Florida Housing IntelligenceClay County › 32073 (Orange Park)
Aerial view of 32073, Florida

32073 (Orange Park)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Clay County

Median sale price $300,000, down 2.8% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 36 days, 189 homes on the market.

61 communities reporting991 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 64
Live Market Pulse
64/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
762 homes sold here in the last 12 months. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · 32073 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$300K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 2.8% vs the prior 12 months
-2.8%
1-yr price change
n = 991 recent sales
$172/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Clay County: $183 · -3.8% vs prior yr
96.4%
Sale vs ask
Clay County: 96.4% · flat vs prior yr
$338K
Clay County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -0.8% vs a year ago
Tempo
3.2mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
36days
Median DOM · closed
Clay County: 46 days · -11.0 days vs prior yr
29%
Under contract
Clay County: 34%
189 · 82
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
762
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -9.1% vs prior yr
Market context
30%
Listings with price cuts
Clay County · Zillow · +1.6pp vs prior month
1,265
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.9% vs prior month
16%
New construction
share of recent sales · -10.1pp vs prior yr
17%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 37% · -4.0pp vs prior yr
64/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$86,094
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
223,436
County population
+7.8% since 2018
3.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,080/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 3.2 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 29% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 2.8% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 96.4% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 64
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage36
Seller leverage64

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 29% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 3.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here gradually.

Derived from current 32073 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
3.0 mo · balanced band · 90 active
$300K–$500K
3.0 mo · balanced band · 98 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 32073 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (50 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 32073 (Orange Park)

The median sale price across 32073 currently stands at $300,000, down 2.8% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $172 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 36 days. Sellers are capturing 96.4% of their original asking price on average.

There are 189 active listings on the market, with 82 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.2 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 762 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Clay County stands at $337,847. About 30% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 32073 is 64 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

32073 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $103,598 in 2012 and $309,338 over the last recorded year — 199% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 17% of recent sales, down from a 37% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (17,272 recorded sales)

$99K$212K$324K$309K2012: $104K2013: $116K2014: $124K2015: $136K2016: $149K2017: $166K2018: $184K2019: $192K2020: $207K2021: $238K2022: $313K2023: $320K2024: $315K2025: $317K2026: $309K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

15d48d81d36d2012: 80d2013: 47d2014: 49d2015: 51d2016: 46d2017: 37d2018: 26d2019: 32d2020: 38d2021: 19d2022: 17d2023: 49d2024: 54d2025: 47d2026: 36d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

9%23%38%17%2016: 22%2017: 36%2018: 26%2019: 29%2020: 32%2021: 32%2022: 37%2023: 15%2024: 10%2025: 21%2026: 17%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Clay County (Zillow ZHVI)

$338K$339K$341K$338KJul '25: $341KAug '25: $340KSep '25: $339KOct '25: $338KNov '25: $338KDec '25: $338KJan '26: $338KFeb '26: $339KMar '26: $339KApr '26: $339KMay '26: $339KJun '26: $338KJul '26: $338KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

1,0831,2151,3461,265Jul '25: 1,341Aug '25: 1,297Sep '25: 1,264Oct '25: 1,263Nov '25: 1,245Dec '25: 1,199Jan '26: 1,125Feb '26: 1,089Mar '26: 1,115Apr '26: 1,164May '26: 1,226Jun '26: 1,254Jul '26: 1,265Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Clay County (MLS)

