CAHILL PINES & PALMS
Homes for Sale in Big Pine Key, FL

Community in Big Pine Key · Monroe County · ZIP 33043
146 homesBuilt 1963–2023Median sale $689K
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Live Market Pulse
40/100
Market Heat
Near its long-run normal
2013 → 2026 · 81 at the 2022 peak
0 is CAHILL PINES & PALMS's coldest market since 2013, 100 its hottest. Today: 40. How it's scored
Built fromLive floridakeys data24 years of closingsFL DOR public recordsUpdated twice daily
Live · CAHILL PINES & PALMS Housing Pulse floridakeys + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$689K
Median sold · 12 mo
down 0.9% vs the prior 12 months
-0.9%
1-yr price change
n = 5 and 8 sales in the two windows
95.5%
Sale vs ask
Monroe median: 91.8%
+180%
T12M median vs 2012
from a $246K median in 2012
Tempo
48days
Median DOM · closed
7 days at the 2023 low
5
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 9 a year
Ownership and context
44%
Owner-occupied · CAHILL PINES & PALMS
70 of 160 parcels homesteaded (FL DOR 2025)
56%
Non-owner-occupied · CAHILL PINES & PALMS
incl. 12% trust or LLC-held · 19% out-of-state
0%
Cash buyers · CAHILL PINES & PALMS
0 of 5 sales, 12 mo ending July 2026
146
Homes in the community
plus 14 vacant residential lots · 160 residential parcels (FL DOR 2025)
Track record · 24 years of records
Est. 1963
Community established
homes built 1963-2023, median 1988 (FL DOR 2025)
3.4%/yr
Turnover rate
about 5 of 146 homes trade a year
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Current Read

Cahill Pines & Palms sits in Big Pine Key, Monroe County, where land scarcity, hurricane-hardening costs, and the sheer difficulty of building in the Florida Keys are baked into every asking price. The median closed price of $689,000 on homes that average just 1,200 square feet of living space tells you most of what you need to know: you are paying for location and land, not square footage. The roughly year-over-year softness — less than one percent — is a rounding error in a market this illiquid, not a trend signal.

With only five closings in the tracking window across a community of 146 homes, the data set is thin by design. Median days on market of 48 days signals a buyer pool that moves deliberately rather than urgently, and a market-heat score of 40 confirms this is a balanced-to-soft environment right now. Sellers should price with discipline; buyers have room to negotiate but should not expect distressed concessions on well-maintained Keys inventory.

CAHILL PINES & PALMS Housing Pulse · Momentum Research · as of July 27, 2026

CAHILL PINES & PALMS right now

🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($689K) is down 0.9% from the prior 12 months ($695K) and up 180% since 2012. With about a dozen sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level floridakeys closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 27. Confidence: Low (5 and 8 sales in the two windows).

Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ

Updated July 27, 2026 · Live data: floridakeys, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness

The 60-Second Overview

CAHILL PINES & PALMS market snapshot (as of July 27, 2026): the median sale price is about $689K, and a median 48 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 1% from the prior 12 months and up 180% since 2012, computed from record-level floridakeys closed sales (5 closings in the current window).

CAHILL PINES & PALMS is a community of 146 homes in Big Pine Key, Monroe County, built between 1963 and 2023 (median 1988.0), with a median living area of about 1,200 square feet. 44% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).

Cahill Pines & Palms is a modest-scale residential community in Big Pine Key where the built environment spans six decades — from construction in the early 1960s through 2023 — and the median home was built in 1988, meaning buyers will encounter a wide mix of construction eras, upgrade levels, and wind-mitigation profiles that drive meaningful price spread around that single median figure.

Best for

  • A buyer whose primary goal is a Keys-based property — seasonal, vacation, or full-time — and who has budgeted at or above the $689K median with reserves for insurance and potential storm-hardening upgrades.
  • An investor comfortable with a low-velocity, low-liquidity market who underwrites conservatively and is not dependent on a quick exit.
  • A downsizer or low-maintenance buyer who genuinely wants a compact footprint and is not compromising on square footage — 1,200 square feet is the median reality here, not a floor.

Probably not for

  • A buyer expecting significant negotiating leverage or a fast close; 48-day median days on market and thin volume mean the market moves on its own schedule.
  • Anyone whose budget requires entry well below the $689K median and expects to find meaningful inventory — the data does not support that assumption in this community.
  • A buyer unwilling to invest time in flood zone, elevation certificate, and insurance due diligence; skipping those steps in Big Pine Key is a material financial risk, not a minor inconvenience.

Windows contain 4 to 17 sales each (5 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Listing data provided by Florida Keys MLS, Inc. Information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Median sale price · trailing 12 mo
$200K$400K$600K20122014201620182020202220242026
Down 0.9% year over year; up 180% since 2012.
Median days on market · closed sales
010020020122014201620182020202220242026
7 days at the 2023 low; 48 now.
Sale price vs original ask · median
90%95%100%20122014201620182020202220242026
95.5% now vs Monroe 91.8%.
Homes sold per 12-mo window
05101520122014201620182020202220242026
4 to 17 a year; 5 in the current window.
Indexed since 2012 · CAHILL PINES & PALMS vs Monroe
100200300Monroe +191%CAHILL PINES & PALMS +180%20122014201620182020202220242026
Same floridakeys record, indexed to 100 at 2012.
Market Heat · 0 coldest, 100 hottest in the record
20406080seller-leaningbuyer-leaning2014201620182020202220242026
81 at the 2022 peak, 20 in the troughs, 40 now. Same score as the hero card, full history.

