The Villages
Housing Market

City market report · Lake County · 4 ZIP codes

Median sale price $360,000, down 3.5% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 42 days, 3 homes on the market.

8 communities reporting1,234 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 56
Live Market Pulse
56/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
About 5 months of supply — room to negotiate. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · The Villages Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$360K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 3.5% vs the prior 12 months
-3.5%
1-yr price change
n = 1,234 recent sales
$236/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Lake County: $205 · -3.3% vs prior yr
94.7%
Sale vs ask
Lake County: 95.4% · +0.5pp vs prior yr
$363K
Lake County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.8% vs a year ago
Tempo
5.2mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
42days
Median DOM · closed
Lake County: 52 days · -1.0 days vs prior yr
39%
Under contract
Lake County: 32%
3 ·▼15
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
13
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +3.7% vs prior yr
Market context
30%
Listings with price cuts
Lake County · Zillow · -0.1pp vs prior month
2,903
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.3% vs prior month
57%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 67% · -0.3pp vs prior yr
56/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
8
Communities reporting
of 59 tracked in The Villages
Economy & people · county layer
$69,956
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
398,696
County population
+18.9% since 2018
5.2×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
77%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,284/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 5.2 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 39% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 3.5% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 94.7% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 56
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage44
Seller leverage56

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 39% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.2× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current The Villages data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where The Villages is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (8 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on The Villages

The median sale price across The Villages currently stands at $360,000, down 3.5% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $236 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 42 days. Sellers are capturing 94.7% of their original asking price on average.

There are 3 active listings on the market. At the current sales pace that works out to 5.2 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 13 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Lake County stands at $363,142. About 30% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for The Villages is 56 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

The Villages since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $170,000 in 2012 and $365,972 over the last recorded year — 115% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 57% of recent sales, down from a 67% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (8,168 recorded sales)

$166K$274K$382K$366K2012: $170K2013: $180K2014: $195K2015: $250K2016: $224K2017: $220K2018: $257K2019: $256K2021: $332K2022: $364K2023: $377K2024: $374K2025: $377K2026: $366K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

1d38d74d42d2012: 68d2013: 36d2014: 42d2015: 46d2016: 52d2017: 53d2018: 52d2019: 73d2021: 3d2022: 5d2023: 28d2024: 32d2025: 43d2026: 42d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

37%52%67%57%2018: 53%2019: 46%2020: 41%2021: 38%2022: 54%2023: 67%2024: 66%2025: 57%2026: 57%20182020202220242026

Home value trend · Lake County (Zillow ZHVI)

$363K$368K$374K$363KJul '25: $373KAug '25: $371KSep '25: $369KOct '25: $368KNov '25: $367KDec '25: $367KJan '26: $367KFeb '26: $367KMar '26: $367KApr '26: $366KMay '26: $365KJun '26: $364KJul '26: $363KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

2,7332,8482,9622,903Jul '25: 2,937Aug '25: 2,958Sep '25: 2,935Oct '25: 2,917Nov '25: 2,876Dec '25: 2,787Jan '26: 2,738Feb '26: 2,744Mar '26: 2,847Apr '26: 2,885May '26: 2,912Jun '26: 2,893Jul '26: 2,903Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Lake County (MLS)

