Florida Housing IntelligencePasco County › 34653 (New Port Richey)
Aerial view of 34653, Florida

34653 (New Port Richey)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Pasco County

Median sale price $240,000, down 1.8% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 37 days, 151 homes on the market.

72 communities reporting1,312 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 60
Live Market Pulse
60/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
625 homes sold here in the last 12 months. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · 34653 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$240K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 1.8% vs the prior 12 months
-1.8%
1-yr price change
n = 1,312 recent sales
$183/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Pasco County: $191 · -2.6% vs prior yr
94.9%
Sale vs ask
Pasco County: 94.9% · -0.3pp vs prior yr
$332K
Pasco County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.5% vs a year ago
Tempo
3.0mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
37days
Median DOM · closed
Pasco County: 47 days · +2.0 days vs prior yr
20%
Under contract
Pasco County: 27%
151 · 50 ▼1
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
625
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -2.4% vs prior yr
Market context
32%
Listings with price cuts
Pasco County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
4,644
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.9% vs prior month
8%
New construction
share of recent sales · +4.2pp vs prior yr
26%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 56% · +1.0pp vs prior yr
60/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$67,384
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
588,758
County population
+15.3% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,028/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 3.0 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 20% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 1.8% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 94.9% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 60
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage40
Seller leverage60

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 20% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 34653 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
3.0 mo · balanced band · 107 active
$300K–$500K
2.7 mo · seller-tilted · 42 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 34653 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (72 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 34653 (New Port Richey)

The median sale price across 34653 currently stands at $240,000, down 1.8% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $183 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 37 days. Sellers are capturing 94.9% of their original asking price on average.

There are 151 active listings on the market, with 50 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.0 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 625 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,636. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 34653 is 60 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

34653 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $65,067 in 2012 and $261,308 over the last recorded year — 302% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 26% of recent sales, down from a 56% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (12,303 recorded sales)

$61K$169K$277K$261K2012: $65K2013: $70K2014: $68K2015: $87K2016: $93K2017: $111K2018: $130K2019: $137K2021: $224K2022: $247K2023: $270K2024: $273K2025: $258K2026: $261K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

4d46d88d37d2012: 87d2013: 51d2014: 53d2015: 48d2016: 36d2017: 26d2018: 26d2019: 53d2021: 6d2022: 6d2023: 17d2024: 23d2025: 35d2026: 37d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

22%40%57%26%2016: 56%2017: 43%2018: 37%2019: 34%2020: 34%2021: 28%2022: 38%2023: 25%2024: 23%2025: 25%2026: 26%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)

$331K$336K$340K$332KJul '25: $340KAug '25: $338KSep '25: $337KOct '25: $336KNov '25: $335KDec '25: $335KJan '26: $335KFeb '26: $335KMar '26: $335KApr '26: $334KMay '26: $334KJun '26: $332KJul '26: $332KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

4,2244,4894,7544,644Jul '25: 4,744Aug '25: 4,728Sep '25: 4,662Oct '25: 4,589Nov '25: 4,461Dec '25: 4,304Jan '26: 4,235Feb '26: 4,251Mar '26: 4,424Apr '26: 4,515May '26: 4,569Jun '26: 4,601Jul '26: 4,644Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)

