Florida Housing IntelligencePolk County › 33837 (Davenport)
Aerial view of 33837, Florida

33837 (Davenport)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Polk County

Median sale price $355,000, down 2.4% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 49 days, 24 homes on the market.

86 communities reporting1,285 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 45
Live Market Pulse
45/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
About 8 months of supply — room to negotiate. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · 33837 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$355K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 2.4% vs the prior 12 months
-2.4%
1-yr price change
n = 1,285 recent sales
$179/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Polk County: $174 · -2.2% vs prior yr
96.6%
Sale vs ask
Polk County: 95.6% · +0.3pp vs prior yr
$298K
Polk County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.7% vs a year ago
Tempo
7.7mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
49days
Median DOM · closed
Polk County: 58 days · -11.0 days vs prior yr
19%
Under contract
Polk County: 12%
24 · 15 ▼8
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
37
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -22.5% vs prior yr
Market context
26%
Listings with price cuts
Polk County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
5,166
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.5% vs prior month
63%
New construction
share of recent sales · -9.5pp vs prior yr
13%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 30% · +0.9pp vs prior yr
45/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
Economy & people · county layer
$63,644
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
760,961
County population
+13.8% since 2018
4.7×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
70%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,769/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 7.7 months of supply — heavy by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 19% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 2.4% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 96.6% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 45
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage55
Seller leverage45

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — heavy supply keeps the pressure on sellers; softening is the path of least resistance.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 19% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33837 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33837 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (47 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33837 (Davenport)

The median sale price across 33837 currently stands at $355,000, down 2.4% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $179 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 49 days. Sellers are capturing 96.6% of their original asking price on average.

There are 24 active listings on the market, with 15 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 7.7 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 37 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Polk County stands at $298,058. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33837 is 45 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

33837 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $114,692 in 2012 and $354,615 over the last recorded year — 209% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 13% of recent sales, down from a 30% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (7,883 recorded sales)

$109K$247K$385K$355K2012: $115K2013: $157K2014: $186K2015: $196K2016: $201K2017: $211K2018: $239K2019: $250K2020: $285K2021: $315K2022: $354K2023: $380K2024: $369K2025: $342K2026: $355K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

2d81d159d50d2012: 30d2013: 42d2014: 51d2015: 52d2016: 63d2017: 66d2018: 156d2019: 72d2020: 32d2021: 10d2022: 6d2023: 28d2024: 36d2025: 61d2026: 50d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

12%21%30%13%2016: 30%2017: 23%2018: 19%2019: 21%2020: 15%2021: 18%2022: 23%2023: 20%2024: 13%2025: 12%2026: 13%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Polk County (Zillow ZHVI)

$298K$302K$307K$298KJul '25: $306KAug '25: $305KSep '25: $304KOct '25: $303KNov '25: $302KDec '25: $302KJan '26: $302KFeb '26: $302KMar '26: $301KApr '26: $301KMay '26: $300KJun '26: $299KJul '26: $298KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

5,0565,3545,6515,166Jul '25: 5,640Aug '25: 5,549Sep '25: 5,428Oct '25: 5,342Nov '25: 5,265Dec '25: 5,136Jan '26: 5,084Feb '26: 5,068Mar '26: 5,193Apr '26: 5,212May '26: 5,227Jun '26: 5,190Jul '26: 5,166Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Polk County (MLS)

