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.0% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in Hernando County?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Caldera Phases 3 & 4 (-26%); Voss Oak Lake Estate (-24%); Heather Walk (-21%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Hernando County neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are ridge manor west (4 days); CALDERA (8 days); Spring Hill Unit 13 (9 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 56 days.
Hernando County housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in Hernando County right now?
As of October 26, 2026, the Hernando County housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $299,900 (down 0.5% year over year), 1,536 homes are for sale against 3,764 sales in the last 12 months, which is 4.9 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 56 days.
How much is a house in Hernando County?
The median home sold for $299,900 in Hernando County over the last 12 months, about $187 per square foot; asking prices on the 1,536 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in Hernando County?
By the numbers, sellers in Hernando County are getting 95.0% of asking price and going under contract in about 56 days with 4.9 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the Hernando County housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Hernando County median sale prices are down 0.5% year over year, inventory stands at 4.9 months of supply, and 28% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in Hernando County?
The median sale price in Hernando County is currently $299,900, down 0.5% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 26, 2026.
Is Hernando County a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently is roughly balanced. Hernando County scores 54 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.9 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Hernando County?
The typical home in Hernando County goes under contract in about 56 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Hernando County?
There are approximately 1,536 active listings in Hernando County as of October 26, 2026.
Are home prices in Hernando County rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 0.5% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Hernando County. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 26, 2026 at 10:07 AM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.
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