Mary Esther
Housing Market
Median sale price $319,900, down 3.1% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 71 days, 55 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 4.4 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 29% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 3.1% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 97.5% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.
- Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
- Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 29% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.5× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current Mary Esther data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where Mary Esther is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (24 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on Mary Esther
The median sale price across Mary Esther currently stands at $319,900, down 3.1% from a year ago. The typical home goes under contract in about 71 days. Sellers are capturing 97.5% of their original asking price on average.
There are 55 active listings on the market, with 28 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.4 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 135 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Mary Esther prices sit below the Okaloosa County median by roughly 12%. Zillow's home value index for Okaloosa County stands at $356,683. About 25% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Mary Esther is 55 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.
Mary Esther since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $147,166 in 2012 and $329,151 over the last recorded year — 124% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (1,303 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Home value trend · Okaloosa County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Okaloosa County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving Mary Esther
Top inbound states: TX, CA, AL, NC. Movers arriving report ~$72,311 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
1,101 Citizens policies in force in Okaloosa County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Okaloosa purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
987 single-family · 70 multi-family · 4.9 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Mary Esther right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
How it stacks up across Okaloosa County
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Esther ← this page | $320K | 55 | 55 | |
| Destin | $730K | 321 | 27 | Open → |
| Crestview | $322K | 187 | 59 | Open → |
| Fort Walton Beach | $365K | 94 | 65 | Open → |
| Niceville | $536K | 59 | 65 | Open → |
| Shalimar | $395K | 33 | 74 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| SANDY RIDGE ESTATESMary Esther | $327K | ▲ 10% |
| WATERFORD ESTATES S/DMary Esther | $345K | ▲ 5% |
| WYNNEHAVEN BEACH ESTATESMary Esther | $324K | ▲ 2% |
| CHATEAU PRES DE LA MERMary Esther | $310K | ▲ -14% |
| MARY ESTHER MANORMary Esther | $365K | ▲ -27% |
| MARY ESTHER MANORMary Esther | $365K | ▼ 27% |
| CHATEAU PRES DE LA MERMary Esther | $310K | ▼ 14% |
| WYNNEHAVEN BEACH ESTATESMary Esther | $324K | ▼ 2% |
| WATERFORD ESTATES S/DMary Esther | $345K | ▼ 5% |
| SANDY RIDGE ESTATESMary Esther | $327K | ▼ 10% |
| Forest Shore Villas TownhomesMary Esther | $320K | 15 |
| BROOKWOODMary Esther | $363K | 10 |
| CHATEAU PRES DE LA MERMary Esther | $310K | 4 |
| WYNNEHAVEN BEACH ESTATESMary Esther | $324K | 4 |
| BRYN MAWR PARK 1ST ADDNMary Esther | $291K | 3 |
| WYNNEHAVEN BEACH ESTATESMary Esther | $324K | 12 days |
| SANDY RIDGE ESTATESMary Esther | $327K | 21 days |
| MARY ESTHER MANORMary Esther | $365K | 36 days |
| WATERFORD ESTATES S/DMary Esther | $345K | 37 days |
| CHATEAU PRES DE LA MERMary Esther | $310K | 86 days |
Mary Esther ZIP codes
Most active communities
More on Mary Esther
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in Mary Esther right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Mary Esther — the Momentum Score reads 55/100 with 4.4 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is Mary Esther becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in Mary Esther is $319,900, down 3.1% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 97.5% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in Mary Esther?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are MARY ESTHER MANOR (-27%); CHATEAU PRES DE LA MER (-14%); WYNNEHAVEN BEACH ESTATES (2%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which Mary Esther neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are WYNNEHAVEN BEACH ESTATES (12 days); SANDY RIDGE ESTATES (21 days); MARY ESTHER MANOR (36 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 71 days.
How does Mary Esther compare to the rest of Okaloosa County?
Mary Esther's median of $319,900 runs 12% below the county-wide median of $365,000, and homes here take 71 days to go under contract versus 67 county-wide.
Mary Esther housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in Mary Esther right now?
As of September 15, 2026, the Mary Esther housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $319,900 (down 3.1% year over year), 55 homes are for sale against 135 sales in the last 12 months, which is 4.4 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 71 days.
How much is a house in Mary Esther?
The median home sold for $319,900 in Mary Esther over the last 12 months; asking prices on the 55 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in Mary Esther?
By the numbers, sellers in Mary Esther are getting 97.5% of asking price and going under contract in about 71 days with 4.4 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the Mary Esther housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Mary Esther median sale prices are down 3.1% year over year, inventory stands at 4.4 months of supply, and 29% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in Mary Esther?
The median sale price in Mary Esther is currently $319,900, down 3.1% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.
Is Mary Esther a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently is roughly balanced. Mary Esther scores 55 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.4 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in Mary Esther?
The typical home in Mary Esther goes under contract in about 71 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in Mary Esther?
There are approximately 55 active listings in Mary Esther as of September 15, 2026.
Are home prices in Mary Esther rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 3.1% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Mary Esther. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.