Holiday
Housing Market

City market report · Pasco County · 10 ZIP codes

Median sale price $225,000, down 3.2% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 42 days, 121 homes on the market.

44 communities reporting905 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 53
Live Market Pulse
53/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
Buyers are negotiating roughly 6% off asking. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · Holiday Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$225K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 3.2% vs the prior 12 months
-3.2%
1-yr price change
n = 905 recent sales
$191/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Pasco County: $191 · -5.6% vs prior yr
93.9%
Sale vs ask
Pasco County: 94.9% · -0.6pp vs prior yr
$332K
Pasco County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.5% vs a year ago
Tempo
4.1mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
42days
Median DOM · closed
Pasco County: 47 days · flat vs prior yr
22%
Under contract
Pasco County: 27%
121 · 33 ▼1
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
380
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -14.4% vs prior yr
Market context
32%
Listings with price cuts
Pasco County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
4,644
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.9% vs prior month
26%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 59% · +1.2pp vs prior yr
53/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
44
Communities reporting
of 120 tracked in Holiday
Economy & people · county layer
$67,384
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
588,758
County population
+15.3% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,028/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 4.1 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 22% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 3.2% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 93.9% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 53
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage47
Seller leverage53

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 22% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Holiday data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
4.0 mo · balanced band · 106 active
$300K–$500K
2.8 mo · seller-tilted · 15 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where Holiday is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (44 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on Holiday

The median sale price across Holiday currently stands at $225,000, down 3.2% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $191 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 42 days. Sellers are capturing 93.9% of their original asking price on average.

There are 121 active listings on the market, with 33 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.1 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 380 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Holiday prices sit below the Pasco County median by roughly 37%. Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,636. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Holiday is 53 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

Holiday since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $52,649 in 2012 and $231,423 over the last recorded year — 340% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 26% of recent sales, down from a 59% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (9,556 recorded sales)

$48K$154K$260K$231K2012: $53K2013: $56K2014: $61K2015: $79K2016: $92K2017: $107K2018: $128K2019: $124K2021: $200K2022: $229K2023: $256K2024: $253K2025: $242K2026: $231K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

4d39d74d42d2012: 73d2013: 61d2014: 54d2015: 50d2016: 37d2017: 28d2018: 29d2019: 49d2021: 8d2022: 6d2023: 19d2024: 28d2025: 42d2026: 42d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

25%42%60%26%2016: 59%2017: 50%2018: 39%2019: 37%2020: 35%2021: 28%2022: 38%2023: 27%2024: 26%2025: 25%2026: 26%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)

$331K$336K$340K$332KJul '25: $340KAug '25: $338KSep '25: $337KOct '25: $336KNov '25: $335KDec '25: $335KJan '26: $335KFeb '26: $335KMar '26: $335KApr '26: $334KMay '26: $334KJun '26: $332KJul '26: $332KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

4,2244,4894,7544,644Jul '25: 4,744Aug '25: 4,728Sep '25: 4,662Oct '25: 4,589Nov '25: 4,461Dec '25: 4,304Jan '26: 4,235Feb '26: 4,251Mar '26: 4,424Apr '26: 4,515May '26: 4,569Jun '26: 4,601Jul '26: 4,644Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)

1,3443,1004,856Jul 07 · Active: 4,578Aug 03 · Active: 4,663Aug 04 · Active: 4,488Aug 05 · Active: 4,585Aug 06 · Active: 4,605Aug 07 · Active: 4,652Aug 08 · Active: 4,666Aug 09 · Active: 4,669Aug 10 · Active: 4,654Aug 11 · Active: 4,614Aug 12 · Active: 4,612Aug 13 · Active: 4,613Aug 15 · Active: 4,676Aug 17 · Active: 4,646Aug 19 · Active: 4,646Aug 22 · Active: 4,717Aug 23 · Active: 4,721Aug 28 · Active: 4,722Aug 29 · Active: 4,758Aug 30 · Active: 4,758Aug 31 · Active: 4,753Sep 07 · Active: 4,753Sep 09 · Active: 4,690Sep 11 · Active: 4,786Sep 12 · Active: 4,782Sep 13 · Active: 4,781Sep 14 · Active: 4,729Sep 15 · Active: 4,728Jul 07Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$225K$225K$225K$225KAug 06: $225KAug 08: $225KAug 09: $225KAug 10: $225KAug 11: $225KAug 12: $225KAug 13: $225KAug 15: $225KAug 17: $225KAug 18: $225KAug 19: $225KAug 20: $225KAug 21: $225KAug 22: $225KAug 23: $225KAug 24: $225KAug 26: $225KAug 28: $225KAug 29: $225KAug 30: $225KAug 31: $225KSep 01: $225KSep 04: $225KSep 05: $225KSep 06: $225KSep 07: $225KSep 08: $225KSep 09: $225KSep 10: $225KSep 11: $225KSep 12: $225KSep 13: $225KSep 14: $225KSep 15: $225KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 96%Condo 1%Townhome 1%Villa 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Holiday

