Celebration
Housing Market

City market report · Osceola County, FL

Median sale price $844,509, down 0.4% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 46 days, 40 homes on the market.

44 communities reporting459 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 60
Live Market Pulse
60/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
Tracking 44 communities across Celebration. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh October 5, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET.
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Live · Celebration Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$845K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 0.4% vs the prior 12 months
-0.4%
1-yr price change
n = 459 recent sales
$366/sf ▲
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Osceola County: $203 · +0.6% vs prior yr
95.6% ▼
Sale vs ask
Osceola County: 95.5% · -0.1pp vs prior yr
$359K ▼
Osceola County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -3.2% vs a year ago
Tempo
3.2mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
46days ▲
Median DOM · closed
Osceola County: 57 days · +12.0 days vs prior yr
24%
Under contract
Osceola County: 29%
40 · 19 ▼21
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
158 ▲
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +23.4% vs prior yr
Market context
24% ▲
Listings with price cuts
Osceola County · Zillow · +0.4pp vs prior month
4,773 ▼
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.3% vs prior month
22% ▲
New construction
share of recent sales · +18.2pp vs prior yr
48% ▼
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 56% · -6.3pp vs prior yr
60/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$68,711
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
406,943
County population
+20.2% since 2018
5.2×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
66%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,498/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
✓ $3.5B+ sold✓ 10,000+ customers served✓ Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends✓ 800+ five-star reviews✓ Licensed FL MLS data✓ Updated daily
Today's Take · October 5, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks →
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 3.2 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 24% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 0.4% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.6% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 60
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage40
Seller leverage60

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 24% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.2× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Celebration data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
6.0 mo · balanced band · 7 active
$300K–$500K
1.9 mo · seller-tilted · 6 active
$750K+
3.0 mo · balanced band · 27 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where Celebration is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (44 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on Celebration

The median sale price across Celebration currently stands at $844,509, down 0.4% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $366 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 46 days. Sellers are capturing 95.6% of their original asking price on average.

There are 40 active listings on the market, with 19 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.2 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 158 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Celebration prices sit above the Osceola County median by roughly 106%. Zillow's home value index for Osceola County stands at $359,490. About 24% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Celebration is 60 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 5, 2026.

Trends & History

Celebration since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $416,343 in 2012 and $794,186 over the last recorded year — 91% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 48% of recent sales, down from a 56% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (2,713 recorded sales)

$383K$630K$878K$794K2012: $416K2013: $557K2014: $450K2015: $496K2016: $393K2017: $471K2018: $657K2019: $410K2021: $640K2022: $588K2023: $687K2024: $868K2025: $767K2026: $794K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

7d68d129d46d2012: 113d2013: 63d2014: 58d2015: 63d2016: 82d2017: 80d2018: 127d2019: 106d2021: 10d2022: 11d2023: 24d2024: 24d2025: 34d2026: 46d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

38%47%56%48%2016: 45%2017: 41%2018: 42%2019: 42%2020: 41%2021: 38%2022: 43%2023: 45%2024: 56%2025: 54%2026: 48%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Osceola County (Zillow ZHVI)

$359K$366K$372K$359KAug '25: $372KSep '25: $370KOct '25: $368KNov '25: $367KDec '25: $366KJan '26: $366KFeb '26: $366KMar '26: $365KApr '26: $365KMay '26: $363KJun '26: $362KJul '26: $361KAug '26: $359KAug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

4,5394,7324,9254,773Aug '25: 4,918Sep '25: 4,859Oct '25: 4,812Nov '25: 4,760Dec '25: 4,664Jan '26: 4,596Feb '26: 4,547Mar '26: 4,621Apr '26: 4,687May '26: 4,762Jun '26: 4,795Jul '26: 4,789Aug '26: 4,773Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26

Daily active vs pending · Osceola County (MLS)

