The Villages
Housing Market

City market report · Lake County · 5 ZIP codes

Median sale price $289,000, down 4.4% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 48 days, 2 homes on the market.

8 communities reporting266 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 56
Live Market Pulse
56/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
Buyers are negotiating roughly 7% off asking. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET.
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Live · The Villages Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$289K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 4.4% vs the prior 12 months
-4.4%
1-yr price change
n = 266 recent sales
$210/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Lake County: $198 · -2.6% vs prior yr
93.1%
Sale vs ask
Lake County: 95.3% · -0.2pp vs prior yr
$364K
Lake County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -3.1% vs a year ago
Tempo
3.4mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
48days
Median DOM · closed
Lake County: 53 days · +7.0 days vs prior yr
29%
Under contract
Lake County: 31%
2 · 1 ▲5
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
9
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +4.7% vs prior yr
Market context
30%
Listings with price cuts
Lake County · Zillow · -0.3pp vs prior month
2,891
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.7% vs prior month
58%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 62% · -1.2pp vs prior yr
56/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
8
Communities reporting
of 54 tracked in The Villages
Economy & people · county layer
$69,956
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
398,696
County population
+18.9% since 2018
5.2×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
77%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,284/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 6, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 3.4 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 29% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 4.4% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 93.1% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 56
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage44
Seller leverage56

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
  • Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 29% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.2× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current The Villages data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where The Villages is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (8 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on The Villages

The median sale price across The Villages currently stands at $289,000, down 4.4% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $210 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 48 days. Sellers are capturing 93.1% of their original asking price on average.

There are 2 active listings on the market, with 1 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.4 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 9 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

The Villages prices sit below the Lake County median by roughly 22%. Zillow's home value index for Lake County stands at $364,339. About 30% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for The Villages is 56 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.

Trends & History

The Villages since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $115,250 in 2012 and $351,701 over the last recorded year — 205% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 58% of recent sales, down from a 62% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (1,571 recorded sales)

$105K$235K$364K$352K2012: $115K2013: $110K2014: $114K2015: $139K2016: $137K2017: $152K2019: $182K2021: $317K2022: $315K2023: $359K2024: $335K2025: $355K2026: $352K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

4d45d87d48d2012: 86d2013: 36d2014: 66d2015: 74d2016: 44d2017: 77d2019: 60d2021: 11d2022: 6d2023: 23d2024: 44d2025: 41d2026: 48d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

37%50%63%58%2016: 48%2017: 57%2018: 48%2019: 49%2020: 46%2021: 38%2022: 53%2023: 60%2024: 62%2025: 59%2026: 58%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Lake County (Zillow ZHVI)

$364K$370K$376K$364KJun '25: $376KJul '25: $374KAug '25: $372KSep '25: $370KOct '25: $368KNov '25: $368KDec '25: $368KJan '26: $367KFeb '26: $367KMar '26: $367KApr '26: $366KMay '26: $365KJun '26: $364KJun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

2,7332,8482,9622,891Jun '25: 2,923Jul '25: 2,937Aug '25: 2,958Sep '25: 2,935Oct '25: 2,917Nov '25: 2,876Dec '25: 2,787Jan '26: 2,738Feb '26: 2,744Mar '26: 2,847Apr '26: 2,885May '26: 2,912Jun '26: 2,891Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

Daily active vs pending · Lake County (MLS)

1,0712,0903,109Jul 07 · Active: 3,068Aug 03 · Active: 3,069Aug 04 · Active: 3,045Aug 05 · Active: 3,050Jul 07Aug 04Aug 05ActivePending
Single-family 68%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 22%Villa 5%Manufactured 2%Mobile Home - Pre 1976 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving The Villages

Who’s moving here
+12,855 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, CA, NJ, TX. Movers arriving report ~$80,711 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,756/yr avg premium

3,500 Citizens policies in force in Lake County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Lake purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
5,342 units permitted +7% YoY

3,999 single-family · 1,343 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
THE VILLAGES UNIT 16 ▼ 10%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Lake County

MarketMedianActiveScore
The Villages ← this page$289K256
Leesburg$286K21943Open →
Clermont$438K19463Open →
Tavares$330K10248Open →
Lady Lake$225K9656Open →
Mount Dora$470K8260Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
VILLAGES/SUMTERThe Villages$410K▲ 0%
THE VILLAGES UNIT 16The Villages$289K▲ -10%
Prices cooling fastest
THE VILLAGES UNIT 16The Villages$289K▼ 10%
VILLAGES/SUMTERThe Villages$410K▼ 0%
Selling fastest
VILLAGES/SUMTERThe Villages$410K36 days
THE VILLAGES UNIT 16The Villages$289K61 days
Explore Deeper

The Villages ZIP codes

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in The Villages right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in The Villages — the Momentum Score reads 56/100 with 3.4 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is The Villages becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in The Villages is $289,000, down 4.4% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 93.1% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in The Villages?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are THE VILLAGES UNIT 16 (-10%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which The Villages neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are VILLAGES/SUMTER (36 days); THE VILLAGES UNIT 16 (61 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 48 days.

How does The Villages compare to the rest of Lake County?

The Villages's median of $289,000 runs 22% below the county-wide median of $370,000, and homes here take 48 days to go under contract versus 53 county-wide.

Questions

The Villages housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in The Villages?

The median sale price in The Villages is currently $289,000, down 4.4% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.

Is The Villages a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. The Villages scores 56 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.4 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in The Villages?

The typical home in The Villages goes under contract in about 48 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in The Villages?

There are approximately 2 active listings in The Villages as of August 6, 2026.

Are home prices in The Villages rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 4.4% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across The Villages. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.