Florida Housing IntelligencePolk County › 33853 (Lake Wales)
Aerial view of 33853, Florida

33853 (Lake Wales)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Polk County

Median sale price $295,620, up 1.7% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 63 days.

14 communities reporting128 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 67
Live Market Pulse
67/100
Momentum
Healthy Market
Tracking 14 communities across 33853. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · 33853 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$296K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
up 1.7% vs the prior 12 months
+1.7%
1-yr price change
n = 128 recent sales
$166/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Polk County: $174 · +3.2% vs prior yr
94.4%
Sale vs ask
Polk County: 95.6% · +0.1pp vs prior yr
$298K
Polk County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.7% vs a year ago
Tempo
63days
Median DOM · closed
Polk County: 58 days · +13.0 days vs prior yr
100%
Under contract
Polk County: 12%
· 1 ▼8
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
3
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -25.1% vs prior yr
Market context
26%
Listings with price cuts
Polk County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
5,166
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.5% vs prior month
30%
New construction
share of recent sales · -9.5pp vs prior yr
33%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 41% · -4.3pp vs prior yr
67/100
Momentum score
Healthy Market
Economy & people · county layer
$63,644
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
760,961
County population
+13.8% since 2018
4.7×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
70%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$1,769/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

100% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 1.7% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 94.4% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a seller-leaning market.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 67
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage33
Seller leverage67

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 100% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.7× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33853 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33853 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (11 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33853 (Lake Wales)

The median sale price across 33853 currently stands at $295,620, up 1.7% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $166 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 63 days. Sellers are capturing 94.4% of their original asking price on average.

with 1 more already under contract. 3 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Polk County stands at $298,058. About 26% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33853 is 67 of 100 — healthy market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

33853 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $77,500 in 2012 and $389,404 over the last recorded year — 402% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 33% of recent sales, down from a 41% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (1,055 recorded sales)

$71K$233K$396K$389K2012: $78K2013: $84K2014: $90K2015: $101K2016: $118K2017: $140K2018: $173K2019: $152K2022: $339K2023: $357K2024: $353K2025: $296K2026: $389K20122015201820232026

Days on market by year

11d40d68d63d2012: 25d2013: 13d2014: 31d2015: 35d2016: 67d2017: 44d2018: 23d2019: 32d2022: 24d2023: 30d2024: 47d2025: 50d2026: 63d20122015201820232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

21%31%41%33%2016: 36%2017: 30%2018: 22%2019: 30%2020: 29%2021: 31%2022: 41%2023: 30%2024: 32%2025: 37%2026: 33%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Polk County (Zillow ZHVI)

$298K$302K$307K$298KJul '25: $306KAug '25: $305KSep '25: $304KOct '25: $303KNov '25: $302KDec '25: $302KJan '26: $302KFeb '26: $302KMar '26: $301KApr '26: $301KMay '26: $300KJun '26: $299KJul '26: $298KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

5,0565,3545,6515,166Jul '25: 5,640Aug '25: 5,549Sep '25: 5,428Oct '25: 5,342Nov '25: 5,265Dec '25: 5,136Jan '26: 5,084Feb '26: 5,068Mar '26: 5,193Apr '26: 5,212May '26: 5,227Jun '26: 5,190Jul '26: 5,166Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Polk County (MLS)

1,6843,8295,973Aug 03 · Active: 5,584Aug 04 · Active: 5,523Aug 05 · Active: 5,552Aug 06 · Active: 5,566Aug 07 · Active: 5,587Aug 08 · Active: 5,593Aug 09 · Active: 5,599Aug 10 · Active: 5,585Aug 11 · Active: 5,567Aug 12 · Active: 5,606Aug 13 · Active: 5,607Aug 15 · Active: 5,600Aug 17 · Active: 5,562Aug 19 · Active: 5,572Aug 22 · Active: 5,630Aug 23 · Active: 5,646Aug 28 · Active: 5,637Aug 29 · Active: 5,656Aug 30 · Active: 5,646Aug 31 · Active: 5,638Sep 07 · Active: 5,799Sep 09 · Active: 5,793Sep 11 · Active: 5,864Sep 12 · Active: 5,881Sep 13 · Active: 5,888Sep 14 · Active: 5,863Sep 15 · Active: 5,855Aug 03Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$283K$296K$308K$296KAug 06: $296KAug 08: $296KAug 09: $296KAug 10: $296KAug 11: $296KAug 12: $296KAug 13: $296KAug 15: $296KAug 17: $296KAug 18: $296KAug 19: $296KAug 20: $296KAug 21: $296KAug 22: $296KAug 23: $296KAug 24: $296KAug 26: $296KAug 28: $296KAug 29: $296KAug 30: $296KAug 31: $296KSep 01: $296KSep 04: $296KSep 05: $296KSep 06: $296KSep 07: $296KSep 08: $296KSep 09: $296KSep 10: $296KSep 11: $296KSep 12: $296KSep 13: $296KSep 14: $296KSep 15: $296KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 74%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 16%Manufactured 4%Mobile Home - Pre 1976 2%Half Duplex 2%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33853

Who’s moving here
+18,556 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, PA, TX. Movers arriving report ~$56,322 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,931/yr avg premium

5,380 Citizens policies in force in Polk County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Polk purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
8,236 units permitted -21% YoY

6,725 single-family · 1,511 multi-family · 10.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
TIMBERLANE SUB ▼ 9%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Polk

MarketMedianActiveScore
33853 ← this page$296K67
30153$242K3051Open →
33837$355K2445Open →
33823$347K1268Open →
33813$400K843Open →
30125$270K755Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
TAYLOR GROVESLake Wales$296K▲ 3%
SADDLEBAG LAKELake Wales$135K▲ -1%
TIMBERLANE SUBTampa$335K▲ -9%
Prices cooling fastest
TIMBERLANE SUBTampa$335K▼ 9%
SADDLEBAG LAKELake Wales$135K▼ 1%
TAYLOR GROVESLake Wales$296K▼ 3%
Selling fastest
TIMBERLANE SUBTampa$335K18 days
TAYLOR GROVESLake Wales$296K46 days
SADDLEBAG LAKELake Wales$135K105 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33853 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor sellers in 33853 — the Momentum Score reads 67/100. Buyers should come fully underwritten; sellers still set the pace here. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33853 becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in 33853 is $295,620, up 1.7% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 94.4% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33853?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are TIMBERLANE SUB (-9%); SADDLEBAG LAKE (-1%); TAYLOR GROVES (3%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33853 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are TIMBERLANE SUB (18 days); TAYLOR GROVES (46 days); SADDLEBAG LAKE (105 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 63 days.

Questions

33853 (Lake Wales) housing market FAQ

Is it a good time to sell a house in 33853?

By the numbers, sellers in 33853 are getting 94.4% of asking price and going under contract in about 63 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 33853 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33853 median sale prices are up 1.7% year over year, and 100% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 33853?

The median sale price in 33853 is currently $295,620, up 1.7% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 33853 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. 33853 scores 67 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33853?

The typical home in 33853 goes under contract in about 63 days, per current MLS data.

Are home prices in 33853 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 1.7% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33853 (Lake Wales). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

Talk to founders
Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.