Who’s moving here
+18,430 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,659/yr avg premium

8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
7,878 units permitted +16% YoY

6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Tanglewood Mobile Village ▼ 18%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
Under $300K: 4.0 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Holiday right now.

Biggest opportunity
$300K–$500K: 2.8 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Pasco County

MarketMedianActiveScore
Holiday ← this page$225K12153
New Port Richey$267K42653Open →
Zephyrhills$340K30050Open →
Wesley Chapel$425K29860Open →
Hudson$300K22844Open →
Land O' Lakes$395K19670Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
GulfwindsHoliday$337K▲ 5%
Holiday Lake Villas CondoHoliday$135K▲ 2%
Buena Vista ManorHoliday$142K▲ 2%
Tahitian HomesHoliday$232K▲ 1%
BEACON SQUAREHoliday$220K▲ -0%
Prices cooling fastest
Tanglewood Mobile VillageHoliday$104K▼ 18%
Forest Hills East HolidayHoliday$255K▼ 16%
LA VILLA GARDENSHoliday$231K▼ 12%
Crest Ridge GardensHoliday$218K▼ 9%
Tahitian Dev SubHoliday$219K▼ 9%
Most homes for sale
Holiday Lake EstatesHoliday$226K31
Tanglewood Mobile VillageHoliday$104K11
GulfwindsHoliday$337K8
Holiday GardensHoliday$229K8
Holiday Lake Villas CondoHoliday$135K8
Selling fastest
La Villa Gardens Unit 4Holiday$245K9 days
LA VILLA GARDENSHoliday$231K11 days
Crest Ridge GardensHoliday$218K18 days
Holiday Lakes West HolidayHoliday$271K23 days
Tahitian Dev SubHoliday$219K25 days
Explore Deeper

Holiday ZIP codes

Most active communities

More on Holiday

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Holiday right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Holiday — the Momentum Score reads 53/100 with 4.1 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Holiday becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Holiday is $225,000, down 3.2% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 93.9% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in Holiday?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Tanglewood Mobile Village (-18%); Forest Hills East Holiday (-16%); LA VILLA GARDENS (-12%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which Holiday neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are La Villa Gardens Unit 4 (9 days); LA VILLA GARDENS (11 days); Crest Ridge Gardens (18 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 42 days.

How does Holiday compare to the rest of Pasco County?

Holiday's median of $225,000 runs 37% below the county-wide median of $354,820, and homes here take 42 days to go under contract versus 47 county-wide.

Questions

Holiday housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in Holiday right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the Holiday housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $225,000 (down 3.2% year over year), 121 homes are for sale against 380 sales in the last 12 months, which is 4.1 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 42 days.

How much is a house in Holiday?

The median home sold for $225,000 in Holiday over the last 12 months, about $191 per square foot; asking prices on the 121 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in Holiday?

By the numbers, sellers in Holiday are getting 93.9% of asking price and going under contract in about 42 days with 4.1 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the Holiday housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Holiday median sale prices are down 3.2% year over year, inventory stands at 4.1 months of supply, and 22% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in Holiday?

The median sale price in Holiday is currently $225,000, down 3.2% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is Holiday a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. Holiday scores 53 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.1 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Holiday?

The typical home in Holiday goes under contract in about 42 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in Holiday?

There are approximately 121 active listings in Holiday as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in Holiday rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 3.2% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Holiday. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.