Odessa
Housing Market

City market report · Hillsborough County · 4 ZIP codes

Median sale price $685,000, up 1.3% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 40 days, 53 homes on the market.

66 communities reporting511 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 57
Live Market Pulse
57/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
221 homes sold here in the last 12 months. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · Odessa Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$685K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
up 1.3% vs the prior 12 months
+1.3%
1-yr price change
n = 511 recent sales
$261/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Hillsborough County: $219 · -4.0% vs prior yr
95.1%
Sale vs ask
Hillsborough County: 95.6% · -0.7pp vs prior yr
$380K
Hillsborough County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.0% vs a year ago
Tempo
3.3mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
40days
Median DOM · closed
Hillsborough County: 43 days · +6.0 days vs prior yr
14%
Under contract
Hillsborough County: 27%
53 · 10 ▲4
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
221
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -7.6% vs prior yr
Market context
32%
Listings with price cuts
Hillsborough County · Zillow · +1.1pp vs prior month
7,582
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.3% vs prior month
19%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 26% · -5.6pp vs prior yr
57/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
66
Communities reporting
of 242 tracked in Odessa
Economy & people · county layer
$75,011
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
1,489,634
County population
+8.0% since 2018
5.1×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
61%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,787/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 3.3 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 14% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 1.3% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 95.1% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 57
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage43
Seller leverage57

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — pressure remains upward while supply stays this thin.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 14% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.1× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Odessa data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

$300K–$500K
5.0 mo · balanced band · 12 active
$500K–$750K
2.2 mo · seller-tilted · 23 active
$750K+
3.2 mo · balanced band · 18 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where Odessa is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (66 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on Odessa

The median sale price across Odessa currently stands at $685,000, up 1.3% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $261 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 40 days. Sellers are capturing 95.1% of their original asking price on average.

There are 53 active listings on the market, with 10 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.3 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 221 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Odessa prices sit above the Hillsborough County median by roughly 74%. Zillow's home value index for Hillsborough County stands at $380,147. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Odessa is 57 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

Odessa since 2013 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $343,083 in 2013 and $728,850 over the last recorded year — 112% appreciation across 13 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 19% of recent sales, down from a 26% peak.

Median sale price · 2013–2026 (3,995 recorded sales)

$333K$535K$737K$729K2013: $343K2014: $347K2015: $347K2016: $341K2017: $385K2018: $431K2019: $400K2021: $538K2022: $650K2023: $679K2024: $713K2025: $708K2026: $729K20132016201920232026

Days on market by year

2d63d124d41d2013: 71d2014: 78d2015: 58d2016: 51d2017: 45d2018: 122d2019: 107d2021: 5d2022: 8d2023: 27d2024: 21d2025: 35d2026: 41d20132016201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

7%17%26%19%2016: 14%2017: 12%2018: 16%2019: 10%2020: 7%2021: 13%2022: 19%2023: 20%2024: 26%2025: 25%2026: 19%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Hillsborough County (Zillow ZHVI)

$380K$384K$388K$380KJul '25: $388KAug '25: $386KSep '25: $384KOct '25: $383KNov '25: $383KDec '25: $382KJan '26: $383KFeb '26: $383KMar '26: $383KApr '26: $382KMay '26: $381KJun '26: $380KJul '26: $380KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

7,1107,7418,3717,582Jul '25: 8,346Aug '25: 8,204Sep '25: 8,051Oct '25: 7,893Nov '25: 7,692Dec '25: 7,355Jan '26: 7,171Feb '26: 7,136Mar '26: 7,393Apr '26: 7,530May '26: 7,621Jun '26: 7,604Jul '26: 7,582Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Hillsborough County (MLS)

1,8504,2356,619Jul 07 · Active: 6,232Aug 03 · Active: 6,502Aug 04 · Active: 6,415Aug 05 · Active: 6,465Aug 06 · Active: 6,471Aug 07 · Active: 6,498Aug 08 · Active: 6,522Aug 09 · Active: 6,511Aug 10 · Active: 6,510Aug 11 · Active: 6,500Aug 12 · Active: 6,468Aug 13 · Active: 6,460Aug 15 · Active: 6,524Aug 17 · Active: 6,465Aug 19 · Active: 6,424Aug 22 · Active: 6,500Aug 23 · Active: 6,497Aug 28 · Active: 6,472Aug 29 · Active: 6,503Aug 30 · Active: 6,485Aug 31 · Active: 6,465Sep 07 · Active: 6,438Sep 09 · Active: 6,413Sep 11 · Active: 6,512Sep 12 · Active: 6,521Sep 13 · Active: 6,523Sep 14 · Active: 6,501Sep 15 · Active: 6,505Jul 07Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$684K$706K$728K$685KAug 06: $728KAug 08: $728KAug 09: $728KAug 10: $728KAug 11: $728KAug 12: $728KAug 13: $728KAug 15: $728KAug 17: $728KAug 18: $728KAug 19: $728KAug 20: $728KAug 21: $728KAug 22: $728KAug 23: $728KAug 24: $728KAug 26: $728KAug 28: $728KAug 29: $728KAug 30: $728KAug 31: $728KSep 01: $728KSep 04: $728KSep 05: $728KSep 06: $728KSep 07: $728KSep 08: $728KSep 09: $728KSep 10: $728KSep 11: $728KSep 12: $685KSep 13: $685KSep 14: $685KSep 15: $685KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 93%Townhome 5%? 2%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Odessa

