34778 (Winter Garden)
Housing Market
Median sale price $935,000, down 1.3% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 42 days, 13 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 3.2 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 22% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 1.3% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.7% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
- Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 22% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.2× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current 34778 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
The read on 34778 (Winter Garden)
The median sale price across 34778 currently stands at $935,000, down 1.3% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $368 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 42 days. Sellers are capturing 95.7% of their original asking price on average.
There are 13 active listings on the market, with 2 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.2 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 47 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Lake County stands at $364,339. About 30% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 34778 is 60 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.
34778 since 2015 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $238,419 in 2015 and $707,500 over the last recorded year — 197% appreciation across 11 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 41% of recent sales, down from a 41% peak.
Median sale price · 2015–2026 (462 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Lake County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Lake County (MLS)
What’s driving 34778
Top inbound states: NY, CA, NJ, TX. Movers arriving report ~$80,711 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
3,500 Citizens policies in force in Lake County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Lake purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
3,999 single-family · 1,343 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 34778 right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
Nearby ZIP codes in Lake
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34778 ← this page | $935K | 13 | 60 | |
| 32720 | $434K | 322 | 61 | Open → |
| 34748 | $290K | 179 | 44 | Open → |
| 34711 | $427K | 121 | 55 | Open → |
| 32778 | $330K | 91 | 50 | Open → |
| 32159 | $289K | 79 | 45 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| OAKLAND PARKWinter Garden | $935K | ▲ -0% |
| HIGHLAND RIDGEWinter Garden | $485K | ▲ -7% |
| HIGHLAND RIDGEWinter Garden | $485K | ▼ 7% |
| OAKLAND PARKWinter Garden | $935K | ▼ 0% |
| OAKLAND PARKWinter Garden | $935K | 6 |
| HIGHLAND RIDGEWinter Garden | $485K | 3 |
| OAKLAND PARKWinter Garden | $935K | 5 days |
| HIGHLAND RIDGEWinter Garden | $485K | 138 days |
Cities in this ZIP
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in 34778 right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 34778 — the Momentum Score reads 60/100 with 3.2 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is 34778 becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 34778 is $935,000, down 1.3% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.7% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in 34778?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are HIGHLAND RIDGE (-7%); OAKLAND PARK (-0%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which 34778 neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are OAKLAND PARK (5 days); HIGHLAND RIDGE (138 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 42 days.
34778 (Winter Garden) housing market FAQ
What is the median home price in 34778?
The median sale price in 34778 is currently $935,000, down 1.3% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.
Is 34778 a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. 34778 scores 60 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.2 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in 34778?
The typical home in 34778 goes under contract in about 42 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in 34778?
There are approximately 13 active listings in 34778 as of August 6, 2026.
Are home prices in 34778 rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 1.3% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 34778 (Winter Garden). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.