32003 (Fleming Island)
Housing Market & Home Values
Median sale price $470,000, down 3.8% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 35 days, 87 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 4.2 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 21% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 3.8% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 96.8% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 21% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 3.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here gradually.
Derived from current 32003 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where 32003 is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (45 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on 32003 (Fleming Island)
The median sale price across 32003 currently stands at $470,000, down 3.8% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $204 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 35 days. Sellers are capturing 96.8% of their original asking price on average.
There are 87 active listings on the market, with 25 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.2 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 360 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Clay County stands at $335,274. About 30% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 32003 is 58 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 26, 2026.
32003 since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $160,966 in 2012 and $456,490 over the last recorded year — 184% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (2,255 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Home value trend · Clay County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Clay County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving 32003
Top inbound states: CA, VA, NY, NC. Movers arriving report ~$65,179 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
606 Citizens policies in force in Clay County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Clay purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
1,240 single-family · 282 multi-family · 6.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 32003 right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
Nearby ZIP codes in Clay
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32003 ← this page | $470K | 87 | 58 | |
| 32068 | $300K | 272 | 50 | Open → |
| 32043 | $331K | 271 | 48 | Open → |
| 32073 | $310K | 192 | 55 | Open → |
| 32065 | $339K | 159 | 51 | Open → |
| 32656 | $270K | 46 | 32 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| CelestinaFruit Cove | $700K | ▲ -7% |
| CelestinaFruit Cove | $700K | ▼ 7% |
| Eagle HarborFleming Island | $550K | 16 |
| Fleming Island PlantationFleming Island | $380K | 12 |
| Pace IslandFleming Island | $515K | 7 |
| CelestinaFruit Cove | $700K | 6 |
| LakeshoreJacksonville | $231K | 5 |
| Pace IslandFleming Island | $515K | 13 days |
| Eagle HarborFleming Island | $550K | 25 days |
| LakeshoreJacksonville | $231K | 39 days |
| CelestinaFruit Cove | $700K | 48 days |
| Cypress CreekInterlachen | $388K | 55 days |
Cities in this ZIP
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in 32003 right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 32003 — the Momentum Score reads 58/100 with 4.2 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is 32003 becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 32003 is $470,000, down 3.8% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.8% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in 32003?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Celestina (-7%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which 32003 neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Pace Island (13 days); Eagle Harbor (25 days); Lakeshore (39 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 35 days.
32003 (Fleming Island) housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in 32003 right now?
As of October 26, 2026, the 32003 housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $470,000 (down 3.8% year over year), 87 homes are for sale against 360 sales in the last 12 months, which is 4.2 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 35 days.
How much is a house in 32003?
The median home sold for $470,000 in 32003 over the last 12 months, about $204 per square foot; asking prices on the 87 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in 32003?
By the numbers, sellers in 32003 are getting 96.8% of asking price and going under contract in about 35 days with 4.2 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the 32003 housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 32003 median sale prices are down 3.8% year over year, inventory stands at 4.2 months of supply, and 21% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in 32003?
The median sale price in 32003 is currently $470,000, down 3.8% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 26, 2026.
Is 32003 a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. 32003 scores 58 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.2 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in 32003?
The typical home in 32003 goes under contract in about 35 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in 32003?
There are approximately 87 active listings in 32003 as of October 26, 2026.
Are home prices in 32003 rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 3.8% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 32003 (Fleming Island). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 26, 2026 at 10:07 AM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.
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