1,3443,1004,856Jul 07 · Active: 4,578Aug 03 · Active: 4,663Aug 04 · Active: 4,488Aug 05 · Active: 4,585Aug 06 · Active: 4,605Aug 07 · Active: 4,652Aug 08 · Active: 4,666Aug 09 · Active: 4,669Aug 10 · Active: 4,654Aug 11 · Active: 4,614Aug 12 · Active: 4,612Aug 13 · Active: 4,613Aug 15 · Active: 4,676Aug 17 · Active: 4,646Aug 19 · Active: 4,646Aug 22 · Active: 4,717Aug 23 · Active: 4,721Aug 28 · Active: 4,722Aug 29 · Active: 4,758Aug 30 · Active: 4,758Aug 31 · Active: 4,753Sep 07 · Active: 4,753Sep 09 · Active: 4,690Sep 11 · Active: 4,786Sep 12 · Active: 4,782Sep 13 · Active: 4,781Sep 14 · Active: 4,729Sep 15 · Active: 4,728Jul 07Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$230K$240K$250K$240KAug 06: $240KAug 08: $240KAug 09: $240KAug 10: $240KAug 11: $240KAug 12: $240KAug 13: $240KAug 15: $240KAug 17: $240KAug 18: $240KAug 19: $240KAug 20: $240KAug 21: $240KAug 22: $240KAug 23: $240KAug 24: $240KAug 26: $240KAug 28: $240KAug 29: $240KAug 30: $240KAug 31: $240KSep 01: $240KSep 04: $240KSep 05: $240KSep 06: $240KSep 07: $240KSep 08: $240KSep 09: $240KSep 10: $240KSep 11: $240KSep 12: $240KSep 13: $240KSep 14: $240KSep 15: $240KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 97%Condo 2%Villa 1%? 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 34653

Who’s moving here
+18,430 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,659/yr avg premium

8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
7,878 units permitted +16% YoY

6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Port Richey Land Co Sub ▼ 42%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
Under $300K: 3.0 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 34653 right now.

Biggest opportunity
$300K–$500K: 2.7 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Pasco

MarketMedianActiveScore
34653 ← this page$240K15160
33543$415K30456Open →
33541$400K28948Open →
34667$254K24847Open →
33545$445K20159Open →
34652$220K19846Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
VALENCIA GARDENS PH 03Land O' Lakes$564K▲ 11%
Valencia Gardens Ph 3Land O' Lakes$560K▲ 10%
Park Lake EstatesNew Port Richey$320K▲ 7%
HOLIDAY GARDENS ESTATESNew Port Richey$267K▲ 7%
TANGLEWOOD TERRACENew Port Richey$279K▲ 7%
Prices cooling fastest
Port Richey Land Co SubNew Port Richey$108K▼ 42%
Deer Park Ph 02BNew Port Richey$265K▼ 20%
Ridgewood Unit 2New Port Richey$280K▼ 18%
Briar PatchNew Port Richey$178K▼ 17%
Millpond Estates Sec 3New Port Richey$256K▼ 15%
Most homes for sale
Beacon Woods VillageHudson$240K29
DEER PARKNew Port Richey$310K14
Holiday Garden EstatesNew Port Richey$265K10
New Port Richey CityNew Port Richey$268K9
Holiday GardensHoliday$229K8
Selling fastest
Deer Park Ph 02BNew Port Richey$265K4 days
Ridgewood Unit 2New Port Richey$280K10 days
New Port Corners - Active AdultNew Port Richey$270K13 days
New Port CornersNew Port Richey$403K15 days
Valencia Gardens Ph 3Land O' Lakes$560K15 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 34653 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 34653 — the Momentum Score reads 60/100 with 3.0 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 34653 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 34653 is $240,000, down 1.8% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 94.9% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 34653?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Port Richey Land Co Sub (-42%); Deer Park Ph 02B (-20%); Ridgewood Unit 2 (-18%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 34653 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Deer Park Ph 02B (4 days); Ridgewood Unit 2 (10 days); New Port Corners - Active Adult (13 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 37 days.

Questions

34653 (New Port Richey) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 34653 right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the 34653 housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $240,000 (down 1.8% year over year), 151 homes are for sale against 625 sales in the last 12 months, which is 3.0 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 37 days.

How much is a house in 34653?

The median home sold for $240,000 in 34653 over the last 12 months, about $183 per square foot; asking prices on the 151 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 34653?

By the numbers, sellers in 34653 are getting 94.9% of asking price and going under contract in about 37 days with 3.0 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 34653 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 34653 median sale prices are down 1.8% year over year, inventory stands at 3.0 months of supply, and 20% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 34653?

The median sale price in 34653 is currently $240,000, down 1.8% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 34653 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. 34653 scores 60 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.0 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 34653?

The typical home in 34653 goes under contract in about 37 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 34653?

There are approximately 151 active listings in 34653 as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in 34653 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 1.8% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 34653 (New Port Richey). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.