4218091,197Jul 07 · Active: 1,133Aug 03 · Active: 1,143Aug 04 · Active: 1,136Aug 05 · Active: 1,132Aug 06 · Active: 1,134Aug 07 · Active: 1,152Aug 08 · Active: 1,157Aug 09 · Active: 1,172Aug 10 · Active: 1,172Aug 11 · Active: 1,157Aug 12 · Active: 1,159Aug 13 · Active: 1,160Aug 15 · Active: 1,150Aug 17 · Active: 1,132Aug 19 · Active: 1,129Aug 22 · Active: 1,168Aug 23 · Active: 1,159Aug 28 · Active: 1,178Aug 29 · Active: 1,182Aug 30 · Active: 1,167Aug 31 · Active: 1,169Sep 07 · Active: 1,170Sep 09 · Active: 1,157Sep 11 · Active: 1,174Sep 12 · Active: 1,177Sep 13 · Active: 1,168Sep 14 · Active: 1,164Sep 15 · Active: 1,164Jul 07Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$296K$302K$309K$300KAug 06: $299KAug 08: $299KAug 09: $299KAug 10: $299KAug 11: $299KAug 12: $299KAug 13: $299KAug 15: $299KAug 17: $309KAug 18: $309KAug 19: $302KAug 20: $302KAug 21: $302KAug 22: $302KAug 23: $302KAug 24: $302KAug 26: $301KAug 28: $301KAug 29: $299KAug 30: $299KAug 31: $299KSep 01: $299KSep 04: $299KSep 05: $299KSep 06: $297KSep 07: $297KSep 08: $297KSep 09: $300KSep 10: $296KSep 11: $296KSep 12: $300KSep 13: $300KSep 14: $300KSep 15: $300KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 98%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 32073

Who’s moving here
+3,611 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: CA, VA, NY, NC. Movers arriving report ~$65,179 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,189/yr avg premium

606 Citizens policies in force in Clay County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Clay purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
1,522 units permitted -19% YoY

1,240 single-family · 282 multi-family · 6.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Village Green ▼ 54%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Clay

MarketMedianActiveScore
32073 ← this page$300K18964
32043$335K27957Open →
32068$325K25963Open →
32065$354K15363Open →
32003$460K8466Open →
32656$338K8150Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Park WestOrange Park$400K▲ 17%
Argyle ForestJacksonville$262K▲ 7%
Wilford PreserveOrange Park$428K▲ 7%
Laurel Grove PlanOrange Park$295K▲ 5%
WatermillJacksonville$330K▲ 5%
Prices cooling fastest
Village GreenJacksonville$175K▼ 54%
Heritage OaksOrange Park$304K▼ 39%
Cedar BendOrange Park$225K▼ 18%
Plantation VillageOrange Park$188K▼ 17%
Whispering PinesJacksonville$168K▼ 10%
Most homes for sale
Ortega FarmsJacksonville$260K30
Wilford PreserveOrange Park$428K28
Orange Park SouthMiddleburg$350K16
MeadowbrookOrange Park$248K14
Argyle ForestJacksonville$262K12
Selling fastest
Spencers CrossingOrange Park$265K9 days
Village GreenJacksonville$175K15 days
Townhomes of Holly CoveOrange Park$222K16 days
Cedar BendOrange Park$225K17 days
Park WestOrange Park$400K18 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 32073 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 32073 — the Momentum Score reads 64/100 with 3.2 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 32073 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 32073 is $300,000, down 2.8% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.4% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 32073?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Village Green (-54%); Heritage Oaks (-39%); Cedar Bend (-18%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 32073 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Spencers Crossing (9 days); Village Green (15 days); Townhomes of Holly Cove (16 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 36 days.

Questions

32073 (Orange Park) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 32073 right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the 32073 housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $300,000 (down 2.8% year over year), 189 homes are for sale against 762 sales in the last 12 months, which is 3.2 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 36 days.

How much is a house in 32073?

The median home sold for $300,000 in 32073 over the last 12 months, about $172 per square foot; asking prices on the 189 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 32073?

By the numbers, sellers in 32073 are getting 96.4% of asking price and going under contract in about 36 days with 3.2 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 32073 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 32073 median sale prices are down 2.8% year over year, inventory stands at 3.2 months of supply, and 29% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 32073?

The median sale price in 32073 is currently $300,000, down 2.8% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 32073 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. 32073 scores 64 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.2 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 32073?

The typical home in 32073 goes under contract in about 36 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 32073?

There are approximately 189 active listings in 32073 as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in 32073 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 2.8% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 32073 (Orange Park). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.