33545 (Wesley Chapel)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market
Median sale price $444,995, down 3.1% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 46 days, 201 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 3.8 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 28% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 3.1% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 96.2% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 28% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current 33545 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where 33545 is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (82 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on 33545 (Wesley Chapel)
The median sale price across 33545 currently stands at $444,995, down 3.1% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $194 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 46 days. Sellers are capturing 96.2% of their original asking price on average.
There are 201 active listings on the market, with 100 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.8 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 714 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,636. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33545 is 59 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.
33545 since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $130,182 in 2012 and $427,972 over the last recorded year — 229% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 17% of recent sales, down from a 28% peak.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (10,315 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving 33545
Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 33545 right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
Nearby ZIP codes in Pasco
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33545 ← this page | $445K | 201 | 59 | |
| 33543 | $415K | 304 | 56 | Open → |
| 33541 | $400K | 289 | 48 | Open → |
| 34667 | $254K | 248 | 47 | Open → |
| 34652 | $220K | 198 | 46 | Open → |
| 33525 | $355K | 175 | 46 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| Vidas Way Legacy Phase 1BWesley Chapel | $542K | ▲ 18% |
| Two Rivers Ph BZephyrhills | $445K | ▲ 10% |
| VIDA'S WAY LEGACY PH 1AWesley Chapel | $662K | ▲ 9% |
| CHAPEL CROSSINGSWesley Chapel | $569K | ▲ 7% |
| OAK CREEK PH 01Wesley Chapel | $390K | ▲ 4% |
| EPPERSON RANCH SOUTH PH 1Wesley Chapel | $410K | ▼ 36% |
| Esplanade At Wiregrass Ranch Phase IWesley Chapel | $470K | ▼ 30% |
| ESPLANADE AT WIREGRASS RANCHWesley Chapel | $481K | ▼ 29% |
| avalon park west northWesley Chapel | $395K | ▼ 26% |
| Bridgewater Ph 01 02 Wesley ChapelWesley Chapel | $350K | ▼ 22% |
| PASADENA WOODSDade City | $545K | 36 |
| union park ph 7bWesley Chapel | $415K | 17 |
| epperson ranch southWesley Chapel | $415K | 15 |
| avalon park west northWesley Chapel | $395K | 14 |
| mirada active adult ph 1fSan Antonio | $276K | 12 |
| Vida S Way LegacyWesley Chapel | $616K | 13 days |
| TwinflowersWesley Chapel | $334K | 16 days |
| chapel pines ph 1aWesley Chapel | $328K | 18 days |
| Bridgewater Ph 01 02 Wesley ChapelWesley Chapel | $350K | 19 days |
| Esplanade At Wiregrass Ranch Phase IWesley Chapel | $470K | 22 days |
Cities in this ZIP
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in 33545 right now?
The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33545 — the Momentum Score reads 59/100 with 3.8 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is 33545 becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33545 is $444,995, down 3.1% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.2% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in 33545?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are EPPERSON RANCH SOUTH PH 1 (-36%); Esplanade At Wiregrass Ranch Phase I (-30%); ESPLANADE AT WIREGRASS RANCH (-29%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which 33545 neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Vida S Way Legacy (13 days); Twinflowers (16 days); chapel pines ph 1a (18 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 46 days.
33545 (Wesley Chapel) housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in 33545 right now?
As of September 15, 2026, the 33545 housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $444,995 (down 3.1% year over year), 201 homes are for sale against 714 sales in the last 12 months, which is 3.8 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 46 days.
How much is a house in 33545?
The median home sold for $444,995 in 33545 over the last 12 months, about $194 per square foot; asking prices on the 201 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in 33545?
By the numbers, sellers in 33545 are getting 96.2% of asking price and going under contract in about 46 days with 3.8 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the 33545 housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33545 median sale prices are down 3.1% year over year, inventory stands at 3.8 months of supply, and 28% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in 33545?
The median sale price in 33545 is currently $444,995, down 3.1% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.
Is 33545 a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. 33545 scores 59 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.8 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in 33545?
The typical home in 33545 goes under contract in about 46 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in 33545?
There are approximately 201 active listings in 33545 as of September 15, 2026.
Are home prices in 33545 rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 3.1% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33545 (Wesley Chapel). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.