Florida Housing IntelligencePolk County › 33813 (Lakeland)
Aerial view of 33813, Florida

33813 (Lakeland)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Polk County

Median sale price $400,000, down 2.6% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 48 days, 8 homes on the market.

42 communities reporting243 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 43
Live Market Pulse
43/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
About 6 months of supply — room to negotiate. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · 33813 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$400K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 2.6% vs the prior 12 months
-2.6%
1-yr price change
n = 243 recent sales
$201/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Polk County: $174 · flat vs prior yr
94.7%
Sale vs ask
Polk County: 95.6% · -0.3pp vs prior yr
$298K
Polk County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.7% vs a year ago
Tempo
6.0mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
48days
Median DOM · closed
Polk County: 58 days · +10.0 days vs prior yr
4%
Under contract
Polk County: 12%
8 · 1 ▼8
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
4
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +4.3% vs prior yr
Market context
26%
Listings with price cuts
Polk County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
5,166
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.5% vs prior month
30%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 34% · -2.4pp vs prior yr
43/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
42
Communities reporting
of 117 tracked in 33813
Economy & people · county layer
$63,644
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
760,961
County population
+13.8% since 2018
4.7×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
70%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,769/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 6.0 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 4% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 2.6% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 94.7% of asking. Taken together, the data leans toward buyers — leverage is real for those ready to use it.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 43
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage57
Seller leverage43

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 4% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33813 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33813 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (33 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33813 (Lakeland)

The median sale price across 33813 currently stands at $400,000, down 2.6% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $201 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 48 days. Sellers are capturing 94.7% of their original asking price on average.

There are 8 active listings on the market, with 1 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 6.0 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 4 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Polk County stands at $298,058. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33813 is 43 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

33813 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $316,129 in 2012 and $507,848 over the last recorded year — 61% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 30% of recent sales, down from a 34% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (2,452 recorded sales)

$216K$380K$545K$508K2012: $316K2013: $236K2014: $249K2015: $247K2016: $249K2017: $250K2018: $223K2022: $424K2023: $494K2024: $538K2025: $469K2026: $508K20122015201820242026

Days on market by year

9d39d69d48d2012: 47d2013: 47d2014: 54d2015: 56d2016: 48d2017: 52d2018: 68d2022: 11d2023: 23d2024: 36d2025: 38d2026: 48d20122015201820242026

Cash buyers · share of sales

22%28%34%30%2016: 27%2017: 24%2018: 25%2019: 24%2020: 22%2021: 27%2022: 34%2023: 28%2024: 30%2025: 32%2026: 30%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Polk County (Zillow ZHVI)

$298K$302K$307K$298KJul '25: $306KAug '25: $305KSep '25: $304KOct '25: $303KNov '25: $302KDec '25: $302KJan '26: $302KFeb '26: $302KMar '26: $301KApr '26: $301KMay '26: $300KJun '26: $299KJul '26: $298KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

5,0565,3545,6515,166Jul '25: 5,640Aug '25: 5,549Sep '25: 5,428Oct '25: 5,342Nov '25: 5,265Dec '25: 5,136Jan '26: 5,084Feb '26: 5,068Mar '26: 5,193Apr '26: 5,212May '26: 5,227Jun '26: 5,190Jul '26: 5,166Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Polk County (MLS)

