Florida Housing Intelligence › Clay County › 32656 (Keystone Heights)
Aerial view of 32656, Florida

32656 (Keystone Heights)
Housing Market & Home Values

ZIP code market report · Clay County, FL

Median sale price $269,900, down 10.3% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 64 days, 46 homes on the market.

26 communities reporting146 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 32
Live Market Pulse
32/100
Momentum
▼10
Soft Market
Prices are down 10% year over year — negotiating room is real. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh October 26, 2026 at 10:07 AM ET.
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Live · 32656 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$270K ▼
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 10.3% vs the prior 12 months
-10.3% ▼
1-yr price change
n = 146 recent sales
$184/sf ▲
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Clay County: $182 · +2.2% vs prior yr
93.7% ▼
Sale vs ask
Clay County: 95.8% · -4.9pp vs prior yr
$335K ▼
Clay County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -0.3% vs a year ago
Tempo
7.7mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
64days ▲
Median DOM · closed
Clay County: 49 days · +31.0 days vs prior yr
10%
Under contract
Clay County: 30%
46 · 7
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
95 ▲
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +210.6% vs prior yr
Market context
30% ▲
Listings with price cuts
Clay County · Zillow · +0.3pp vs prior month
1,243 ▼
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -1.5% vs prior month
8% ▲
New construction
share of recent sales · +5.4pp vs prior yr
32/100 ▼
Momentum score
Soft Market · -10 vs yesterday
26
Communities reporting
of 130 tracked in 32656
Economy & people · county layer
$86,094
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
223,436
County population
+7.8% since 2018
3.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,080/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
✓ $3.5B+ sold✓ 10,000+ customers served✓ Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends✓ 800+ five-star reviews✓ Licensed FL MLS data✓ Updated daily
Today's Take · October 26, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks →
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 7.7 months of supply — heavy by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 10% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 10.3% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 93.7% of asking. Taken together, the data leans toward buyers — leverage is real for those ready to use it.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 32
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage68
Seller leverage32

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors buyers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — heavy supply keeps the pressure on sellers; softening is the path of least resistance.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 10% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 3.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here gradually.

Derived from current 32656 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
8.7 mo · buyer-tilted · 37 active
$300K–$500K
3.0 mo · balanced band · 9 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 32656 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (24 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 32656 (Keystone Heights)

The median sale price across 32656 currently stands at $269,900, down 10.3% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $184 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 64 days. Sellers are capturing 93.7% of their original asking price on average.

There are 46 active listings on the market, with 7 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 7.7 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 95 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Clay County stands at $335,274. About 30% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 32656 is 32 of 100 — soft market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 26, 2026.

Trends & History

32656 since 2015 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $80,808 in 2015 and $312,464 over the last recorded year — 287% appreciation across 11 years of recorded sales.

Median sale price · 2015–2026 (525 recorded sales)

$76K$197K$317K$312K2015: $81K2016: $106K2017: $125K2018: $126K2019: $160K2020: $136K2021: $155K2022: $224K2023: $241K2024: $289K2025: $270K2026: $312K20152018202120242026

Home value trend · Clay County (Zillow ZHVI)

$335K$336K$336K$335KSep '25: $336KOct '25: $336KNov '25: $336KDec '25: $335KJan '26: $336KFeb '26: $336KMar '26: $336KApr '26: $336KMay '26: $336KJun '26: $336KJul '26: $335KAug '26: $335KSep '26: $335KSep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26Sep '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

1,0851,1771,2691,243Sep '25: 1,264Oct '25: 1,263Nov '25: 1,245Dec '25: 1,199Jan '26: 1,125Feb '26: 1,089Mar '26: 1,115Apr '26: 1,164May '26: 1,226Jun '26: 1,254Jul '26: 1,266Aug '26: 1,262Sep '26: 1,243Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26Sep '26

Daily active vs pending · Clay County (MLS)