Who’s moving here
-1,186 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, TX, NJ, GA. Movers arriving report ~$77,979 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,816/yr avg premium

6,518 Citizens policies in force in Hillsborough County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hillsborough purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
8,696 units permitted -4% YoY

4,295 single-family · 4,401 multi-family · 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Keystone Park Colony Sub ▲ 38%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
$300K–$500K: 5.0 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Odessa right now.

Biggest opportunity
$500K–$750K: 2.2 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Hillsborough County

MarketMedianActiveScore
Odessa ← this page$685K5357
Tampa$442K1,28760Open →
Riverview$360K37755Open →
Wimauma$360K16057Open →
Apollo Beach$501K13751Open →
Ruskin$320K13547Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Keystone Park Colony SubOdessa$962K▲ 38%
nine eagles unit one sec iOdessa$1.11M▲ 15%
Starkey Ranch Ph 1 Pcls 8 & 9Odessa$687K▲ 13%
STARKEY RANCH VILLAGE 1 PH 2BOdessa$538K▲ 7%
GREY HAWK AT LAKE POLO PH 02Odessa$870K▲ 5%
Prices cooling fastest
asturia ph 3Odessa$460K▼ 16%
Tarramor Phase 1Odessa$1.11M▼ 8%
Keystone CrossingsOdessa$688K▼ 8%
esplanade starkey ranch ph 1Odessa$650K▼ 7%
arbor lakes ph 3bOdessa$720K▼ 7%
Most homes for sale
Keystone Park Colony SubOdessa$962K9
esplanade starkey ranch ph 1Odessa$650K8
South Branch Preserve Wesley ChapelOdessa$382K7
Ivy Lake EstatesOdessa$702K6
Starkey RanchOdessa$598K6
Selling fastest
wyndham lakes ph 2Odessa$550K4 days
WYNDHAM LAKES PH 02Odessa$555K5 days
nine eagles unit one sec iOdessa$1.11M12 days
ashley lakes ph 01Odessa$412K22 days
Keystone CrossingsOdessa$688K22 days
Explore Deeper

Odessa ZIP codes

Most active communities

More on Odessa

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Odessa right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Odessa — the Momentum Score reads 57/100 with 3.3 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Odessa becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in Odessa is $685,000, up 1.3% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.1% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in Odessa?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are asturia ph 3 (-16%); Tarramor Phase 1 (-8%); Keystone Crossings (-8%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which Odessa neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are wyndham lakes ph 2 (4 days); WYNDHAM LAKES PH 02 (5 days); nine eagles unit one sec i (12 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 40 days.

How does Odessa compare to the rest of Hillsborough County?

Odessa's median of $685,000 runs 74% above the county-wide median of $394,000, and homes here take 40 days to go under contract versus 43 county-wide.

Questions

Odessa housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in Odessa right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the Odessa housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $685,000 (up 1.3% year over year), 53 homes are for sale against 221 sales in the last 12 months, which is 3.3 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 40 days.

How much is a house in Odessa?

The median home sold for $685,000 in Odessa over the last 12 months, about $261 per square foot; asking prices on the 53 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in Odessa?

By the numbers, sellers in Odessa are getting 95.1% of asking price and going under contract in about 40 days with 3.3 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the Odessa housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Odessa median sale prices are up 1.3% year over year, inventory stands at 3.3 months of supply, and 14% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in Odessa?

The median sale price in Odessa is currently $685,000, up 1.3% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is Odessa a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. Odessa scores 57 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.3 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Odessa?

The typical home in Odessa goes under contract in about 40 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in Odessa?

There are approximately 53 active listings in Odessa as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in Odessa rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 1.3% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Odessa. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.