Aberdeen St Johns
Homes for Sale in St. Johns, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Aberdeen's median sits at $469,900, with price per square foot running about $214, so the arithmetic on any given home still comes down to condition and finish more than the address alone. The community is up 118% since 2012, which tells you this is a mature price trajectory, not a new or speculative one, and the 12-month move of -5.5% shows that trajectory has flattened and pulled back rather than continuing to climb.
A median of 36 days on market and a heat score of 40 both point the same direction: this is not a market where sellers can expect to dictate terms right now. Buyers have room to negotiate on price and terms, and sellers who price to the current data rather than last year's numbers are the ones getting deals done inside that 36-day window instead of sitting past it.
Aberdeen St Johns right now
🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($472K) is down 3.6% from the prior 12 months ($490K) and up 116% since 2012.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 14. Confidence: Very High (76 and 79 sales in the two windows).
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Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Aberdeen St Johns market snapshot (as of July 14, 2026): the median sale price is about $472K ($214 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 36 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 4% from the prior 12 months and up 116% since 2012, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (76 closings in the current window).
Aberdeen is a St. Johns County community where 77 closings in the current window give a reasonably solid read on pricing, and the softer year-over-year number reflects a broader St. Johns cooling rather than anything specific to this address.
Who Aberdeen St Johns is best for.
Best for
- Buyers comfortable negotiating in a market with a 40 heat score and a 36-day median time on market
- Buyers or sellers who want pricing grounded in a 77-closing sample rather than a handful of anecdotal comps
- Sellers willing to price to the current -5.5% year-over-year trend instead of last year's peak
Probably not for
- Sellers expecting a fast, above-median sale in a market that is currently cooling
- Buyers hoping for a below-market number without data to support the offer
- Anyone assuming the 118% since-2012 gain guarantees continued appreciation
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 14 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($472K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($490K) IS the -3.6% one-year change.
Windows contain 74 to 323 sales each (76 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are St. Johns County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · St. Johns County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.
36% of homes for sale in ZIP 32259 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-07-12).
Life at Aberdeen St Johns
- Recreation Pool and Lap Pool · The Aberdeen Amenity Center includes a recreation pool and a separate lap pool; pools are open dawn to dusk (30 minutes after sunrise to 30 minutes before sunset), with reduced Monday hours starting at 1 PM.
- Health & Fitness Center · An on-site fitness center at the Amenity Center is open daily from 4:30 AM to 11:00 PM.
- Amenity Center / Clubhouse · The community has an Amenity Center with clubhouse space available for room rental; the office is staffed Tuesday through Sunday, 10 AM to 5 PM.
- Aberdeen Rays Swim Team · A community swim team program, the Aberdeen Rays, operates out of the Amenity Center pools.
- Aberdeen Park (St. Johns County public park) · A 21-acre St. Johns County park located at 1401 Shetland Drive within the Aberdeen area, with two lighted multi-purpose grass fields, three softball fields, one artificial-turf baseball field, an ADA-certified inclusive playground, and restrooms; open dawn to dusk.
Sources: Aberdeen CDD; St. Johns County Parks & Recreation. Amenity access and membership terms vary and can change; verify current details with the community.
The Aberdeen St Johns buying strategy.
If we were buying in Aberdeen St Johns today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Aberdeen St Johns.
What the numbers actually say
The $214 per-square-foot figure is the more useful number for comparing individual homes against each other, since it strips out size differences that the median price alone can't. With 77 closings feeding this snapshot, there's enough volume here that the median and per-square-foot figures are reasonably dependable rather than skewed by one or two outlier sales.
The 118% appreciation since 2012 is a long-run figure, and it should not be read as a signal about next year. The -5.5% year-over-year change and a 36-day median time on market are the numbers that describe the market as it stands today, and they describe a market cooling from its prior pace, not one in freefall.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Aberdeen St Johns. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Aberdeen St Johns buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 3 factors (6.9). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +116% since 2012; Recent Direction -3.6% year-over-year; Pricing Power 96.9% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
In a market with a heat score of 40 and prices down 5.5% year over year, pricing a listing correctly and reading which of the 77 recent closings are truly comparable takes more judgment than a market where everything sells itself. That's the work: pricing to today's data, not last year's, on either side of the transaction.
