Florida Housing IntelligencePasco County › 33525 (Dade City)
Aerial view of 33525, Florida

33525 (Dade City)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Pasco County

Median sale price $354,820, down 3.0% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 49 days, 175 homes on the market.

37 communities reporting777 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 46
Live Market Pulse
46/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
About 6 months of supply — room to negotiate. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · 33525 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$355K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 3.0% vs the prior 12 months
-3.0%
1-yr price change
n = 777 recent sales
$175/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Pasco County: $191 · -3.8% vs prior yr
95.2%
Sale vs ask
Pasco County: 94.9% · +0.8pp vs prior yr
$332K
Pasco County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.5% vs a year ago
Tempo
6.4mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
49days
Median DOM · closed
Pasco County: 47 days · -11.0 days vs prior yr
20%
Under contract
Pasco County: 27%
175 · 52 ▼1
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
385
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +27.0% vs prior yr
Market context
32%
Listings with price cuts
Pasco County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
4,644
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.9% vs prior month
59%
New construction
share of recent sales · +7.8pp vs prior yr
18%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 32% · -3.1pp vs prior yr
46/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
Economy & people · county layer
$67,384
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
588,758
County population
+15.3% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,028/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 6.4 months of supply — heavy by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 20% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 3.0% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 95.2% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 46
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage54
Seller leverage46

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — heavy supply keeps the pressure on sellers; softening is the path of least resistance.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 20% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33525 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
5.0 mo · balanced band · 67 active
$300K–$500K
4.5 mo · balanced band · 67 active
$500K–$750K
11.2 mo · buyer-tilted · 41 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33525 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (34 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33525 (Dade City)

The median sale price across 33525 currently stands at $354,820, down 3.0% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $175 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 49 days. Sellers are capturing 95.2% of their original asking price on average.

There are 175 active listings on the market, with 52 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 6.4 months of supply — a buyer-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 385 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,636. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33525 is 46 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

33525 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $159,527 in 2012 and $374,847 over the last recorded year — 135% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 18% of recent sales, down from a 32% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (3,682 recorded sales)

$127K$256K$385K$375K2012: $160K2013: $133K2014: $152K2015: $207K2016: $189K2017: $187K2018: $155K2019: $258K2021: $369K2022: $338K2023: $345K2024: $373K2025: $380K2026: $375K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

4d57d111d50d2012: 54d2013: 73d2014: 63d2015: 94d2016: 48d2017: 53d2018: 54d2019: 109d2021: 7d2022: 11d2023: 32d2024: 34d2025: 61d2026: 50d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

18%25%32%18%2016: 22%2017: 18%2018: 25%2019: 26%2020: 30%2021: 31%2022: 30%2023: 25%2024: 32%2025: 22%2026: 18%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)

$331K$336K$340K$332KJul '25: $340KAug '25: $338KSep '25: $337KOct '25: $336KNov '25: $335KDec '25: $335KJan '26: $335KFeb '26: $335KMar '26: $335KApr '26: $334KMay '26: $334KJun '26: $332KJul '26: $332KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

4,2244,4894,7544,644Jul '25: 4,744Aug '25: 4,728Sep '25: 4,662Oct '25: 4,589Nov '25: 4,461Dec '25: 4,304Jan '26: 4,235Feb '26: 4,251Mar '26: 4,424Apr '26: 4,515May '26: 4,569Jun '26: 4,601Jul '26: 4,644Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)

