Orange Park
Housing Market
Median sale price $325,000, down 4.0% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 40 days, 160 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 3.3 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 29% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 4.0% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 96.1% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 29% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 3.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here gradually.
Derived from current Orange Park data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where Orange Park is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (90 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on Orange Park
The median sale price across Orange Park currently stands at $325,000, down 4.0% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $177 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 40 days. Sellers are capturing 96.1% of their original asking price on average.
There are 160 active listings on the market, with 63 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.3 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 641 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Orange Park prices sit below the Clay County median by roughly 3%. Zillow's home value index for Clay County stands at $336,191. About 30% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Orange Park is 62 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 6, 2026.
Orange Park since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $128,070 in 2012 and $348,237 over the last recorded year — 172% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (21,812 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Home value trend · Clay County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Clay County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving Orange Park
Top inbound states: CA, VA, NY, NC. Movers arriving report ~$65,179 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
606 Citizens policies in force in Clay County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Clay purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
1,240 single-family · 282 multi-family · 6.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Orange Park right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up across Clay County
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange Park ← this page | $325K | 160 | 62 | |
| Green Cove Springs | $357K | 223 | 60 | Open → |
| Middleburg | $315K | 217 | 57 | Open → |
| Fleming Island | $460K | 56 | 70 | Open → |
| Keystone Heights | $272K | 44 | 47 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| Park WestOrange Park | $400K | ▲ 17% |
| Laurel Grove PlanOrange Park | $295K | ▲ 5% |
| Wilford PreserveOrange Park | $429K | ▲ 5% |
| Bear RunOrange Park | $288K | ▲ 4% |
| Grove ParkOrange Park | $300K | ▲ 3% |
| RidgewoodOrange Park | $175K | ▼ 32% |
| Heritage OaksOrange Park | $325K | ▼ 25% |
| Plantation VillageOrange Park | $188K | ▼ 19% |
| Cedar BendOrange Park | $225K | ▼ 17% |
| Waterview RidgeOrange Park | $223K | ▼ 16% |
| Wilford PreserveOrange Park | $429K | 29 |
| Eagle LandingOrange Park | $572K | 22 |
| MeadowbrookOrange Park | $250K | 17 |
| Silver LeafOrange Park | $452K | 8 |
| Forest HammockOrange Park | $365K | 7 |
| Spencers CrossingOrange Park | $265K | 9 days |
| Townhomes of Holly CoveOrange Park | $222K | 16 days |
| Sheffield VillageOrange Park | $300K | 16 days |
| Cedar BendOrange Park | $225K | 17 days |
| Park WestOrange Park | $400K | 18 days |
Orange Park ZIP codes
Most active communities
More on Orange Park
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Orange Park right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Orange Park — the Momentum Score reads 62/100 with 3.3 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Orange Park becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Orange Park is $325,000, down 4.0% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.1% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in Orange Park?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Ridgewood (-32%); Heritage Oaks (-25%); Plantation Village (-19%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Orange Park neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Spencers Crossing (9 days); Townhomes of Holly Cove (16 days); Sheffield Village (16 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 40 days.
How does Orange Park compare to the rest of Clay County?
Orange Park's median of $325,000 runs 3% below the county-wide median of $335,512, and homes here take 40 days to go under contract versus 46 county-wide.
Momentum Realty in Orange Park: our agents closed 60 homes here for buyers and sellers in the last 12 months (28 as the listing brokerage, 30 representing the buyer, 2 on both sides), median sale $325,500 (brokerage closed records through October 2026). Find the right Momentum agent in Orange Park →
Orange Park housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in Orange Park right now?
As of October 6, 2026, the Orange Park housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $325,000 (down 4.0% year over year), 160 homes are for sale against 641 sales in the last 12 months, which is 3.3 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 40 days.
How much is a house in Orange Park?
The median home sold for $325,000 in Orange Park over the last 12 months, about $177 per square foot; asking prices on the 160 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in Orange Park?
By the numbers, sellers in Orange Park are getting 96.1% of asking price and going under contract in about 40 days with 3.3 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the Orange Park housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Orange Park median sale prices are down 4.0% year over year, inventory stands at 3.3 months of supply, and 29% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in Orange Park?
The median sale price in Orange Park is currently $325,000, down 4.0% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 6, 2026.
Is Orange Park a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. Orange Park scores 62 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.3 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Orange Park?
The typical home in Orange Park goes under contract in about 40 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Orange Park?
There are approximately 160 active listings in Orange Park as of October 6, 2026.
Are home prices in Orange Park rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 4.0% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
How many homes has Momentum Realty sold in Orange Park?
Momentum Realty's agents closed 60 homes in Orange Park for buyers and sellers in the last 12 months (28 as the listing brokerage, 30 representing the buyer, 2 on both sides), median sale $325,500 (brokerage closed records through October 2026). The count is our brokerage's own closed transactions and is refreshed nightly; it is not a market total.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Orange Park. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 6, 2026 at 7:22 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.