9432,7724,600Jul 07 · Active: 4,355Aug 03 · Active: 4,407Aug 04 · Active: 4,334Aug 05 · Active: 4,395Aug 06 · Active: 4,391Aug 07 · Active: 4,404Aug 08 · Active: 4,415Aug 09 · Active: 4,417Aug 10 · Active: 4,424Aug 11 · Active: 4,426Aug 12 · Active: 4,417Aug 13 · Active: 4,418Aug 15 · Active: 4,434Aug 17 · Active: 4,419Aug 19 · Active: 4,416Aug 22 · Active: 4,441Aug 23 · Active: 4,441Aug 28 · Active: 4,442Aug 29 · Active: 4,441Aug 30 · Active: 4,457Aug 31 · Active: 4,450Sep 07 · Active: 4,419Sep 09 · Active: 4,413Sep 11 · Active: 4,459Sep 12 · Active: 4,446Sep 13 · Active: 4,452Sep 14 · Active: 4,462Sep 15 · Active: 4,463Sep 16 · Active: 4,452Sep 17 · Active: 4,473Sep 19 · Active: 4,504Sep 20 · Active: 4,506Sep 21 · Active: 4,498Sep 22 · Active: 4,468Sep 23 · Active: 4,476Sep 24 · Active: 4,498Sep 25 · Active: 4,515Sep 26 · Active: 4,527Sep 28 · Active: 4,507Sep 29 · Active: 4,496Oct 01 · Active: 4,484Oct 04 · Active: 4,457Oct 05 · Active: 4,436Jul 07Sep 07Oct 05ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$839K$842K$845K$845KAug 06: $840KAug 08: $840KAug 09: $840KAug 10: $840KAug 11: $840KAug 12: $840KAug 13: $840KAug 15: $840KAug 17: $840KAug 18: $840KAug 19: $840KAug 20: $840KAug 21: $840KAug 22: $840KAug 23: $840KAug 24: $840KAug 26: $840KAug 28: $840KAug 29: $840KAug 30: $840KAug 31: $840KSep 01: $840KSep 04: $840KSep 05: $840KSep 06: $840KSep 07: $840KSep 08: $840KSep 09: $840KSep 10: $840KSep 11: $840KSep 12: $839KSep 13: $839KSep 14: $839KSep 15: $839KSep 16: $839KSep 17: $839KSep 19: $839KSep 20: $845KSep 21: $845KSep 22: $845KSep 23: $845KSep 24: $845KSep 25: $845KSep 26: $845KSep 28: $845KSep 29: $845KSep 30: $845KOct 01: $845KOct 03: $845KOct 04: $845KOct 05: $845KAug 06Aug 21Sep 07Sep 21Oct 05
Single-family 64%Condo 23%Townhome 12%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Celebration

Who’s moving here
+5,703 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, TX, MA. Movers arriving report ~$59,276 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,735/yr avg premium

2,188 Citizens policies in force in Osceola County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Osceola purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
7,366 units permitted -16% YoY

5,085 single-family · 2,281 multi-family · 18.1 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Celebration South Village Celebration ▲ 21%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
Under $300K: 6.0 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Celebration right now.

Biggest opportunity
$300K–$500K: 1.9 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Osceola County

MarketMedianActiveScore
Celebration ← this page$845K4060
Kissimmee$388K1,26543Open →
St. Cloud$415K58868Open →
Davenport$381K15535Open →
Reunion$408K6019Open →
Harmony$415K968Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Celebration South Village CelebrationCelebration$960K▲ 21%
CELEBRATION NORTH VILLAGE UNIT 05Celebration$840K▲ 11%
WATER STREET CONDO PH 04Celebration$360K▲ 9%
Water Street Condo Ph 9Celebration$349K▲ 6%
Georgetown At Celebration CondoCelebration$360K▲ 4%
Prices cooling fastest
Celebration East Village Unit 1Celebration$848K▼ 18%
Siena At Celebration Condo CCelebration$312K▼ 16%
celebration area 5Celebration$925K▼ 14%
CELEBRATION VILLAGE UNIT 02Celebration$1.61M▼ 13%
CELEBRATION ISLAND VILLAGE PH 1BCelebration$845K▼ 10%
Most homes for sale
celebration island villageCelebration$845K14
Celebration South Village CelebrationCelebration$960K8
Siena At Celebration Condo ACelebration$242K4
Siena At Celebration Condo BCelebration$278K3
celebration area 5Celebration$925K2
Selling fastest
Celebration Village Unit 2Celebration$1.87M6 days
celebration area 5Celebration$925K16 days
CELEBRATION VILLAGE UNIT 02Celebration$1.61M16 days
Mirasol At Celebration CondoCelebration$450K17 days
ARTISAN CLUB CONDO PH 05Celebration$405K19 days
Explore Deeper

Celebration ZIP codes

Most active communities

More on Celebration

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Celebration right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Celebration — the Momentum Score reads 60/100 with 3.2 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Celebration becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Celebration is $844,509, down 0.4% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.6% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in Celebration?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Celebration East Village Unit 1 (-18%); Siena At Celebration Condo C (-16%); celebration area 5 (-14%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which Celebration neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Celebration Village Unit 2 (6 days); celebration area 5 (16 days); CELEBRATION VILLAGE UNIT 02 (16 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 46 days.

How does Celebration compare to the rest of Osceola County?

Celebration's median of $844,509 runs 106% above the county-wide median of $409,990, and homes here take 46 days to go under contract versus 57 county-wide.

Questions

Celebration housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in Celebration right now?

As of October 5, 2026, the Celebration housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $844,509 (down 0.4% year over year), 40 homes are for sale against 158 sales in the last 12 months, which is 3.2 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 46 days.

How much is a house in Celebration?

The median home sold for $844,509 in Celebration over the last 12 months, about $366 per square foot; asking prices on the 40 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in Celebration?

By the numbers, sellers in Celebration are getting 95.6% of asking price and going under contract in about 46 days with 3.2 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the Celebration housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Celebration median sale prices are down 0.4% year over year, inventory stands at 3.2 months of supply, and 24% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in Celebration?

The median sale price in Celebration is currently $844,509, down 0.4% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 5, 2026.

Is Celebration a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. Celebration scores 60 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.2 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Celebration?

The typical home in Celebration goes under contract in about 46 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in Celebration?

There are approximately 40 active listings in Celebration as of October 5, 2026.

Are home prices in Celebration rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 0.4% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Celebration. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 5, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.