1,3443,1004,856Jul 07 · Active: 4,578Aug 03 · Active: 4,663Aug 04 · Active: 4,488Aug 05 · Active: 4,585Aug 06 · Active: 4,605Aug 07 · Active: 4,652Aug 08 · Active: 4,666Aug 09 · Active: 4,669Aug 10 · Active: 4,654Aug 11 · Active: 4,614Aug 12 · Active: 4,612Aug 13 · Active: 4,613Aug 15 · Active: 4,676Aug 17 · Active: 4,646Aug 19 · Active: 4,646Aug 22 · Active: 4,717Aug 23 · Active: 4,721Aug 28 · Active: 4,722Aug 29 · Active: 4,758Aug 30 · Active: 4,758Aug 31 · Active: 4,753Sep 07 · Active: 4,753Sep 09 · Active: 4,690Sep 11 · Active: 4,786Sep 12 · Active: 4,782Sep 13 · Active: 4,781Sep 14 · Active: 4,729Sep 15 · Active: 4,728Jul 07Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$354K$385K$416K$355KAug 06: $415KAug 08: $415KAug 09: $415KAug 10: $415KAug 11: $415KAug 12: $415KAug 13: $415KAug 15: $415KAug 17: $415KAug 18: $415KAug 19: $415KAug 20: $415KAug 21: $415KAug 22: $415KAug 23: $415KAug 24: $415KAug 26: $415KAug 28: $415KAug 29: $415KAug 30: $415KAug 31: $415KSep 01: $415KSep 04: $415KSep 05: $415KSep 06: $415KSep 07: $415KSep 08: $415KSep 09: $415KSep 10: $415KSep 11: $415KSep 12: $355KSep 13: $355KSep 14: $355KSep 15: $355KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 97%Villa 1%Manufactured Home - Post 1977 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33525

Who’s moving here
+18,430 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,659/yr avg premium

8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
7,878 units permitted +16% YoY

6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Lakewood Unit 2 ▲ 53%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
$500K–$750K: 11.2 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 33525 right now.

Biggest opportunity
$300K–$500K: 4.5 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Pasco

MarketMedianActiveScore
33525 ← this page$355K17546
33543$415K30456Open →
33541$400K28948Open →
34667$254K24847Open →
33545$445K20159Open →
34652$220K19846Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Lakewood Unit 2Dade City$221K▲ 53%
abbey glen i a-eDade City$366K▲ 15%
OAK CREEK PH 01Wesley Chapel$390K▲ 4%
lake jovita golf & country club ph 03bDade City$692K▲ 1%
LAKE JOVITA GOLF & COUNTRY CLUB PH 01Dade City$700K▲ -0%
Prices cooling fastest
HILLTOP POINTDade City$355K▼ 17%
Hilltop Point ReplatDade City$355K▼ 16%
Zephyrhills Colony CoZephyrhills$258K▼ 10%
LakewoodSarasota$210K▼ 7%
Abbey Glen Phase 2Dade City$350K▼ 6%
Most homes for sale
Zephyrhills Colony CoZephyrhills$258K40
PASADENA WOODSDade City$545K36
PASADENA RIDGEDade City$386K35
Summit ViewDade City$334K9
abbey glen i a-eDade City$366K8
Selling fastest
Bellamy CrossingsDade City$339K16 days
Talisman North Ridge ManorDade City$230K23 days
PASADENA WOODSDade City$545K25 days
HIGHLAND TRAILSDade City$309K28 days
Lakewood Unit 2Dade City$221K28 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33525 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33525 — the Momentum Score reads 46/100 with 6.4 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33525 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33525 is $354,820, down 3.0% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.2% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33525?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are HILLTOP POINT (-17%); Hilltop Point Replat (-16%); Zephyrhills Colony Co (-10%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33525 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Bellamy Crossings (16 days); Talisman North Ridge Manor (23 days); PASADENA WOODS (25 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 49 days.

Questions

33525 (Dade City) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 33525 right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the 33525 housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $354,820 (down 3.0% year over year), 175 homes are for sale against 385 sales in the last 12 months, which is 6.4 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 49 days.

How much is a house in 33525?

The median home sold for $354,820 in 33525 over the last 12 months, about $175 per square foot; asking prices on the 175 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 33525?

By the numbers, sellers in 33525 are getting 95.2% of asking price and going under contract in about 49 days with 6.4 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 33525 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33525 median sale prices are down 3.0% year over year, inventory stands at 6.4 months of supply, and 20% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 33525?

The median sale price in 33525 is currently $354,820, down 3.0% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 33525 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 33525 scores 46 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 6.4 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33525?

The typical home in 33525 goes under contract in about 49 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33525?

There are approximately 175 active listings in 33525 as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in 33525 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 3.0% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33525 (Dade City). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.