Aberdeen St Johns in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Aberdeen is governed by the Aberdeen Community Development District (CDD), a special-purpose local government entity created under Chapter 190, Florida Statutes, which manages community-wide improvements and the Amenity Center.
Tools for a Aberdeen St Johns buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Aberdeen St Johns sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Aberdeen St Johns, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Aberdeen St Johns home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Aberdeen St Johns, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Aberdeen St Johns on the map →
Recent Developments in Aberdeen St Johns
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Aberdeen St Johns, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- July 2026Infrastructure
CR 210 widening westbound lanes set to reopen in St. Johns County
News4Jax reported that all westbound lanes of the County Road 210 widening project in St. Johns County were expected to reopen by the end of Friday, July 31, 2026, ahead of the August 10 school year start. The county said it is managing 44 active road projects totaling $183.1 million this year.
What it may mean for the marketExpands roadway capacity on a major county corridor, improving traffic flow and supporting continued growth along the CR 210 area. The project is about 10 miles east of Aberdeen St Johns, elsewhere in St. Johns County.
Source: News4Jax - July 2026Development
Six agricultural enclave projects seek to develop 6,500-plus acres in St. Johns County
Jacksonville Today reported that St. Johns County received six proposals totaling more than 6,558 acres for development under a new Florida agricultural enclave law that took effect July 1, 2026. The largest proposal, about 4,462 acres north of Nocatee, comes from the Davis family and the PARC Group. The County Commission scheduled a public hearing on the proposals for August 19, 2026.
What it may mean for the marketSignals a large potential expansion of developable land and future housing and commercial capacity, using a new state process that can convert farmland to residential and commercial use with reduced local review. The project is about 11 miles east of Aberdeen St Johns, elsewhere in St. Johns County.
Source: Jacksonville Today - July 2026Retail & Dining
Publix opens and more retailers coming to Marketplace at Nocatee
An official Nocatee business update reported that a Publix supermarket with a pharmacy drive-thru and adjacent Publix Liquors has opened at Marketplace at Nocatee. Additional announced tenants include SoFresh in late summer 2026, a Gate gas station, BODYBAR Pilates, a nail spa and a wine and spirits shop. The Hub at Nocatee entertainment concept is slated for 2028.
What it may mean for the marketExpands grocery, dining and everyday retail capacity at a growing town center, adding anchor and service tenants that build out the commercial base of the area. The project is about 11 miles east of Aberdeen St Johns, elsewhere in St. Johns County.
Source: Nocatee - June 2026Infrastructure
First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns
The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.
What it may mean for the marketNew limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 8 miles southwest of Aberdeen St Johns.
Source: Jax Daily Record - May 2026Retail & Dining
Grocery-anchored retail center proposed in Durbin Park
A grocery-anchored retail center was proposed at Durbin Park, the large mixed-use development near Interstate 95 and County Road 210 in northern St. Johns County, adding to the district's existing stores, restaurants, and Walmart-anchored core.
What it may mean for the marketAdded grocery and retail at Durbin Park deepens everyday conveniences in northern St. Johns County, an amenity factor that can support demand for surrounding communities. The site is about 5 miles east of Aberdeen St Johns.
Source: Jax Daily Record - February 2026Retail & Dining
Durbin Park Walmart plans an expansion
The Walmart anchoring Durbin Park filed plans to expand in early 2026, reinforcing the retail core of the Interstate 95 and County Road 210 district in northern St. Johns County.
What it may mean for the marketInvestment in Durbin Park's retail anchor signals continued commercial strength in northern St. Johns County, which can reinforce the appeal of nearby residential areas. The site is about 5 miles east of Aberdeen St Johns.
Source: Jax Daily Record
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Aberdeen St Johns?
How long do homes in Aberdeen St Johns take to sell?
Do cash buyers compete in Aberdeen St Johns?
Have Aberdeen St Johns home prices gone up?
Who is the best real estate agent for Aberdeen St Johns?
How do I find a top St. Johns real estate agent who knows Aberdeen St Johns?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Aberdeen St Johns?
Should you buy in Aberdeen St Johns?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 14, 2026 |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-07-12 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2007 (2,269 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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