Aerial view of 34209, Florida

34209 (Bradenton)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Manatee County

Median sale price $250,000, down 7.2% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 41 days, 6 homes on the market.

5 communities reporting105 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 49
Live Market Pulse
49/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
Buyers are negotiating roughly 6% off asking. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · 34209 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$250K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 7.2% vs the prior 12 months
-7.2%
1-yr price change
n = 105 recent sales
$208/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Manatee County: $199 · -7.3% vs prior yr
93.9%
Sale vs ask
Manatee County: 95.1% · -0.5pp vs prior yr
$410K
Manatee County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -4.4% vs a year ago
Tempo
41days
Median DOM · closed
Manatee County: 53 days · -3.0 days vs prior yr
27%
Under contract
Manatee County: 26%
6 · 3
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
Market context
27%
Listings with price cuts
Manatee County · Zillow · -0.9pp vs prior month
4,143
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -4.3% vs prior month
40%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 58% · +6.2pp vs prior yr
49/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
5
Communities reporting
of 7 tracked in 34209
Economy & people · county layer
$75,792
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
416,020
County population
+11.3% since 2018
5.4×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
75%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,853/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

27% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 7.2% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 93.9% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 49
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage51
Seller leverage49

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 27% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.4× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 34209 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Analysis

The read on 34209 (Bradenton)

The median sale price across 34209 currently stands at $250,000, down 7.2% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $208 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 41 days. Sellers are capturing 93.9% of their original asking price on average.

There are 6 active listings on the market, with 3 more already under contract.

Zillow's home value index for Manatee County stands at $409,772. About 27% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 34209 is 49 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

34209 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $129,620 in 2012 and $296,561 over the last recorded year — 129% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 40% of recent sales, down from a 58% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (877 recorded sales)

$105K$228K$351K$297K2012: $130K2013: $151K2014: $167K2015: $203K2016: $148K2017: $131K2018: $110K2019: $172K2021: $218K2022: $268K2023: $328K2024: $346K2025: $334K2026: $297K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

0d66d132d41d2012: 130d2013: 70d2014: 54d2015: 50d2016: 34d2017: 48d2018: 27d2019: 77d2021: 3d2022: 7d2023: 28d2024: 36d2025: 44d2026: 41d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

30%44%58%40%2016: 58%2017: 37%2018: 40%2019: 40%2020: 35%2021: 36%2022: 43%2023: 37%2024: 30%2025: 33%2026: 40%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Manatee County (Zillow ZHVI)

$409K$419K$429K$410KJul '25: $429KAug '25: $425KSep '25: $422KOct '25: $419KNov '25: $417KDec '25: $416KJan '26: $415KFeb '26: $414KMar '26: $414KApr '26: $412KMay '26: $411KJun '26: $410KJul '26: $410KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

4,1014,5284,9554,143Jul '25: 4,938Aug '25: 4,697Sep '25: 4,415Oct '25: 4,222Nov '25: 4,143Dec '25: 4,119Jan '26: 4,247Feb '26: 4,402Mar '26: 4,625Apr '26: 4,619May '26: 4,526Jun '26: 4,331Jul '26: 4,143Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Manatee County (MLS)

1,2642,7614,258Aug 03 · Active: 4,199Aug 04 · Active: 4,108Aug 05 · Active: 4,139Aug 06 · Active: 4,131Aug 07 · Active: 4,136Aug 08 · Active: 4,153Aug 09 · Active: 4,140Aug 10 · Active: 4,137Aug 11 · Active: 4,117Aug 12 · Active: 4,117Aug 13 · Active: 4,113Aug 15 · Active: 4,087Aug 17 · Active: 4,012Aug 19 · Active: 4,011Aug 22 · Active: 4,032Aug 23 · Active: 4,028Aug 28 · Active: 4,023Aug 29 · Active: 4,025Aug 30 · Active: 4,021Aug 31 · Active: 4,011Sep 07 · Active: 3,985Sep 09 · Active: 4,002Sep 11 · Active: 4,040Sep 12 · Active: 4,039Sep 13 · Active: 4,035Sep 14 · Active: 4,010Sep 15 · Active: 4,010Aug 03Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$248K$286K$324K$250KAug 06: $322KAug 08: $322KAug 09: $322KAug 10: $322KAug 11: $322KAug 12: $322KAug 13: $322KAug 15: $322KAug 17: $322KAug 18: $322KAug 19: $322KAug 20: $322KAug 21: $322KAug 22: $322KAug 23: $322KAug 24: $322KAug 26: $322KAug 28: $322KAug 29: $322KAug 30: $322KAug 31: $322KSep 01: $322KSep 04: $322KSep 05: $322KSep 06: $322KSep 07: $322KSep 08: $322KSep 09: $322KSep 10: $322KSep 11: $322KSep 12: $250KSep 13: $250KSep 14: $250KSep 15: $250KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 65%Condo 17%Villa 16%Townhome 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 34209

Who’s moving here
+9,619 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, MA. Movers arriving report ~$121,577 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$2,019/yr avg premium

5,326 Citizens policies in force in Manatee County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Manatee purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
11,015 units permitted +47% YoY

7,014 single-family · 4,001 multi-family · 26.5 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Village Green ▲ 16%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Manatee

MarketMedianActiveScore
34209 ← this page$250K649
34219$375K5367Open →
34210$428K554Open →
34207$127K246Open →
34221$362K244Open →
34208$375K164Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Village GreenSarasota$250K▲ 16%
PERICO BAY CLUBBradenton$340K▲ -9%
THE LAKESSarasota$222K▲ -10%
PINE LAKESBradenton$477K▲ -11%
Palma Sola HarbourBradenton$410K▲ -14%
Prices cooling fastest
Palma Sola HarbourBradenton$410K▼ 14%
PINE LAKESBradenton$477K▼ 11%
THE LAKESSarasota$222K▼ 10%
PERICO BAY CLUBBradenton$340K▼ 9%
Village GreenSarasota$250K▼ 16%
Most homes for sale
THE LAKESSarasota$222K5
PINE LAKESBradenton$477K1
Selling fastest
PINE LAKESBradenton$477K15 days
THE LAKESSarasota$222K15 days
Village GreenSarasota$250K53 days
PERICO BAY CLUBBradenton$340K82 days
Palma Sola HarbourBradenton$410K112 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 34209 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 34209 — the Momentum Score reads 49/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 34209 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 34209 is $250,000, down 7.2% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 93.9% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 34209?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Palma Sola Harbour (-14%); PINE LAKES (-11%); THE LAKES (-10%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 34209 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are PINE LAKES (15 days); THE LAKES (15 days); Village Green (53 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 41 days.

Questions

34209 (Bradenton) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 34209 right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the 34209 housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $250,000 (down 7.2% year over year), 6 homes are for sale, and the typical home goes under contract in about 41 days.

How much is a house in 34209?

The median home sold for $250,000 in 34209 over the last 12 months, about $208 per square foot; asking prices on the 6 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 34209?

By the numbers, sellers in 34209 are getting 93.9% of asking price and going under contract in about 41 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 34209 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 34209 median sale prices are down 7.2% year over year, and 27% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 34209?

The median sale price in 34209 is currently $250,000, down 7.2% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 34209 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 34209 scores 49 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 34209?

The typical home in 34209 goes under contract in about 41 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 34209?

There are approximately 6 active listings in 34209 as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in 34209 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 7.2% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 34209 (Bradenton). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.