Lakeside Estates vs Pace Island
Two Clay communities, compared on the numbers that decide it — price, pace, and supply — from live MLS data as of 2026-10-02.
| Metric | Lakeside Estates | Pace Island |
|---|---|---|
| Median sale price | $307K | $458K |
| Price per sq ft | $185 | $229 |
| Avg days on market | 94 days | 66 days |
| Months of supply | 1.8 mo | 1.2 mo |
| Market | Seller's Market | Seller's Market |
| 1-year price change | -7% | -8% |
| Recent closings | 33 | 31 |
The verdict
Pace Island carries the higher median price — about 49% above Lakeside Estates. Homes in Pace Island sell faster (66 days on market vs 94). Pace Island is the tighter market on inventory (1.2 months of supply).
Where each one is
Lakeside Estates and Pace Island are about 3 miles apart (straight-line, center to center) and share Clay County.
| Lakeside Estates | Pace Island | |
|---|---|---|
| County | Clay County, FL | Clay County, FL |
| City / area | Orange Park | Fleming Island |
| ZIP | 32073 | 32003 |
| Straight-line to downtown Jacksonville | 14 mi | 15 mi |
| Nearest Atlantic beach | 23 mi, Ponte Vedra Beach | 21 mi, Ponte Vedra Beach |
| FEMA flood zones (sampled parcels) | all 14 sampled homes outside a flood zone | all 17 sampled homes outside a flood zone |
Distances are straight-line; driving distance is usually 15 to 30 percent more. Flood-zone shares come from FEMA flood maps matched to sampled parcels; always check the exact address before you close.
What is for sale today
| Lakeside Estates | Pace Island | |
|---|---|---|
| Homes for sale now | 5 | 3 |
| Under contract | 2 | 4 |
| Asking prices today | $328K to $440K | $312K to $540K |
| Property types listed | Single Family Residence | Single Family Residence |
Live MLS counts, refreshed with every listing pull. Browse them: Lakeside Estates homes for sale · Pace Island homes for sale.
The homes themselves
| Lakeside Estates | Pace Island | |
|---|---|---|
| Homes (parcels) | 135 | 333 |
| Built | 1964–1974 (median 1972) | 1988–2013 (median 1996) |
| Typical living area | 1,675 sq ft | 2,290 sq ft |
| Homesteaded (owner-occupied) share | 76% | 80% |
Housing-stock figures from the Florida Department of Revenue 2025 assessment roll (public records).
Price history, year by year
| Year | Lakeside Estates median | Pace Island median |
|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $106K (16 sales) | $226K (22 sales) |
| 2013 | $125K (36 sales) | $235K (21 sales) |
| 2014 | $129K (43 sales) | $260K (26 sales) |
| 2015 | $144K (61 sales) | $282K (29 sales) |
| 2016 | $158K (65 sales) | $322K (32 sales) |
| 2017 | $175K (52 sales) | $265K (28 sales) |
| 2018 | $210K (50 sales) | $306K (36 sales) |
| 2019 | $220K (54 sales) | $341K (30 sales) |
| 2020 | $220K (58 sales) | $355K (30 sales) |
| 2021 | $266K (63 sales) | $395K (37 sales) |
| 2022 | $327K (57 sales) | $492K (24 sales) |
| 2023 | $329K (33 sales) | $474K (22 sales) |
| 2024 | $328K (40 sales) | $545K (27 sales) |
| 2025 | $318K (34 sales) | $535K (19 sales) |
| 2026 | $320K (33 sales) | $460K (31 sales) |
Since 2012, Lakeside Estates's median sale price is +203% and Pace Island's is +104% — Lakeside Estates has appreciated faster over that stretch.
How each one trades
| Lakeside Estates | Pace Island | |
|---|---|---|
| Sale-to-original-list | 95.4% | 97.6% |
| New-construction share of sales | 0% | 0% |
| Typical sold home | 2,000 sq ft | 2,264 sq ft |
| Momentum market-heat score | 35 (cold) | 51 (normal) |
Last 12 months of recorded closings; sale-to-original-list is the share of the first asking price sellers actually got.
Schools the listings are zoned for
| Lakeside Estates | Pace Island | |
|---|---|---|
| Elementary | Lakeside | Paterson |
| Middle | Lakeside | Green Cove Springs |
| High school | Orange Park | Fleming Island |
The school most often recorded on each community's MLS listings. Always confirm a specific address with the district.
Which one fits
On budget alone, Lakeside Estates is the lower entry point (median $307K vs $458K). Buyers who want newer construction (fewer near-term roof, HVAC and re-plumb items, and easier insurance quotes in Florida) will find it in Pace Island; Lakeside Estates trades that for a more established street and, typically, larger lots. Sellers get a faster sale in Pace Island (66 days on market on average); buyers get more negotiating room where homes sit longer.
Neither number set decides it: drive both on a weekday evening, check the HOA documents and the flood zone for the exact street, and price the insurance before you write an offer. A Momentum agent who works both communities can pull the comparable sales for any two specific homes.
Questions people ask
Is Pace Island more expensive than Lakeside Estates?
Yes, on recent sales: the median sale price in Pace Island is $458,000 versus $307,000 in Lakeside Estates, about 49% higher.
How far apart are Lakeside Estates and Pace Island?
About 3 miles straight-line, center to center, both in Clay County; driving distance is usually 15 to 30 percent more.
Which has newer homes, Lakeside Estates or Pace Island?
Pace Island: its homes were built 1988–2013 with a median year of 1996, versus a median of 1972 in Lakeside Estates (Florida DOR assessment roll).
Which has bigger homes?
Pace Island. The typical home there is 2,290 sq ft of living area, versus 1,675 sq ft in Lakeside Estates.
Which has appreciated more, Lakeside Estates or Pace Island?
From 2012 to 2026 the median sale price rose 203% in Lakeside Estates and 104% in Pace Island (recorded MLS closings by calendar year).
Where do sellers get closer to asking price?
Pace Island — sellers there received 97.6% of the original list price over the last 12 months versus 95.4% in Lakeside Estates.
What high schools serve Lakeside Estates and Pace Island?
Listings in Lakeside Estates most often report Orange Park; listings in Pace Island report Fleming Island. Zoning is set by the district and can change - verify by address.
Go deeper on each: Lakeside Estates homes, photos & schools · Pace Island homes, photos & schools
Figures are aggregates from realMLS / DBAAR, updated regularly. Thinking about either? Talk to Momentum Realty.