33559 (Lutz)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market
Median sale price $296,990, down 6.0% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 46 days, 37 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 2.7 months of supply — tight by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 27% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 6.0% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 97.7% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 27% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.1× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current 33559 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where 33559 is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (21 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on 33559 (Lutz)
The median sale price across 33559 currently stands at $296,990, down 6.0% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $198 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 46 days. Sellers are capturing 97.7% of their original asking price on average.
There are 37 active listings on the market, with 15 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 2.7 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 171 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Hillsborough County stands at $380,147. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33559 is 63 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.
33559 since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $91,652 in 2012 and $374,251 over the last recorded year — 308% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 10% of recent sales, down from a 40% peak.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (2,661 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Hillsborough County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Hillsborough County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving 33559
Top inbound states: NY, TX, NJ, GA. Movers arriving report ~$77,979 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
6,518 Citizens policies in force in Hillsborough County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hillsborough purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
4,295 single-family · 4,401 multi-family · 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 33559 right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
Nearby ZIP codes in Hillsborough
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33559 ← this page | $297K | 37 | 63 | |
| 33604 | $374K | 430 | 66 | Open → |
| 33579 | $360K | 217 | 52 | Open → |
| 33578 | $342K | 179 | 55 | Open → |
| 33598 | $360K | 169 | 57 | Open → |
| 33569 | $352K | 149 | 62 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| Lake Forest Unit 6 BLutz | $255K | ▲ 11% |
| OAK GROVE PH 03Lutz | $394K | ▲ 2% |
| Willow Square TwnhmsLutz | $355K | ▲ 0% |
| oak grove ph 02Lutz | $384K | ▲ -7% |
| turtle lakesLutz | $380K | ▲ -7% |
| carpenters run ph 04bLutz | $322K | ▼ 16% |
| TOWNS AT WOODSDALEWesley Chapel | $296K | ▼ 9% |
| Parkview Long Lake RanchLutz | $468K | ▼ 8% |
| DEER PARKNew Port Richey | $310K | ▼ 8% |
| turtle lakesLutz | $380K | ▼ 7% |
| DEER PARKNew Port Richey | $310K | 14 |
| Parkview Long Lake RanchLutz | $468K | 8 |
| Cordoba RanchLutz | $1.25M | 5 |
| carpenters run ph 04bLutz | $322K | 4 |
| Towns At WoodsdaleWesley Chapel | $297K | 2 |
| carpenters run ph 04bLutz | $322K | 8 days |
| turtle lakesLutz | $380K | 10 days |
| OAK GROVE PH 03Lutz | $394K | 22 days |
| oak grove ph 02Lutz | $384K | 22 days |
| DEER PARKNew Port Richey | $310K | 23 days |
Cities in this ZIP
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in 33559 right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33559 — the Momentum Score reads 63/100 with 2.7 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is 33559 becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33559 is $296,990, down 6.0% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 97.7% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in 33559?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are carpenters run ph 04b (-16%); TOWNS AT WOODSDALE (-9%); Parkview Long Lake Ranch (-8%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which 33559 neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are carpenters run ph 04b (8 days); turtle lakes (10 days); OAK GROVE PH 03 (22 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 46 days.
33559 (Lutz) housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in 33559 right now?
As of September 15, 2026, the 33559 housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $296,990 (down 6.0% year over year), 37 homes are for sale against 171 sales in the last 12 months, which is 2.7 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 46 days.
How much is a house in 33559?
The median home sold for $296,990 in 33559 over the last 12 months, about $198 per square foot; asking prices on the 37 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in 33559?
By the numbers, sellers in 33559 are getting 97.7% of asking price and going under contract in about 46 days with 2.7 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the 33559 housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33559 median sale prices are down 6.0% year over year, inventory stands at 2.7 months of supply, and 27% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in 33559?
The median sale price in 33559 is currently $296,990, down 6.0% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.
Is 33559 a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. 33559 scores 63 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 2.7 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in 33559?
The typical home in 33559 goes under contract in about 46 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in 33559?
There are approximately 37 active listings in 33559 as of September 15, 2026.
Are home prices in 33559 rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 6.0% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33559 (Lutz). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.