1,0292,1083,187Jul 07 · Active: 3,068Aug 03 · Active: 3,069Aug 04 · Active: 3,045Aug 05 · Active: 3,050Aug 06 · Active: 3,043Aug 07 · Active: 3,054Aug 08 · Active: 3,077Aug 09 · Active: 3,068Aug 10 · Active: 3,064Aug 11 · Active: 3,042Aug 12 · Active: 3,070Aug 13 · Active: 3,069Aug 15 · Active: 3,093Aug 17 · Active: 3,084Aug 19 · Active: 3,082Aug 22 · Active: 3,122Aug 23 · Active: 3,128Aug 28 · Active: 3,126Aug 29 · Active: 3,136Aug 30 · Active: 3,124Aug 31 · Active: 3,116Sep 07 · Active: 3,102Sep 09 · Active: 3,087Sep 11 · Active: 3,144Sep 12 · Active: 3,138Sep 13 · Active: 3,123Sep 14 · Active: 3,127Sep 15 · Active: 3,112Jul 07Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$288K$324K$361K$360KAug 06: $289KAug 08: $289KAug 09: $289KAug 10: $289KAug 11: $289KAug 12: $289KAug 13: $289KAug 15: $289KAug 17: $289KAug 18: $289KAug 19: $289KAug 20: $289KAug 21: $289KAug 22: $289KAug 23: $289KAug 24: $289KAug 26: $289KAug 28: $289KAug 29: $289KAug 30: $289KAug 31: $289KSep 01: $289KSep 04: $289KSep 05: $289KSep 06: $289KSep 07: $289KSep 08: $289KSep 09: $289KSep 10: $289KSep 11: $289KSep 12: $360KSep 13: $360KSep 14: $360KSep 15: $360KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 97%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 2%? 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving The Villages

Who’s moving here
+12,855 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, CA, NJ, TX. Movers arriving report ~$80,711 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,756/yr avg premium

3,500 Citizens policies in force in Lake County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Lake purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
5,342 units permitted +7% YoY

3,999 single-family · 1,343 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
The Villages Unit 16 ▼ 4%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Lake County

MarketMedianActiveScore
The Villages ← this page$360K356
Leesburg$282K31144Open →
Clermont$438K23964Open →
Tavares$330K12550Open →
Lady Lake$232K10759Open →
Groveland$373K7158Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
VILLAGES/SUMTERThe Villages$410K▲ 0%
Villages Lady Lake Unit 24The Villages$352K▲ -1%
The Villages Unit 16The Villages$360K▲ -4%
Prices cooling fastest
The Villages Unit 16The Villages$360K▼ 4%
Villages Lady Lake Unit 24The Villages$352K▼ 1%
VILLAGES/SUMTERThe Villages$410K▼ 0%
Selling fastest
VILLAGES/SUMTERThe Villages$410K36 days
The Villages Unit 16The Villages$360K43 days
Villages Lady Lake Unit 24The Villages$352K56 days
Explore Deeper

The Villages ZIP codes

Most active communities

More on The Villages

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in The Villages right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in The Villages — the Momentum Score reads 56/100 with 5.2 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is The Villages becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in The Villages is $360,000, down 3.5% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 94.7% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in The Villages?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are The Villages Unit 16 (-4%); Villages Lady Lake Unit 24 (-1%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which The Villages neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are VILLAGES/SUMTER (36 days); The Villages Unit 16 (43 days); Villages Lady Lake Unit 24 (56 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 42 days.

How does The Villages compare to the rest of Lake County?

The Villages's median of $360,000 runs 0% below the county-wide median of $360,000, and homes here take 42 days to go under contract versus 52 county-wide.

Questions

The Villages housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in The Villages right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the The Villages housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $360,000 (down 3.5% year over year), 3 homes are for sale against 13 sales in the last 12 months, which is 5.2 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 42 days.

How much is a house in The Villages?

The median home sold for $360,000 in The Villages over the last 12 months, about $236 per square foot; asking prices on the 3 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in The Villages?

By the numbers, sellers in The Villages are getting 94.7% of asking price and going under contract in about 42 days with 5.2 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the The Villages housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: The Villages median sale prices are down 3.5% year over year, inventory stands at 5.2 months of supply, and 39% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in The Villages?

The median sale price in The Villages is currently $360,000, down 3.5% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is The Villages a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. The Villages scores 56 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 5.2 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in The Villages?

The typical home in The Villages goes under contract in about 42 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in The Villages?

There are approximately 3 active listings in The Villages as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in The Villages rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 3.5% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across The Villages. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.