Florida Housing IntelligenceClay County › 32656 (Keystone Heights)
Aerial view of 32656, Florida

32656 (Keystone Heights)
Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Clay County

Median sale price $294,000, down 1.6% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 46 days, 75 homes on the market.

21 communities reporting231 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 54
Live Market Pulse
54/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
About 5 months of supply — room to negotiate. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh August 26, 2026 at 8:37 PM ET.
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Live · 32656 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$294K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 1.6% vs the prior 12 months
-1.6%
1-yr price change
n = 231 recent sales
$186/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Clay County: $180 · -2.6% vs prior yr
95.5%
Sale vs ask
Clay County: 96.3% · -0.8pp vs prior yr
$338K
Clay County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -0.8% vs a year ago
Tempo
5.1mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
46days
Median DOM · closed
Clay County: 46 days · -5.0 days vs prior yr
28%
Under contract
Clay County: 35%
75 · 15 ▼9
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
187
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +6.0% vs prior yr
Market context
30%
Listings with price cuts
Clay County · Zillow · +1.6pp vs prior month
1,265
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.9% vs prior month
25%
New construction
share of recent sales · +3.1pp vs prior yr
54/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
21
Communities reporting
of 138 tracked in 32656
Economy & people · county layer
$86,094
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
223,436
County population
+7.8% since 2018
3.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,080/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 8,500+ families served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · August 26, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 5.1 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 28% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 1.6% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.5% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 54
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage46
Seller leverage54

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 28% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 3.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here gradually.

Derived from current 32656 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 32656 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (19 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 32656 (Keystone Heights)

The median sale price across 32656 currently stands at $294,000, down 1.6% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $186 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 46 days. Sellers are capturing 95.5% of their original asking price on average.

There are 75 active listings on the market, with 15 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 5.1 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 187 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Clay County stands at $337,847. About 30% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 32656 is 54 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of August 26, 2026.

Trends & History

32656 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $79,946 in 2012 and $297,496 over the last recorded year — 272% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (2,892 recorded sales)

$59K$181K$304K$297K2012: $80K2013: $74K2014: $64K2015: $161K2016: $144K2017: $144K2018: $149K2019: $160K2020: $184K2021: $200K2022: $251K2023: $243K2024: $280K2025: $299K2026: $297K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

26d65d103d46d2012: 102d2013: 66d2014: 71d2015: 73d2016: 62d2017: 49d2018: 47d2019: 44d2020: 51d2021: 35d2022: 28d2023: 42d2024: 39d2025: 51d2026: 46d20122015201920232026

Home value trend · Clay County (Zillow ZHVI)

$338K$339K$341K$338KJul '25: $341KAug '25: $340KSep '25: $339KOct '25: $338KNov '25: $338KDec '25: $338KJan '26: $338KFeb '26: $339KMar '26: $339KApr '26: $339KMay '26: $339KJun '26: $338KJul '26: $338KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

1,0831,2151,3461,265Jul '25: 1,341Aug '25: 1,297Sep '25: 1,264Oct '25: 1,263Nov '25: 1,245Dec '25: 1,199Jan '26: 1,125Feb '26: 1,089Mar '26: 1,115Apr '26: 1,164May '26: 1,226Jun '26: 1,254Jul '26: 1,265Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Clay County (MLS)

4268071,187Jul 07 · Active: 1,133Aug 03 · Active: 1,143Aug 04 · Active: 1,136Aug 05 · Active: 1,132Aug 06 · Active: 1,134Aug 07 · Active: 1,152Aug 08 · Active: 1,157Aug 09 · Active: 1,172Aug 10 · Active: 1,172Aug 11 · Active: 1,157Aug 12 · Active: 1,159Aug 13 · Active: 1,160Aug 15 · Active: 1,150Aug 17 · Active: 1,132Aug 19 · Active: 1,129Aug 22 · Active: 1,168Aug 23 · Active: 1,159Jul 07Aug 10Aug 23ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$294K$297K$300K$294KAug 06: $295KAug 08: $295KAug 09: $295KAug 10: $295KAug 11: $295KAug 12: $295KAug 13: $295KAug 15: $295KAug 17: $295KAug 18: $295KAug 19: $295KAug 20: $297KAug 21: $297KAug 22: $297KAug 23: $300KAug 24: $300KAug 26: $294KAug 06Aug 11Aug 17Aug 21Aug 26
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 32656

Who’s moving here
+3,611 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: CA, VA, NY, NC. Movers arriving report ~$65,179 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,189/yr avg premium

606 Citizens policies in force in Clay County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Clay purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
1,522 units permitted -19% YoY

1,240 single-family · 282 multi-family · 6.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Highridge Estates ▼ 40%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Clay

MarketMedianActiveScore
32656 ← this page$294K7554
32043$336K28356Open →
32068$310K27361Open →
32073$301K18365Open →
32065$352K13467Open →
32003$342K8366Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Keystone HeightsKeystone Heights$275K▲ 8%
Silver Sands EstatesKeystone Heights$278K▲ 6%
Big Tree LakesKeystone Heights$270K▲ 4%
Florida FrontierKeystone Heights$257K▲ 3%
South ShoresJacksonville$382K▲ -5%
Prices cooling fastest
Highridge EstatesKeystone Heights$107K▼ 40%
New RiversideJacksonville$297K▼ 7%
South ShoresJacksonville$382K▼ 5%
Florida FrontierKeystone Heights$257K▼ 3%
Big Tree LakesKeystone Heights$270K▼ 4%
Most homes for sale
New RiversideJacksonville$297K30
Highridge EstatesKeystone Heights$107K15
Big Tree LakesKeystone Heights$270K12
Lakeview HighlandsKeystone Heights$294K7
Keystone HeightsKeystone Heights$275K5
Selling fastest
Silver Sands EstatesKeystone Heights$278K14 days
South ShoresJacksonville$382K23 days
Big Tree LakesKeystone Heights$270K30 days
Florida FrontierKeystone Heights$257K36 days
Highridge EstatesKeystone Heights$107K42 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 32656 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 32656 — the Momentum Score reads 54/100 with 5.1 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 32656 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 32656 is $294,000, down 1.6% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.5% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 32656?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Highridge Estates (-40%); New Riverside (-7%); South Shores (-5%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 32656 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Silver Sands Estates (14 days); South Shores (23 days); Big Tree Lakes (30 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 46 days.

Questions

32656 (Keystone Heights) housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in 32656?

The median sale price in 32656 is currently $294,000, down 1.6% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated August 26, 2026.

Is 32656 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 32656 scores 54 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 5.1 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 32656?

The typical home in 32656 goes under contract in about 46 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 32656?

There are approximately 75 active listings in 32656 as of August 26, 2026.

Are home prices in 32656 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 1.6% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 32656 (Keystone Heights). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: August 26, 2026 at 8:37 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.