33594 (Valrico)
Housing Market & Home Values
Median sale price $406,319, down 2.4% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 35 days, 71 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 2.7 months of supply — tight by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 33% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 2.4% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 96.9% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a seller-leaning market.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 33% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.0× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current 33594 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where 33594 is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (80 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on 33594 (Valrico)
The median sale price across 33594 currently stands at $406,319, down 2.4% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $216 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 35 days. Sellers are capturing 96.9% of their original asking price on average.
There are 71 active listings on the market, with 38 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 2.7 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 414 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Hillsborough County stands at $377,121. About 33% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33594 is 68 of 100 — healthy market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 7, 2026.
33594 since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $161,454 in 2012 and $425,290 over the last recorded year — 163% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 20% of recent sales, down from a 42% peak.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (6,201 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Hillsborough County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Hillsborough County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving 33594
Top inbound states: NY, TX, NJ, GA. Movers arriving report ~$77,979 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
6,518 Citizens policies in force in Hillsborough County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hillsborough purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
4,295 single-family · 4,401 multi-family · 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 33594 right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
Nearby ZIP codes in Hillsborough
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33594 ← this page | $406K | 71 | 68 | |
| 33604 | $374K | 436 | 66 | Open → |
| 33579 | $362K | 238 | 53 | Open → |
| 33578 | $348K | 226 | 57 | Open → |
| 33598 | $360K | 183 | 60 | Open → |
| 33569 | $352K | 171 | 61 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| DIAMOND HILL PH 1A UNIT 2Valrico | $450K | ▲ 7% |
| bloomingdale sec nValrico | $406K | ▲ 6% |
| Diamond Hill Ph 2Valrico | $436K | ▲ 5% |
| The Willows Unit 3Valrico | $375K | ▲ 5% |
| oakdale riverview estates un 2Valrico | $325K | ▲ 5% |
| buckhorn preserve ph 4Valrico | $380K | ▼ 16% |
| BRENTWOOD HILLS TR A UNIT 01Valrico | $335K | ▼ 13% |
| brentwood hills tr a unit 2Valrico | $324K | ▼ 13% |
| Copper Ridge Tr EValrico | $292K | ▼ 12% |
| SomersetValrico | $310K | ▼ 11% |
| River Hills Country Club ParceValrico | $537K | 11 |
| bloomingdale sec nValrico | $406K | 7 |
| buckhorn preserve ph 4Valrico | $380K | 5 |
| brentwood hills tr a unit 2Valrico | $324K | 4 |
| Crosby CrossingsValrico | $455K | 4 |
| lakemont unit 2Valrico | $387K | 12 days |
| Taho WoodsValrico | $341K | 14 days |
| RIVER CROSSING ESTATESValrico | $484K | 16 days |
| BRENTWOOD HILLS TR A UNIT 01Valrico | $335K | 16 days |
| brentwood hills tr a unit 2Valrico | $324K | 18 days |
Cities in this ZIP
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in 33594 right now?
The data says conditions currently favor sellers in 33594 — the Momentum Score reads 68/100 with 2.7 months of supply. Buyers should come fully underwritten; sellers still set the pace here. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is 33594 becoming more affordable?
Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33594 is $406,319, down 2.4% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.9% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.
Where are prices falling fastest in 33594?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are buckhorn preserve ph 4 (-16%); BRENTWOOD HILLS TR A UNIT 01 (-13%); brentwood hills tr a unit 2 (-13%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which 33594 neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are lakemont unit 2 (12 days); Taho Woods (14 days); RIVER CROSSING ESTATES (16 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 35 days.
33594 (Valrico) housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in 33594 right now?
As of October 7, 2026, the 33594 housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $406,319 (down 2.4% year over year), 71 homes are for sale against 414 sales in the last 12 months, which is 2.7 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 35 days.
How much is a house in 33594?
The median home sold for $406,319 in 33594 over the last 12 months, about $216 per square foot; asking prices on the 71 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in 33594?
By the numbers, sellers in 33594 are getting 96.9% of asking price and going under contract in about 35 days with 2.7 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the 33594 housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33594 median sale prices are down 2.4% year over year, inventory stands at 2.7 months of supply, and 33% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in 33594?
The median sale price in 33594 is currently $406,319, down 2.4% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 7, 2026.
Is 33594 a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. 33594 scores 68 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 2.7 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in 33594?
The typical home in 33594 goes under contract in about 35 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in 33594?
There are approximately 71 active listings in 33594 as of October 7, 2026.
Are home prices in 33594 rising or falling?
Median sale prices are down 2.4% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33594 (Valrico). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 7, 2026 at 3:21 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.