1,6843,8295,973Aug 03 · Active: 5,584Aug 04 · Active: 5,523Aug 05 · Active: 5,552Aug 06 · Active: 5,566Aug 07 · Active: 5,587Aug 08 · Active: 5,593Aug 09 · Active: 5,599Aug 10 · Active: 5,585Aug 11 · Active: 5,567Aug 12 · Active: 5,606Aug 13 · Active: 5,607Aug 15 · Active: 5,600Aug 17 · Active: 5,562Aug 19 · Active: 5,572Aug 22 · Active: 5,630Aug 23 · Active: 5,646Aug 28 · Active: 5,637Aug 29 · Active: 5,656Aug 30 · Active: 5,646Aug 31 · Active: 5,638Sep 07 · Active: 5,799Sep 09 · Active: 5,793Sep 11 · Active: 5,864Sep 12 · Active: 5,881Sep 13 · Active: 5,888Sep 14 · Active: 5,863Sep 15 · Active: 5,855Aug 03Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$384K$392K$400K$400KAug 06: $384KAug 08: $384KAug 09: $384KAug 10: $384KAug 11: $384KAug 12: $384KAug 13: $384KAug 15: $384KAug 17: $384KAug 18: $384KAug 19: $384KAug 20: $384KAug 21: $384KAug 22: $384KAug 23: $384KAug 24: $384KAug 26: $384KAug 28: $384KAug 29: $384KAug 30: $384KAug 31: $384KSep 01: $384KSep 04: $384KSep 05: $384KSep 06: $384KSep 07: $384KSep 08: $384KSep 09: $384KSep 10: $384KSep 11: $384KSep 12: $400KSep 13: $400KSep 14: $400KSep 15: $400KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 93%Half Duplex 2%? 2%Townhome 1%Villa 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33813

Who’s moving here
+18,556 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, PA, TX. Movers arriving report ~$56,322 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,931/yr avg premium

5,380 Citizens policies in force in Polk County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Polk purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
8,236 units permitted -21% YoY

6,725 single-family · 1,511 multi-family · 10.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
LAKEWOOD ESTATES ▼ 33%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Buyers: ask for concessions — rate buydowns and repair credits are back on the table. Sellers: presentation and the first two weekends decide your outcome; price accordingly.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Polk

MarketMedianActiveScore
33813 ← this page$400K843
30153$242K3051Open →
33837$355K2445Open →
33823$347K1268Open →
30125$270K755Open →
33897$510K533Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
TURTLE ROCKSarasota$675K▲ 8%
EAGLEBROOKE PH 02Lakeland$435K▲ 6%
TREYMONTLakeland$668K▲ 3%
W F HALLAM & COS FARMING & TRUCKING LANDSLakeland$315K▲ 0%
HALLAM PRESERVE EASTLakeland$375K▲ -12%
Prices cooling fastest
LAKEWOOD ESTATESTampa$244K▼ 33%
CHRISTINA WOODSLakeland$400K▼ 22%
THE MEADOWSSarasota$490K▼ 21%
HALLAM PRESERVE EASTLakeland$375K▼ 12%
W F HALLAM & COS FARMING & TRUCKING LANDSLakeland$315K▼ 0%
Most homes for sale
LAKEWOOD ESTATESTampa$244K5
THE MEADOWSSarasota$490K1
Selling fastest
LAKEWOOD ESTATESTampa$244K16 days
W F HALLAM & COS FARMING & TRUCKING LANDSLakeland$315K22 days
TREYMONTLakeland$668K26 days
CHRISTINA WOODSLakeland$400K29 days
HALLAM PRESERVE EASTLakeland$375K42 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33813 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor buyers in 33813 — the Momentum Score reads 43/100 with 6.0 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33813 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33813 is $400,000, down 2.6% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 94.7% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33813?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are LAKEWOOD ESTATES (-33%); CHRISTINA WOODS (-22%); THE MEADOWS (-21%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33813 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are LAKEWOOD ESTATES (16 days); W F HALLAM & COS FARMING & TRUCKING LANDS (22 days); TREYMONT (26 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 48 days.

Questions

33813 (Lakeland) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 33813 right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the 33813 housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $400,000 (down 2.6% year over year), 8 homes are for sale against 4 sales in the last 12 months, which is 6.0 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 48 days.

How much is a house in 33813?

The median home sold for $400,000 in 33813 over the last 12 months, about $201 per square foot; asking prices on the 8 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 33813?

By the numbers, sellers in 33813 are getting 94.7% of asking price and going under contract in about 48 days with 6.0 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 33813 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33813 median sale prices are down 2.6% year over year, inventory stands at 6.0 months of supply, and 4% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 33813?

The median sale price in 33813 is currently $400,000, down 2.6% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 33813 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 33813 scores 43 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 6.0 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33813?

The typical home in 33813 goes under contract in about 48 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33813?

There are approximately 8 active listings in 33813 as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in 33813 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 2.6% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33813 (Lakeland). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.