Pablo Cove
Homes for Sale in Jacksonville, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Pablo Cove is a gated, amenity-heavy community of 262 homes built between 2020 and 2024, and that recent construction is doing most of the pricing work: the median sale sits at $485,750, or about $271 per square foot, on a median living area of 1,994 square feet. With a median year built of 2022, there is very little deferred-maintenance risk in this inventory, which is part of why per-square-foot pricing holds up even as the broader Duval County market moves in fits and starts.
Right now this reads as a balanced market: 3.8 months of supply, a median of just over 46 days on market, and pricing up 3% year-over-year against the most recent window of 16 closings. Active inventory is thin at just 5 listings, so sellers should not expect competing offers to appear overnight, and buyers who find the right unit should not assume a long runway to negotiate — thin supply cuts both ways in a balanced market like this one.
Pablo Cove right now
🟡 Balanced market. 5.6 months of supply and 36% of the inventory already under contract put buyers and sellers on roughly even footing.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, as of August 5, 2026. Confidence: High (11 active and pending listings, 16 closed sales in 12 months).
🟡 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($475K) is up 0.7% from the prior 12 months ($472K).Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 5. Confidence: High (16 and 20 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
Updated August 5, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Pablo Cove market snapshot (as of August 5, 2026): the median sale price is about $475K ($270 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), a median 46 days on market for closed sales, and 5.6 months of supply, a balanced market. The trailing-12-month median is up 1% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (16 closings in the current window).
Pablo Cove is a community of 262 homes in Jacksonville, Duval County, built between 2020 and 2024 (median 2022.0), with a median living area of about 1,994 square feet. 63% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Pablo Cove pairs newer construction (2020-2024) with a full gated-community amenity package, which is the main story here beyond the raw numbers: buyers are paying for low-maintenance age and controlled access as much as for square footage.
The setting & the homes.
Aerial and on-site photos of Pablo Cove. Swipe to explore the community.
Swipe or use the arrows → tap any photo to enlarge
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Pablo CovePhotos from realMLS listings in Pablo Cove; content deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Who Pablo Cove is best for.
Best for
- Buyers targeting a purchase near the community's $485,750 median who want a newer (2020-2024) home with minimal near-term maintenance.
- Buyers who prioritize a gated, amenity-rich setting (pool, fitness center, clubhouse, 24-hour security) over maximizing living square footage.
- Sellers with a well-maintained unit who can price against the current balanced-market read (3.8 months of supply, 46.5 median days on market) rather than chasing a bidding war.
Probably not for
- Buyers who need significantly more than the community's median 1,994 square feet of living space.
- Buyers hoping to browse a wide, varied active inventory — only 5 listings are on the market at a time.
- Sellers expecting rapid, above-median offers; the current balanced market and 46.5-day median days-on-market argue against that expectation.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending August 5 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($475K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($472K) IS the +0.7% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 75 sales each (16 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Duval County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · Duval County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.
Pablo Cove Market Scorecard
Pablo Cove is currently a seller's market. About 3.8 months of supply, a median asking price of $459,000, and homes go under contract in about 72 days.
Typical home value in the 32224 ZIP is $463,077, about 14.6% above the Florida norm (Zillow Home Value Index).
Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Typical value: Zillow Research. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Housing distress & ownership in Pablo Cove, Jacksonville
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Homes For Sale Right Now in Pablo Cove
Live MLS inventory for Pablo Cove. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.
Active · 25 daysTop listing
Active · 17 days
Active · 44 days
Active · 109 daysActive · 157 days
Active · 115 days
Active · 79 days
Pending · 49 days
Pending · 73 days
Pending · 80 daysActive and pending Pablo Cove listings as of 2026-08-05, priced high to low. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Tap any home to ask about it.
Pablo Cove on the map.
Every active, pending, and recently sold home, plotted. Toggle the layers and tap a home for the details.
Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.