3867991,212Jul 07 · Active: 1,133Aug 03 · Active: 1,143Aug 04 · Active: 1,136Aug 05 · Active: 1,132Aug 06 · Active: 1,134Aug 07 · Active: 1,152Aug 08 · Active: 1,157Aug 09 · Active: 1,172Aug 10 · Active: 1,172Aug 11 · Active: 1,157Aug 12 · Active: 1,159Aug 13 · Active: 1,160Aug 15 · Active: 1,150Aug 17 · Active: 1,132Aug 19 · Active: 1,129Aug 22 · Active: 1,168Aug 23 · Active: 1,159Aug 28 · Active: 1,178Aug 29 · Active: 1,182Aug 30 · Active: 1,167Aug 31 · Active: 1,169Sep 07 · Active: 1,170Sep 09 · Active: 1,157Sep 11 · Active: 1,174Sep 12 · Active: 1,177Sep 13 · Active: 1,168Sep 14 · Active: 1,164Sep 15 · Active: 1,164Sep 16 · Active: 1,166Sep 17 · Active: 1,171Sep 19 · Active: 1,196Sep 20 · Active: 1,193Sep 21 · Active: 1,183Sep 22 · Active: 1,180Sep 23 · Active: 1,179Sep 24 · Active: 1,188Sep 25 · Active: 1,189Sep 26 · Active: 1,184Sep 28 · Active: 1,181Oct 01 · Active: 1,153Oct 04 · Active: 1,165Oct 05 · Active: 1,165Oct 06 · Active: 1,161Oct 07 · Active: 1,161Oct 09 · Active: 1,175Oct 10 · Active: 1,180Oct 11 · Active: 1,182Oct 12 · Active: 1,172Oct 14 · Active: 1,164Oct 17 · Active: 1,188Oct 18 · Active: 1,188Oct 19 · Active: 1,185Oct 20 · Active: 1,181Oct 23 · Active: 1,191Oct 26 · Active: 1,191Jul 07Sep 15Oct 26ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$268K$306K$344K$270KAug 06: $295KAug 08: $295KAug 09: $295KAug 10: $295KAug 11: $295KAug 12: $295KAug 13: $295KAug 15: $295KAug 17: $295KAug 18: $295KAug 19: $295KAug 20: $297KAug 21: $297KAug 22: $297KAug 23: $300KAug 24: $300KAug 26: $294KAug 28: $294KAug 29: $294KAug 30: $294KAug 31: $294KSep 01: $294KSep 04: $294KSep 05: $294KSep 06: $294KSep 07: $294KSep 08: $294KSep 09: $295KSep 10: $295KSep 11: $295KSep 12: $295KSep 13: $338KSep 14: $338KSep 15: $338KSep 16: $342KSep 17: $342KSep 19: $342KSep 20: $342KSep 21: $342KSep 22: $334KSep 23: $334KSep 24: $334KSep 25: $334KSep 26: $334KSep 28: $334KSep 29: $334KSep 30: $334KOct 01: $330KOct 03: $330KOct 04: $338KOct 05: $338KOct 06: $338KOct 07: $338KOct 09: $310KOct 10: $306KOct 11: $306KOct 12: $275KOct 14: $275KOct 17: $275KOct 18: $275KOct 19: $275KOct 20: $275KOct 23: $270KOct 26: $270KAug 06Aug 26Sep 14Oct 03Oct 26
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 32656

Who’s moving here
+3,611 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: CA, VA, NY, NC. Movers arriving report ~$65,179 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,189/yr avg premium

606 Citizens policies in force in Clay County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Clay purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
1,522 units permitted -19% YoY

1,240 single-family · 282 multi-family · 6.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Highridge Estates ▼ 30%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
Under $300K: 8.7 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 32656 right now.

Biggest opportunity
$300K–$500K: 3.0 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Buyers: ask for concessions — rate buydowns and repair credits are back on the table. Sellers: presentation and the first two weekends decide your outcome; price accordingly.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Clay

MarketMedianActiveScore
32656 ← this page$270K4632
32068$300K27250Open →
32043$331K27148Open →
32073$310K19255Open →
32065$339K15951Open →
32003$470K8758Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
South ShoresJacksonville$389K▲ -2%
Florida FrontierKeystone Heights$260K▲ -4%
Highridge EstatesKeystone Heights$115K▲ -30%
Prices cooling fastest
Highridge EstatesKeystone Heights$115K▼ 30%
Florida FrontierKeystone Heights$260K▼ 4%
South ShoresJacksonville$389K▼ 2%
Most homes for sale
Big Tree LakesKeystone Heights$270K15
Highridge EstatesKeystone Heights$115K10
Keystone HeightsKeystone Heights$322K7
Lakeview HighlandsKeystone Heights$284K6
Silver Sands EstatesKeystone Heights$238K2
Selling fastest
South ShoresJacksonville$389K14 days
Florida FrontierKeystone Heights$260K16 days
Big Tree LakesKeystone Heights$270K50 days
BrightwaterKeystone Heights$306K62 days
Highridge EstatesKeystone Heights$115K236 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 32656 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor buyers in 32656 — the Momentum Score reads 32/100 with 7.7 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 32656 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 32656 is $269,900, down 10.3% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 93.7% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 32656?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Highridge Estates (-30%); Florida Frontier (-4%); South Shores (-2%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 32656 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are South Shores (14 days); Florida Frontier (16 days); Big Tree Lakes (50 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 64 days.

Questions

32656 (Keystone Heights) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 32656 right now?

As of October 26, 2026, the 32656 housing market favors buyers: the median sale price is $269,900 (down 10.3% year over year), 46 homes are for sale against 95 sales in the last 12 months, which is 7.7 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 64 days.

How much is a house in 32656?

The median home sold for $269,900 in 32656 over the last 12 months, about $184 per square foot; asking prices on the 46 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 32656?

By the numbers, sellers in 32656 are getting 93.7% of asking price and going under contract in about 64 days with 7.7 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 32656 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 32656 median sale prices are down 10.3% year over year, inventory stands at 7.7 months of supply, and 10% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 32656?

The median sale price in 32656 is currently $269,900, down 10.3% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 26, 2026.

Is 32656 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors buyers. 32656 scores 32 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 7.7 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 32656?

The typical home in 32656 goes under contract in about 64 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 32656?

There are approximately 46 active listings in 32656 as of October 26, 2026.

Are home prices in 32656 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 10.3% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 32656 (Keystone Heights). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

Talk to founders
Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 26, 2026 at 10:07 AM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

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Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.