Jacksonville South
Homes for Sale in Middleburg, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Price here is driven by condition and vintage, not by any single product type. With a median build year of 1997 but a range that runs from 1900 to 2024, you are shopping across a wide spread of eras, and the median sits at $270,000 against about $169 per square foot on a typical footprint near 1,512 square feet. That mix means two homes at similar asking prices can be very different animals — updates, systems, and lot matter more than the number on the sheet.
The market posture is moderate. A median 29 days on market and a heat score of 37 point to a market that rewards preparation rather than panic. Sellers who price to condition and present the home cleanly transact in roughly a month; buyers have enough room to inspect and negotiate without the pressure of a frenzy. Year-over-year is up 3.8%, steady rather than explosive.
Jacksonville South right now
🟡 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($270K) is up 3.8% from the prior 12 months ($260K) and up 289% since 2012.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 11. Confidence: Very High (50 and 49 sales in the two windows).
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Updated July 11, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Jacksonville South market snapshot (as of July 11, 2026): the median sale price is about $270K ($169 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 29 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is up 4% from the prior 12 months and up 289% since 2012, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (50 closings in the current window).
Jacksonville South is a community of 2,844 homes in Middleburg, Clay County, built between 1900 and 2024 (median 1997.0), with a median living area of about 1,512 square feet. 63% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Jacksonville South in Middleburg (Clay County) is a deep, varied inventory of roughly 2,844 homes spanning more than a century of construction, which is why condition — not a headline price — is the real story on any given listing.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 11 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($270K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($260K) IS the +3.8% one-year change.
Windows contain 35 to 93 sales each (50 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Clay County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · Clay County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.
29% of homes for sale in ZIP 32068 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-07-10).
Why condition decides the price
The build-year range from 1900 to 2024 is the single most important thing to understand here. You will find homes from nearly every decade side by side, so the median of $270,000 tells you the middle of the market, not what any specific house should cost. A 1997-era home at the median size will price very differently from an older cottage needing systems work or a recent build with none of that deferred cost baked in.
About 63% of homes carry a homestead exemption, which points to a market weighted toward owner-occupants rather than short-term turnover. Combined with a measured 29-day median and long-run appreciation of 289% since 2012, this reads as a stable, hold-oriented area — the kind of place where buying right on condition matters more than timing a fast-moving cycle.
Why work with Momentum here
With inventory this broad and this varied by vintage, the median number will mislead you if you shop it alone. We underwrite each home on its own systems, age, and lot — so buyers do not overpay for cosmetics and sellers position against the right comparables instead of the whole zip code.
Jacksonville South in 15 seconds.
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Recent Developments in Jacksonville South
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Jacksonville South, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- July 2026Development
JWB secures funding for 108 affordable housing units in Jacksonville
Jacksonville Today reported that JWB Real Estate Capital secured about $28.59 million in gap funding for 108 income-restricted units across three Westside sites on Tracy, Justina and Ricker roads. Plans include 38 townhome-style units and two sets of 35 efficiency units, priced at or below 60% of area median income for 50 years. Groundbreaking is expected by September 2026 with completion in 2027.
What it may mean for the marketAdds new income-restricted rental and townhome housing supply on the Westside, increasing the stock of long-term affordable units and drawing public and tax-credit investment into three infill sites. The site is about 4 miles south of Jacksonville South.
Source: Jacksonville Today - June 2026Development
Hillwood contracts with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center
Master developer Hillwood contracted with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center on Jacksonville's Westside, continuing the buildout of the former Naval Air Station Cecil Field into an industrial and logistics park.
What it may mean for the marketContinued absorption of large industrial parcels at Cecil signals sustained employment growth on the Westside, which can support housing demand across nearby communities. The site is about 10 miles southwest of Jacksonville South.
Source: Jax Daily Record - June 2026Builder Activity
Hyland Trail to bring over 3,000 homes to Lake Asbury in Clay County
News4Jax reported that Hyland Trail, along with the related Edenbrooke and The Glens communities, will bring more than 3,000 new homes to the Lake Asbury area of Clay County. Homes are being built by Dream Finders, Pulte and Lennar, with a Lodge amenity center featuring a beach-entry pool, splash zone, exercise facility and pickleball courts. Edenbrooke includes an age-restricted, low-maintenance home section.
What it may mean for the marketAdds a large volume of new single-family housing supply and a private amenity center to the Lake Asbury area, expanding for-sale inventory across a range of home sizes and price points. The project is about 19 miles south of Jacksonville South, elsewhere in Clay County.
Source: News4Jax - June 2026Infrastructure
First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns
The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.
What it may mean for the marketNew limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 18 miles south of Jacksonville South.
Source: Jax Daily Record - April 2026Development
Hillwood seeks to mass-grade an AllianceFlorida site for a possible 1 million-square-foot building
Hillwood asked to mass grade a site at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center to prepare for a possible 1 million-square-foot building, a step that typically precedes a large industrial or distribution user committing to the Westside park.
What it may mean for the marketA build-ready million-square-foot pad points to a potential large employer on the Westside, the kind of jobs anchor that can lift demand for nearby housing. The site is about 10 miles southwest of Jacksonville South.
Source: Jax Daily Record
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Jacksonville South?
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An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 11, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (96 streets, ZIP 32043/32050/32068)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-07-10 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2001 (1,458 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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