34209 (Bradenton)
Housing Market
Median sale price $322,500, down 2.7% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 38 days, 6 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
27% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 2.7% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 94.2% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.
- Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 27% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.4× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current 34209 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
Where 34209 is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (11 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on 34209 (Bradenton)
The median sale price across 34209 currently stands at $322,500, down 2.7% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $244 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 38 days. Sellers are capturing 94.2% of their original asking price on average.
There are 6 active listings on the market, with 3 more already under contract.
Zillow's home value index for Manatee County stands at $409,245. About 28% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 34209 is 53 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.
34209 since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $140,384 in 2012 and $373,965 over the last recorded year — 166% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 38% of recent sales, down from a 47% peak.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (1,327 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Manatee County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Manatee County (MLS)
What’s driving 34209
Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, MA. Movers arriving report ~$121,577 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
5,326 Citizens policies in force in Manatee County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Manatee purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
7,014 single-family · 4,001 multi-family · 26.5 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
Nearby ZIP codes in Manatee
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34209 ← this page | $322K | 6 | 53 | |
| 34219 | $375K | 66 | 60 | Open → |
| 34210 | $410K | 36 | 43 | Open → |
| 34207 | $480K | 10 | 59 | Open → |
| 34211 | $470K | 4 | 66 | Open → |
| 34212 | $375K | 2 | 69 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| Village GreenSarasota | $250K | ▲ 16% |
| PERICO BAY CLUBBradenton | $340K | ▲ -9% |
| THE LAKESSarasota | $222K | ▲ -10% |
| PINE LAKESBradenton | $477K | ▲ -11% |
| Palma Sola HarbourBradenton | $410K | ▲ -14% |
| Palma Sola HarbourBradenton | $410K | ▼ 14% |
| PINE LAKESBradenton | $477K | ▼ 11% |
| THE LAKESSarasota | $222K | ▼ 10% |
| PERICO BAY CLUBBradenton | $340K | ▼ 9% |
| Village GreenSarasota | $250K | ▼ 16% |
| THE LAKESSarasota | $222K | 5 |
| PINE LAKESBradenton | $477K | 1 |
| PINE LAKESBradenton | $477K | 15 days |
| THE LAKESSarasota | $222K | 15 days |
| Village GreenSarasota | $250K | 53 days |
| PERICO BAY CLUBBradenton | $340K | 82 days |
| Palma Sola HarbourBradenton | $410K | 112 days |
Cities in this ZIP
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in 34209 right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 34209 — the Momentum Score reads 53/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is 34209 becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 34209 is $322,500, down 2.7% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 94.2% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in 34209?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Palma Sola Harbour (-14%); PINE LAKES (-11%); THE LAKES (-10%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which 34209 neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are PINE LAKES (15 days); THE LAKES (15 days); Village Green (53 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 38 days.
34209 (Bradenton) housing market FAQ
What is the median home price in 34209?
The median sale price in 34209 is currently $322,500, down 2.7% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.
Is 34209 a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently is roughly balanced. 34209 scores 53 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in 34209?
The typical home in 34209 goes under contract in about 38 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in 34209?
There are approximately 6 active listings in 34209 as of August 6, 2026.
Are home prices in 34209 rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 2.7% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 34209 (Bradenton). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.