If we were buying in CAHILL PINES & PALMS today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in CAHILL PINES & PALMS.

Best Buy
Buyers who want a Keys address at a human scale, comfortable with older construction and the due-diligence depth that comes with it.
Biggest Risk
A thin transaction volume makes pricing imprecise; one poorly comparable sale can mislead both buyers and sellers.
Sweet Spot
A buyer targeting a primary or part-time Keys residence at the $689K median who understands that livable square footage will be modest.
Avoid If
You need large interior square footage for the price or are unwilling to engage deeply with insurance, flood zone, and wind-mitigation details.

What the Numbers Actually Mean in Big Pine Key

The homestead exemption rate of roughly 44 percent tells you a meaningful share of the community functions as primary residences, with the remaining majority held as investment, vacation, or seasonal property. That split matters for due diligence: insurance costs, HOA posture, and rental history vary sharply between the two ownership profiles, and a buyer should verify which type any specific home represents before writing an offer.

The long-run appreciation story — 180 percent since 2012 — reflects Keys-wide supply constraints and the demonstrated difficulty of adding inventory in Monroe County. That historical arc does not predict future performance and should not be treated as a guarantee of any kind, but it does explain why sellers rarely capitulate deeply even in softer periods. For buyers, the practical implication is that condition-driven negotiation — roof age, hurricane shutters, elevation certificate, flood zone — is where leverage actually lives, not broad price cuts.

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in CAHILL PINES & PALMS. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty
6.8B- · Buy Score
Long-Term Appreciation10.0/10
Recent Direction5.8/10
Owner Commitment4.4/10
Pricing Power7.0/10

Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 4 factors (6.8). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +180% since 2012; Recent Direction -0.9% year-over-year; Owner Commitment 44% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 95.5% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.

Why work with Momentum here

Five closings in the measurement window means every comparable sale carries outsized weight, and a single outlier can distort valuation in either direction. Momentum Realty's focus on the Northeast Florida and Keys corridor means we come in with transaction-level data on how elevation certificates, flood zone designations, and wind-mitigation reports translate into real insurance cost differentials — the variables that move net cost of ownership more than list price alone in a community like Cahill Pines & Palms.

CAHILL PINES & PALMS in 15 seconds.

Best forBuyers who want a Keys address at a human scale, comfortable with older construction and the due-diligence depth that comes with it.
Biggest advantageLand scarcity in Monroe County structurally limits supply, which has historically kept a floor under values here.
Biggest riskA thin transaction volume makes pricing imprecise; one poorly comparable sale can mislead both buyers and sellers.
Sweet spotA buyer targeting a primary or part-time Keys residence at the $689K median who understands that livable square footage will be modest.
Avoid ifYou need large interior square footage for the price or are unwilling to engage deeply with insurance, flood zone, and wind-mitigation details.

HOA, CDD & Fees

In short
  • Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed CAHILL PINES & PALMS sales matched to your home.

What is your CAHILL PINES & PALMS home worth?

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Real comps, not an automated estimate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
The median sale price in CAHILL PINES & PALMS was $689K over the 12 months ending July 27, 2026 (5 closed sales, floridakeys).
How long do homes in CAHILL PINES & PALMS take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending July 27, 2026 took a median 48 days on market (5 sales, floridakeys).
How many homes are in CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
The Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll shows 146 homes plus 14 vacant residential lots in CAHILL PINES & PALMS (public records).
What share of CAHILL PINES & PALMS is owner-occupied?
44% of CAHILL PINES & PALMS parcels carry a homestead exemption on the 2025 Florida DOR roll, the owner-occupancy proxy in public records.
When were the homes in CAHILL PINES & PALMS built?
Homes in CAHILL PINES & PALMS were built between 1963 and 2023, with a median year built of 1988.0 (FL DOR 2025 roll).
Do cash buyers compete in CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
Cash buyers took 0% of CAHILL PINES & PALMS sales in the 12 months ending July 2026 (0 of 5 closings, floridakeys).
Have CAHILL PINES & PALMS home prices gone up?
The trailing-12-month median is up 180% since 2012, from $246K to $689K (floridakeys closed records).
Who is the best real estate agent for CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
The best agent for CAHILL PINES & PALMS is one who actively works Big Pine Key and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for CAHILL PINES & PALMS.
How do I find a top Big Pine Key real estate agent who knows CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 280+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows CAHILL PINES & PALMS and the wider Big Pine Key area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for CAHILL PINES & PALMS?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your CAHILL PINES & PALMS purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.
A buyer whose primary goal is a Keys-based property — seasonal, vacation, or full-time — and who has budgeted at or above the $689K median with reserves for insurance and potential storm-hardening upgrades.Excellent fit
An investor comfortable with a low-velocity, low-liquidity market who underwrites conservatively and is not dependent on a quick exit.Excellent fit
A downsizer or low-maintenance buyer who genuinely wants a compact footprint and is not compromising on square footage — 1,200 square feet is the median reality here, not a floor.Excellent fit
A buyer expecting significant negotiating leverage or a fast close; 48-day median days on market and thin volume mean the market moves on its own schedule.Probably not
Anyone whose budget requires entry well below the $689K median and expects to find meaningful inventory — the data does not support that assumption in this community.Probably not
A buyer unwilling to invest time in flood zone, elevation certificate, and insurance due diligence; skipping those steps in Big Pine Key is a material financial risk, not a minor inconvenience.Probably not

Data sources & freshness

Community market statsfloridakeys closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 27, 2026
Housing stock & ownershipFlorida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (7 streets, ZIP 33043))
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 2002 (144 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of floridakeys records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

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The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the floridakeys member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.

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