Keaton Chase
Homes for Sale in Orange Park, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Keaton Chase is a built-out pocket of Orange Park, with 111 homes that went up in a tight window between 1997 and 2002 and a median build year of 1999. When the housing stock is this uniform in age and size — a median around 2,259 square feet — price is driven less by the neighborhood and more by the individual home: what's been updated, how the systems have held up, and how the lot sits. Two homes on the same street can trade very differently based on condition alone.
The other number worth watching is the homestead share, at roughly 72 percent. That points to a community held largely by owner-occupants rather than investors, which typically means fewer distressed or rushed sales and a steadier, condition-sensitive market. For a seller, that means presentation and updates carry real weight. For a buyer, it means you're competing mostly with people who intend to live here, so be ready to move on a well-kept listing.
Figures in this note are as of July 12, 2026. The live market numbers elsewhere on this page update nightly and are newer.
The 60-Second Overview
Keaton Chase is a compact, fully established Orange Park community in Clay County, built out over a five-year stretch around the turn of the millennium — the kind of place where the layout is settled and the trees have had time to fill in.
Pre-construction details are compiled from public records, builder announcements and builder listings, and are subject to change without notice; figures are deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Momentum Research figures are our own analysis. This page describes homes, pricing and community attributes, not residents.
Who Keaton Chase is best for.
Best for
- Buyers seeking a move-in-ready home around 2,259 square feet in a settled Clay County setting
- Long-hold owner-occupants who value a stable, owner-heavy community
- Buyers willing to pay up for a home with documented updates and replaced systems
Probably not for
- Buyers set on new construction or the latest floor-plan trends
- Investors looking for a high-turnover, investor-heavy market to churn
- Buyers on a tight budget who can't absorb near-term roof or HVAC replacement on an aging home
The market around Keaton Chase
Keaton Chase is too small for its own price trend, so here is the market around it.
In ZIP 32003, 172 homes are on the market and 33% are under contract — a fast-moving corner of Orange Park.
Across Clay County, 1,404 homes are active and 459 pending (25% under contract).
ZIP and county figures describe the wider market, not Keaton Chase specifically. Momentum Research analysis of MLS records.
Housing distress & ownership in Keaton Chase, Orange Park
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The Keaton Chase buying strategy.
If we were buying in Keaton Chase today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Keaton Chase.
A condition-driven resale market
With homes clustered between 1997 and 2002, most of these houses are now at the age where major systems — roofs, HVAC, water heaters — have either been replaced once or are due. That's the single biggest swing factor on value here. A home that's been methodically maintained and updated will command a premium over one that's original throughout, and the median price masks a wide spread between those two conditions.
The median living area of about 2,259 square feet points to genuine single-family footprints rather than starter boxes. Because the housing stock is so consistent in vintage and scale, buyers can compare apples to apples more easily than in a mixed-age neighborhood — which makes an honest read on condition, not square footage, the thing that wins or loses a negotiation.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Keaton Chase. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Why work with Momentum here
In a community this uniform, the value story lives in the details — which roof, which HVAC, which kitchen. We price and negotiate off the specifics of your home against recent comparable condition, not off a blanket neighborhood number. Whether you're selling and need to know which updates actually move the needle, or buying and need a clear-eyed read on what you're inheriting, we'll give you the straight version.
Keaton Chase in 15 seconds.
Tools for a Keaton Chase buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Keaton Chase sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Keaton Chase, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
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Recent Developments in Keaton Chase
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Keaton Chase, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated October 2026.
- September 2026Infrastructure
County Road 220 widening and Little Black Creek bridge replacement open to traffic in Clay County
The project finished ahead of schedule, with a new four-lane bridge over Little Black Creek replacing a 1947 structure. Phase 1 began in December 2024 with intersection improvements at Rideout Ferry Road, and Phase 2 began in January 2025. Officials say it should ease traffic along the corridor.
What it may mean for the marketA four-lane CR 220 corridor improves commute capacity for Fleming Island and Middleburg area drivers. The site is about 3 miles southwest of Keaton Chase.
Source: News4JAX - June 2026Development
Hillwood contracts with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center
Master developer Hillwood contracted with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center on Jacksonville's Westside, continuing the buildout of the former Naval Air Station Cecil Field into an industrial and logistics park.
What it may mean for the marketContinued absorption of large industrial parcels at Cecil signals sustained employment growth on the Westside, which can support housing demand across nearby communities. The site is about 11 miles northwest of Keaton Chase.
Source: Jax Daily Record - June 2026Builder Activity
Hyland Trail to bring over 3,000 homes to Lake Asbury in Clay County
News4Jax reported that Hyland Trail, along with the related Edenbrooke and The Glens communities, will bring more than 3,000 new homes to the Lake Asbury area of Clay County. Homes are being built by Dream Finders, Pulte and Lennar, with a Lodge amenity center featuring a beach-entry pool, splash zone, exercise facility and pickleball courts. Edenbrooke includes an age-restricted, low-maintenance home section.
What it may mean for the marketAdds a large volume of new single-family housing supply and a private amenity center to the Lake Asbury area, expanding for-sale inventory across a range of home sizes and price points. The project is about 7 miles southwest of Keaton Chase, elsewhere in Clay County.
Source: News4Jax - June 2026Infrastructure
First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns
The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.
What it may mean for the marketNew limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 6 miles south of Keaton Chase.
Source: Jax Daily Record - April 2026Development
Hillwood seeks to mass-grade an AllianceFlorida site for a possible 1 million-square-foot building
Hillwood asked to mass grade a site at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center to prepare for a possible 1 million-square-foot building, a step that typically precedes a large industrial or distribution user committing to the Westside park.
What it may mean for the marketA build-ready million-square-foot pad points to a potential large employer on the Westside, the kind of jobs anchor that can lift demand for nearby housing. The site is about 11 miles northwest of Keaton Chase.
Source: Jax Daily Record
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
Frequently Asked Questions
How many homes are in Keaton Chase?
What share of Keaton Chase is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Keaton Chase built?
Who is the best real estate agent for Keaton Chase?
How do I find a top Orange Park real estate agent who knows Keaton Chase?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Keaton Chase?
Should you buy in Keaton Chase?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Keaton Chase with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: October 21, 2026) |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR assessment roll (street-list match (2 streets, ZIP 32003/32073)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-10-20 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2001 (49 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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