Life at Pablo Cove
- Pool · reported on 21 of 21 listings
- Fitness Center · reported on 20 of 21 listings
- Gated · reported on 17 of 21 listings
- Clubhouse · reported on 12 of 21 listings
- Security Gate · reported on 12 of 21 listings
- Maintenance Grounds · reported on 11 of 21 listings
- Barbecue · reported on 10 of 21 listings
- Management - Off Site · reported on 6 of 21 listings
- Trash · reported on 6 of 21 listings
- Entry Phone/Intercom · reported on 4 of 21 listings
- Jogging Path · reported on 4 of 21 listings
- Management - Full Time · reported on 2 of 21 listings
Community amenities as reported across realMLS listings in this community; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Verify current amenities and access with the HOA.
How far is everything?
Everyday stops around Pablo Cove are close: the nearest groceries is about 2 minutes away.
- Publix · Groceries2 min
- Taco Libre · Dining3 min
- Isle of Palms Park JAX · Parks3 min
- Pablo Oaks Building · Health4 min
- Pura Bean Coffee Company · Coffee4 min
- Hodges Plaza · Shopping5 min
Approximate drive times via Mapbox Search + Directions, 2026-07-03. Verify for a specific address.
Schools
- Duval County Public Schools
- Verify the zoned schools by address
- Magnet and choice options may be available
- Alimacani ElementaryFLDOE grade A · Public PreK-5
- Duncan U. Fletcher MiddleFLDOE grade A · Public 6-8
- Sandalwood High SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 9-12
Grades are official Florida Department of Education school grades for 2025-26. Assignments are reported as of the 2025-26 year and can change; always confirm with Duval County Public Schools for a specific address.
Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Pablo Cove address.
Recent Developments in Pablo Cove
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Pablo Cove, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- July 2026Development
JWB secures funding for 108 affordable housing units in Jacksonville
Jacksonville Today reported that JWB Real Estate Capital secured about $28.59 million in gap funding for 108 income-restricted units across three Westside sites on Tracy, Justina and Ricker roads. Plans include 38 townhome-style units and two sets of 35 efficiency units, priced at or below 60% of area median income for 50 years. Groundbreaking is expected by September 2026 with completion in 2027.
What it may mean for the marketAdds new income-restricted rental and townhome housing supply on the Westside, increasing the stock of long-term affordable units and drawing public and tax-credit investment into three infill sites. The project is about 18 miles west of Pablo Cove, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: Jacksonville Today - July 2026Development
Culinary Institute of America selects Jacksonville for Southeast campus
News4Jax reported that the Culinary Institute of America chose downtown Jacksonville for its Southeast hub, to be located at 330 E. Bay Street on the Northbank riverfront. The campus would anchor a $160.5 million hotel and convention center development. The city previously approved up to $35 million in incentives, and the Downtown Investment Authority is finalizing agreements on design and property details.
What it may mean for the marketAnchors a major downtown riverfront redevelopment that pairs an educational campus with hotel and convention space, adding institutional and commercial investment to the urban core alongside Riverfront Plaza and Pearl Square. The project is about 12 miles west of Pablo Cove, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: News4Jax - June 2026Development
Hillwood contracts with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center
Master developer Hillwood contracted with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center on Jacksonville's Westside, continuing the buildout of the former Naval Air Station Cecil Field into an industrial and logistics park.
What it may mean for the marketContinued absorption of large industrial parcels at Cecil signals sustained employment growth on the Westside, which can support housing demand across nearby communities. The project is about 26 miles west of Pablo Cove, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: Jax Daily Record - April 2026Development
Southeast Toyota opens $170M vehicle-processing facility at JAXPORT's Blount Island, adding 400-plus jobs
Southeast Toyota Distributors dedicated a new vehicle processing facility at JAXPORT's Blount Island Marine Terminal in April 2026. The company put the investment at $170 million and said the facility created more than 400 full-time jobs, most of them hired locally.