1,6843,8295,973Aug 03 · Active: 5,584Aug 04 · Active: 5,523Aug 05 · Active: 5,552Aug 06 · Active: 5,566Aug 07 · Active: 5,587Aug 08 · Active: 5,593Aug 09 · Active: 5,599Aug 10 · Active: 5,585Aug 11 · Active: 5,567Aug 12 · Active: 5,606Aug 13 · Active: 5,607Aug 15 · Active: 5,600Aug 17 · Active: 5,562Aug 19 · Active: 5,572Aug 22 · Active: 5,630Aug 23 · Active: 5,646Aug 28 · Active: 5,637Aug 29 · Active: 5,656Aug 30 · Active: 5,646Aug 31 · Active: 5,638Sep 07 · Active: 5,799Sep 09 · Active: 5,793Sep 11 · Active: 5,864Sep 12 · Active: 5,881Sep 13 · Active: 5,888Sep 14 · Active: 5,863Sep 15 · Active: 5,855Aug 03Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$355K$356K$357K$355KAug 06: $355KAug 08: $355KAug 09: $355KAug 10: $355KAug 11: $355KAug 12: $355KAug 13: $355KAug 15: $355KAug 17: $355KAug 18: $355KAug 19: $355KAug 20: $355KAug 21: $355KAug 22: $355KAug 23: $355KAug 24: $357KAug 26: $357KAug 28: $357KAug 29: $357KAug 30: $357KAug 31: $357KSep 01: $357KSep 04: $357KSep 05: $357KSep 06: $357KSep 07: $357KSep 08: $357KSep 09: $357KSep 10: $357KSep 11: $357KSep 12: $355KSep 13: $355KSep 14: $355KSep 15: $355KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 83%Townhome 13%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 2%? 2%Manufactured 0%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33837

Who’s moving here
+18,556 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, PA, TX. Movers arriving report ~$56,322 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,931/yr avg premium

5,380 Citizens policies in force in Polk County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Polk purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
8,236 units permitted -21% YoY

6,725 single-family · 1,511 multi-family · 10.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
CITRUS RIDGE PH 02 ▲ 25%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Polk

MarketMedianActiveScore
33837 ← this page$355K2445
30153$242K3051Open →
33823$347K1268Open →
33813$400K843Open →
30125$270K755Open →
33897$510K533Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
CITRUS RIDGE PH 02Davenport$113K▲ 25%
REDBRIDGE SQUAREDavenport$397K▲ 20%
DEL WEBB ORLANDODavenport$405K▲ 12%
CHAMPIONS RESERVEDavenport$470K▲ 10%
CENTER CREST R/V PARKDavenport$100K▲ 8%
Prices cooling fastest
GARDEN HILL/PROVIDENCE PH 1Davenport$401K▼ 24%
ASTONIA NORTHDavenport$335K▼ 15%
ORCHID TERRACEHaines City$309K▼ 13%
Bellaviva Ph 4Davenport$362K▼ 12%
WATERSONG PH 01Davenport$450K▼ 11%
Most homes for sale
BELLAVIVA PH 4Davenport$364K18
HOLLY HILL ESTATESDavenport$330K5
PRESERVATION POINTE PH 4Davenport$429K1
Selling fastest
GENEVA LANDINGSDavenport$358K4 days
FAIRWAYS LAKE ESTATESDavenport$355K7 days
BRENTWOOD THDavenport$292K10 days
PROVIDENCE GARDEN HILLS 50'SDavenport$400K10 days
WYNNSTONE 50SDavenport$388K10 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33837 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33837 — the Momentum Score reads 45/100 with 7.7 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33837 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33837 is $355,000, down 2.4% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.6% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33837?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are GARDEN HILL/PROVIDENCE PH 1 (-24%); ASTONIA NORTH (-15%); ORCHID TERRACE (-13%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33837 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are GENEVA LANDINGS (4 days); FAIRWAYS LAKE ESTATES (7 days); BRENTWOOD TH (10 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 49 days.

Questions

33837 (Davenport) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 33837 right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the 33837 housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $355,000 (down 2.4% year over year), 24 homes are for sale against 37 sales in the last 12 months, which is 7.7 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 49 days.

How much is a house in 33837?

The median home sold for $355,000 in 33837 over the last 12 months, about $179 per square foot; asking prices on the 24 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 33837?

By the numbers, sellers in 33837 are getting 96.6% of asking price and going under contract in about 49 days with 7.7 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 33837 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33837 median sale prices are down 2.4% year over year, inventory stands at 7.7 months of supply, and 19% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 33837?

The median sale price in 33837 is currently $355,000, down 2.4% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 33837 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 33837 scores 45 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 7.7 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33837?

The typical home in 33837 goes under contract in about 49 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33837?

There are approximately 24 active listings in 33837 as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in 33837 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 2.4% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33837 (Davenport). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.