Ave Maria
Housing Market

City market report · Collier County · 4 ZIP codes

Median sale price $399,500, down 9.9% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 74 days, 211 homes on the market.

9 communities reporting303 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 32
Live Market Pulse
32/100
Momentum
Soft Market
Prices are down 10% year over year — negotiating room is real. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · Ave Maria Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$400K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 9.9% vs the prior 12 months
-9.9%
1-yr price change
n = 303 recent sales
$201/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Collier County: $327 · -5.8% vs prior yr
92.8%
Sale vs ask
Collier County: 91.0% · +1.4pp vs prior yr
$554K
Collier County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -3.6% vs a year ago
Tempo
74days
Median DOM · closed
Collier County: 74 days · flat vs prior yr
14%
Under contract
Collier County: 24%
211 · 30 ▲16
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
Market context
18%
Listings with price cuts
Collier County · Zillow · -2.7pp vs prior month
6,306
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -9.6% vs prior month
32%
New construction
share of recent sales · -6.8pp vs prior yr
32/100
Momentum score
Soft Market
9
Communities reporting
of 15 tracked in Ave Maria
Economy & people · county layer
$86,173
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
387,681
County population
+6.5% since 2018
6.4×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$3,219/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

14% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 9.9% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 92.8% of asking. Taken together, the data leans toward buyers — leverage is real for those ready to use it.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 32
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage68
Seller leverage32

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors buyers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 14% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 6.4× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Ave Maria data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
mo · buyer-tilted · 59 active
$300K–$500K
mo · buyer-tilted · 99 active
$500K–$750K
mo · buyer-tilted · 53 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where Ave Maria is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (9 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on Ave Maria

The median sale price across Ave Maria currently stands at $399,500, down 9.9% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $201 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 74 days. Sellers are capturing 92.8% of their original asking price on average.

There are 211 active listings on the market, with 30 more already under contract.

Ave Maria prices sit below the Collier County median by roughly 30%. Zillow's home value index for Collier County stands at $553,841. About 18% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Ave Maria is 32 of 100 — soft market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

Ave Maria since 2014 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $197,412 in 2014 and $380,822 over the last recorded year — 93% appreciation across 12 years of recorded sales.

Median sale price · 2014–2026 (2,063 recorded sales)

$192K$333K$475K$381K2014: $197K2015: $287K2016: $282K2017: $267K2018: $271K2019: $292K2020: $279K2021: $341K2022: $402K2023: $469K2024: $464K2025: $426K2026: $381K20142017202020232026

Days on market by year

12d51d90d74d2014: 37d2015: 50d2016: 37d2017: 71d2018: 60d2019: 83d2020: 89d2021: 35d2022: 14d2023: 38d2024: 56d2025: 74d2026: 74d20142017202020232026

Home value trend · Collier County (Zillow ZHVI)

$553K$564K$575K$554KJul '25: $574KAug '25: $569KSep '25: $565KOct '25: $562KNov '25: $561KDec '25: $560KJan '26: $560KFeb '26: $560KMar '26: $560KApr '26: $559KMay '26: $556KJun '26: $554KJul '26: $554KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

6,2697,1858,1006,306Jul '25: 7,702Aug '25: 6,984Sep '25: 6,475Oct '25: 6,377Nov '25: 6,603Dec '25: 6,910Jan '26: 7,328Feb '26: 7,686Mar '26: 8,064Apr '26: 7,999May '26: 7,628Jun '26: 6,972Jul '26: 6,306Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Collier County (MLS)

9682,8154,661Aug 22 · Active: 4,588Aug 23 · Active: 4,585Aug 28 · Active: 4,541Aug 29 · Active: 4,553Aug 30 · Active: 4,544Aug 31 · Active: 4,540Sep 07 · Active: 4,468Sep 09 · Active: 4,461Sep 11 · Active: 4,499Sep 12 · Active: 4,487Sep 13 · Active: 4,481Sep 14 · Active: 4,480Sep 15 · Active: 4,496Aug 22Sep 07Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$399K$400K$400K$400KAug 06: $400KAug 08: $400KAug 09: $400KAug 10: $400KAug 11: $400KAug 12: $400KAug 13: $400KAug 15: $400KAug 17: $400KAug 18: $400KAug 19: $400KAug 20: $400KAug 21: $400KAug 22: $400KAug 23: $400KAug 24: $400KAug 26: $400KAug 28: $400KAug 29: $400KAug 30: $400KAug 31: $400KSep 01: $400KSep 04: $400KSep 05: $400KSep 06: $400KSep 07: $400KSep 08: $400KSep 09: $400KSep 10: $400KSep 11: $400KSep 12: $400KSep 13: $400KSep 14: $400KSep 15: $400KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Ave Maria