What it may mean for the marketA large new employment center on Blount Island adds sustained local job demand, a factor that has historically supported nearby housing absorption. The site is about 8 miles northwest of Pablo Cove.
Source: JAXPORT - April 2026Development
Hillwood seeks to mass-grade an AllianceFlorida site for a possible 1 million-square-foot building
Hillwood asked to mass grade a site at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center to prepare for a possible 1 million-square-foot building, a step that typically precedes a large industrial or distribution user committing to the Westside park.
What it may mean for the marketA build-ready million-square-foot pad points to a potential large employer on the Westside, the kind of jobs anchor that can lift demand for nearby housing. The project is about 26 miles west of Pablo Cove, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: Jax Daily Record - February 2026Infrastructure
JAXPORT details $250M Blount Island modernization and record cargo in 2026 State of the Ports
At its February 2026 State of the Ports address, JAXPORT outlined a $250 million modernization of Blount Island's container and vehicle-handling capabilities and reported record fiscal-2025 cargo volumes. The port also said an air-draft expansion to accommodate larger ships is on track to finish by the end of 2026.
What it may mean for the marketContinued heavy investment in the Blount Island port complex anchors long-term industrial employment on the northeast side, a structural demand driver for the surrounding area. The site is about 8 miles northwest of Pablo Cove.
Source: News4Jax
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
The Pablo Cove buying strategy.
If we were buying in Pablo Cove today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Pablo Cove.
A Newer, Gated Community Still Finding Its Footing
At 262 homes with a median living area of 1,994 square feet, Pablo Cove is a mid-size gated community built almost entirely within a five-year window (2020-2024). The amenity list is extensive for its size: pool, fitness center, clubhouse, jogging path, barbecue area, and a security package that includes a manned security gate, 24-hour security, entry phone/intercom, and security lighting, backed by full-time on-site management alongside grounds maintenance and trash service. (Reported across this community's MLS listings — verify current amenities and access directly with the HOA before writing an offer around them.)
The market posture is genuinely balanced rather than tilted: 3.8 months of supply and a median 46.5 days on market put this closer to equilibrium than to a rush. A homestead share of 63.4% suggests the majority of owners have filed for homestead exemption, which is consistent with a community that functions as a primary-residence base rather than a purely transient one. With only 5 active listings against 16 recent closings, the visible market here is small — pricing conclusions should lean on the closed-sale trend more than on whatever happens to be listed at any given moment.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Pablo Cove. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Pablo Cove buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 4 factors (6.0). Basis: Recent Direction +0.7% year-over-year; Liquidity & Demand 5.6 months of supply; Owner Commitment 63% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 95.5% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
With active inventory this thin, five listings at any given time, pricing a home in Pablo Cove correctly means working from the closed-sale record rather than guessing off whatever is currently on the market. We track this community's median price, price-per-square-foot, and days-on-market movement directly off realmls closings, and we can walk buyers and sellers through what the current 3.8-months-of-supply, balanced-market read actually means for their specific timeline and unit.
Pablo Cove in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- No CDD
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Page states no CDD.
Tools for a Pablo Cove buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Pablo Cove sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Pablo Cove, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Pablo Cove home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Pablo Cove, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Pablo Cove on the map →
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Pablo Cove?
How long do homes in Pablo Cove take to sell?
Is Pablo Cove a buyer's or seller's market right now?
How many homes are in Pablo Cove?
What share of Pablo Cove is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Pablo Cove built?
Do cash buyers compete in Pablo Cove?
What schools serve Pablo Cove?
Who is the best real estate agent for Pablo Cove?
How do I find a top Jacksonville real estate agent who knows Pablo Cove?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Pablo Cove?
Should you buy in Pablo Cove?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Pablo Cove with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: August 5, 2026) |
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 5, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (6 streets, ZIP 32224/32250/32257)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-08-01 |
| Schools | 2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2020 (235 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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