Florida Housing IntelligencePasco County › 33542 (Zephyrhills)
Aerial view of 33542, Florida

33542 (Zephyrhills)
Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Pasco County

Median sale price $219,900, down 6.4% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 53 days, 86 homes on the market.

36 communities reporting404 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 46
Live Market Pulse
46/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
Buyers are negotiating roughly 7% off asking. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET.
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Live · 33542 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$220K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 6.4% vs the prior 12 months
-6.4%
1-yr price change
n = 404 recent sales
$180/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Pasco County: $192 · -10.2% vs prior yr
93.0%
Sale vs ask
Pasco County: 94.9% · -1.0pp vs prior yr
$332K
Pasco County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.8% vs a year ago
Tempo
4.2mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
53days
Median DOM · closed
Pasco County: 47 days · +16.0 days vs prior yr
16%
Under contract
Pasco County: 23%
86 · 16 ▲97
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
244
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -23.9% vs prior yr
Market context
32%
Listings with price cuts
Pasco County · Zillow · +0.7pp vs prior month
4,601
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.7% vs prior month
6%
New construction
share of recent sales · -21.7pp vs prior yr
45%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 52% · +8.0pp vs prior yr
46/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
Economy & people · county layer
$67,384
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
588,758
County population
+15.3% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,028/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 6, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 4.2 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 16% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 6.4% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 93.0% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 46
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage54
Seller leverage46

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 16% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33542 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
3.8 mo · balanced band · 72 active
$300K–$500K
9.9 mo · buyer-tilted · 14 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33542 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (36 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33542 (Zephyrhills)

The median sale price across 33542 currently stands at $219,900, down 6.4% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $180 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 53 days. Sellers are capturing 93.0% of their original asking price on average.

There are 86 active listings on the market, with 16 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.2 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 244 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,852. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33542 is 46 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 6, 2026.

Trends & History

33542 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $77,468 in 2012 and $226,821 over the last recorded year — 193% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 45% of recent sales, down from a 52% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (3,321 recorded sales)

$66K$182K$298K$227K2012: $77K2013: $80K2014: $71K2015: $78K2016: $92K2017: $116K2018: $150K2019: $140K2021: $167K2022: $217K2023: $236K2024: $283K2025: $293K2026: $227K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

7d44d80d53d2012: 66d2013: 51d2014: 70d2015: 77d2016: 52d2017: 44d2018: 79d2019: 73d2021: 9d2022: 10d2023: 20d2024: 30d2025: 37d2026: 53d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

35%43%52%45%2016: 52%2017: 43%2018: 42%2019: 43%2020: 35%2021: 40%2022: 46%2023: 45%2024: 35%2025: 37%2026: 45%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)

$332K$337K$342K$332KJun '25: $341KJul '25: $339KAug '25: $337KSep '25: $336KOct '25: $335KNov '25: $335KDec '25: $334KJan '26: $334KFeb '26: $334KMar '26: $334KApr '26: $334KMay '26: $333KJun '26: $332KJun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

4,2244,4894,7544,601Jun '25: 4,721Jul '25: 4,744Aug '25: 4,728Sep '25: 4,662Oct '25: 4,589Nov '25: 4,461Dec '25: 4,304Jan '26: 4,235Feb '26: 4,251Mar '26: 4,424Apr '26: 4,515May '26: 4,569Jun '26: 4,601Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26

Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)

1,3753,0524,729Jul 07 · Active: 4,578Aug 03 · Active: 4,663Aug 04 · Active: 4,488Aug 05 · Active: 4,585Jul 07Aug 04Aug 05ActivePending
Single-family 42%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 22%Mobile Home - Pre 1976 13%Manufactured 7%Condo 5%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33542

Who’s moving here
+18,430 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,659/yr avg premium

8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
7,878 units permitted +16% YoY

6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
MEADOWOOD ESTATES ▼ 23%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
$300K–$500K: 9.9 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 33542 right now.

Biggest opportunity
Under $300K: 3.8 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Pasco

MarketMedianActiveScore
33542 ← this page$220K8646
33543$415K18252Open →
34652$239K17747Open →
34667$250K16543Open →
33541$400K15345Open →
33545$439K9848Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
SILVER OAKSZephyrhills$325K▲ 12%
SPANISH TRAILS VILLAGE CONDOZephyrhills$128K▲ 5%
BETMAR VILLAGE PHASE 1Zephyrhills$195K▲ 3%
DRIFTWOODZephyrhills$185K▲ 0%
ZEPHYRHILLS COLONY COZephyrhills$261K▲ -7%
Prices cooling fastest
MEADOWOOD ESTATESZephyrhills$245K▼ 23%
BETMAR ACRESZephyrhills$107K▼ 14%
LAKE BETMAR ESTATESZephyrhills$156K▼ 14%
RIVER LANDINGWesley Chapel$622K▼ 10%
CITY ZEPHYRHILLSZephyrhills$220K▼ 8%
Most homes for sale
ZEPHYRHILLS COLONY COZephyrhills$261K33
CITY ZEPHYRHILLSZephyrhills$220K16
SILVER OAKSZephyrhills$325K14
LAKE BETMAR ESTATESZephyrhills$156K11
DRIFTWOODZephyrhills$185K5
Selling fastest
ZEPHYRHILLS COLONY COZephyrhills$261K26 days
CITY ZEPHYRHILLSZephyrhills$220K31 days
LAKE BETMAR ESTATESZephyrhills$156K32 days
SPANISH TRAILS VILLAGE CONDOZephyrhills$128K39 days
RIVER LANDINGWesley Chapel$622K43 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33542 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33542 — the Momentum Score reads 46/100 with 4.2 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33542 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33542 is $219,900, down 6.4% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 93.0% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33542?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are MEADOWOOD ESTATES (-23%); BETMAR ACRES (-14%); LAKE BETMAR ESTATES (-14%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33542 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are ZEPHYRHILLS COLONY CO (26 days); CITY ZEPHYRHILLS (31 days); LAKE BETMAR ESTATES (32 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 53 days.

Questions

33542 (Zephyrhills) housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in 33542?

The median sale price in 33542 is currently $219,900, down 6.4% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 6, 2026.

Is 33542 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 33542 scores 46 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.2 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33542?

The typical home in 33542 goes under contract in about 53 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33542?

There are approximately 86 active listings in 33542 as of August 6, 2026.

Are home prices in 33542 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 6.4% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33542 (Zephyrhills). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 6, 2026 at 7:18 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.