CAHILL PINES & PALMS
Homes for Sale in Big Pine Key, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat

Cahill Pines & Palms sits in Big Pine Key, Monroe County, where land scarcity, hurricane-hardening costs, and the sheer difficulty of building in the Florida Keys are baked into every asking price. The median closed price of $689,000 on homes that average just 1,200 square feet of living space tells you most of what you need to know: you are paying for location and land, not square footage. The roughly year-over-year softness — less than one percent — is a rounding error in a market this illiquid, not a trend signal.
With only five closings in the tracking window across a community of 146 homes, the data set is thin by design. Median days on market of 48 days signals a buyer pool that moves deliberately rather than urgently, and a market-heat score of 40 confirms this is a balanced-to-soft environment right now. Sellers should price with discipline; buyers have room to negotiate but should not expect distressed concessions on well-maintained Keys inventory.
CAHILL PINES & PALMS right now
🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($689K) is down 0.9% from the prior 12 months ($695K) and up 180% since 2012. With about a dozen sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level floridakeys closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 27. Confidence: Low (5 and 8 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
Updated July 27, 2026 · Live data: floridakeys, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
CAHILL PINES & PALMS market snapshot (as of July 27, 2026): the median sale price is about $689K, and a median 48 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 1% from the prior 12 months and up 180% since 2012, computed from record-level floridakeys closed sales (5 closings in the current window).
CAHILL PINES & PALMS is a community of 146 homes in Big Pine Key, Monroe County, built between 1963 and 2023 (median 1988.0), with a median living area of about 1,200 square feet. 44% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Cahill Pines & Palms is a modest-scale residential community in Big Pine Key where the built environment spans six decades — from construction in the early 1960s through 2023 — and the median home was built in 1988, meaning buyers will encounter a wide mix of construction eras, upgrade levels, and wind-mitigation profiles that drive meaningful price spread around that single median figure.
Who CAHILL PINES & PALMS is best for.
Best for
- A buyer whose primary goal is a Keys-based property — seasonal, vacation, or full-time — and who has budgeted at or above the $689K median with reserves for insurance and potential storm-hardening upgrades.
- An investor comfortable with a low-velocity, low-liquidity market who underwrites conservatively and is not dependent on a quick exit.
- A downsizer or low-maintenance buyer who genuinely wants a compact footprint and is not compromising on square footage — 1,200 square feet is the median reality here, not a floor.
Probably not for
- A buyer expecting significant negotiating leverage or a fast close; 48-day median days on market and thin volume mean the market moves on its own schedule.
- Anyone whose budget requires entry well below the $689K median and expects to find meaningful inventory — the data does not support that assumption in this community.
- A buyer unwilling to invest time in flood zone, elevation certificate, and insurance due diligence; skipping those steps in Big Pine Key is a material financial risk, not a minor inconvenience.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 27 of each year, from record-level floridakeys closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($689K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($695K) IS the -0.9% one-year change.
Windows contain 4 to 17 sales each (5 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Listing data provided by Florida Keys MLS, Inc. Information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The CAHILL PINES & PALMS buying strategy.
If we were buying in CAHILL PINES & PALMS today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in CAHILL PINES & PALMS.
What the Numbers Actually Mean in Big Pine Key
The homestead exemption rate of roughly 44 percent tells you a meaningful share of the community functions as primary residences, with the remaining majority held as investment, vacation, or seasonal property. That split matters for due diligence: insurance costs, HOA posture, and rental history vary sharply between the two ownership profiles, and a buyer should verify which type any specific home represents before writing an offer.
The long-run appreciation story — 180 percent since 2012 — reflects Keys-wide supply constraints and the demonstrated difficulty of adding inventory in Monroe County. That historical arc does not predict future performance and should not be treated as a guarantee of any kind, but it does explain why sellers rarely capitulate deeply even in softer periods. For buyers, the practical implication is that condition-driven negotiation — roof age, hurricane shutters, elevation certificate, flood zone — is where leverage actually lives, not broad price cuts.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in CAHILL PINES & PALMS. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in CAHILL PINES & PALMS buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 4 factors (6.8). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +180% since 2012; Recent Direction -0.9% year-over-year; Owner Commitment 44% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 95.5% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
Five closings in the measurement window means every comparable sale carries outsized weight, and a single outlier can distort valuation in either direction. Momentum Realty's focus on the Northeast Florida and Keys corridor means we come in with transaction-level data on how elevation certificates, flood zone designations, and wind-mitigation reports translate into real insurance cost differentials — the variables that move net cost of ownership more than list price alone in a community like Cahill Pines & Palms.
CAHILL PINES & PALMS in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a CAHILL PINES & PALMS buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed CAHILL PINES & PALMS sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in CAHILL PINES & PALMS, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your CAHILL PINES & PALMS home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in CAHILL PINES & PALMS, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
How long do homes in CAHILL PINES & PALMS take to sell?
How many homes are in CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
What share of CAHILL PINES & PALMS is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in CAHILL PINES & PALMS built?
Do cash buyers compete in CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
Have CAHILL PINES & PALMS home prices gone up?
Who is the best real estate agent for CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
How do I find a top Big Pine Key real estate agent who knows CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
Should you buy in CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | floridakeys closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 27, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (7 streets, ZIP 33043)) |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2002 (144 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of floridakeys records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Own a home here?
You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.
The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the floridakeys member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.
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More Big Pine Key & The Florida Keys & Monroe County guides
Compare before you commit - every guide covers pricing, HOA/CDD, insurance posture, and fit. Browse all of The Florida Keys & Monroe County or the full Neighborhood Finder.