Who’s moving here
+2,411 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: IL, NY, MA, NJ. Movers arriving report ~$283,468 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$2,147/yr avg premium

2,002 Citizens policies in force in Collier County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Collier purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
2,736 units permitted -22% YoY

1,945 single-family · 791 multi-family · 7.1 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
The National Golf & Country Club At Ave Maria ▼ 15%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Buyers: ask for concessions — rate buydowns and repair credits are back on the table. Sellers: presentation and the first two weekends decide your outcome; price accordingly.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Collier County

MarketMedianActiveScore
Ave Maria ← this page$400K21132
Naples$570K3,10543Open →
Marco Island$1.34M32636Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Maple RidgeAve Maria$528K▲ -1%
SilverwoodAve Maria$360K▲ -8%
Avalon ParkAve Maria$490K▲ -9%
Del WebbAve Maria$400K▲ -10%
The National Golf & Country Club At Ave MariaAve Maria$286K▲ -15%
Prices cooling fastest
The National Golf & Country Club At Ave MariaAve Maria$286K▼ 15%
Del WebbAve Maria$400K▼ 10%
Avalon ParkAve Maria$490K▼ 9%
SilverwoodAve Maria$360K▼ 8%
Maple RidgeAve Maria$528K▼ 1%
Most homes for sale
Del WebbAve Maria$400K63
The National Golf & Country Club At Ave MariaAve Maria$286K59
Maple RidgeAve Maria$528K53
SilverwoodAve Maria$360K14
GatherpointAve Maria$366K9
Selling fastest
The National Golf & Country Club At Ave MariaAve Maria$286K52 days
Avalon ParkAve Maria$490K59 days
Maple RidgeAve Maria$528K89 days
SilverwoodAve Maria$360K91 days
Del WebbAve Maria$400K96 days
Explore Deeper

Ave Maria ZIP codes

Most active communities

More on Ave Maria

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Ave Maria right now?

The data says conditions currently favor buyers in Ave Maria — the Momentum Score reads 32/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Ave Maria becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Ave Maria is $399,500, down 9.9% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 92.8% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in Ave Maria?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are The National Golf & Country Club At Ave Maria (-15%); Del Webb (-10%); Avalon Park (-9%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which Ave Maria neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are The National Golf & Country Club At Ave Maria (52 days); Avalon Park (59 days); Maple Ridge (89 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 74 days.

How does Ave Maria compare to the rest of Collier County?

Ave Maria's median of $399,500 runs 30% below the county-wide median of $570,000, and homes here take 74 days to go under contract versus 74 county-wide.

Questions

Ave Maria housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in Ave Maria right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the Ave Maria housing market favors buyers: the median sale price is $399,500 (down 9.9% year over year), 211 homes are for sale, and the typical home goes under contract in about 74 days.

How much is a house in Ave Maria?

The median home sold for $399,500 in Ave Maria over the last 12 months, about $201 per square foot; asking prices on the 211 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in Ave Maria?

By the numbers, sellers in Ave Maria are getting 92.8% of asking price and going under contract in about 74 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the Ave Maria housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Ave Maria median sale prices are down 9.9% year over year, and 14% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in Ave Maria?

The median sale price in Ave Maria is currently $399,500, down 9.9% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is Ave Maria a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors buyers. Ave Maria scores 32 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Ave Maria?

The typical home in Ave Maria goes under contract in about 74 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in Ave Maria?

There are approximately 211 active listings in Ave Maria as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in Ave Maria rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 9.9% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Ave Maria. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.