Pablo Point
Homes for Sale in Jacksonville, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Photo courtesy of KELLER WILLIAMS REALTY ATLANTIC PARTNERS · via realMLS
Pablo Point in Jacksonville (Duval County) is a 312-home community where the median sale price sits at $565,000, working out to $294.58 per square foot on a median living area of 2,008.5 square feet. Homes here were built mostly between 1979 and 2020, with a median build year of 1983, so pricing reflects lot, updates, and condition more than a single uniform product.
With just 1 active listing against 11 closings in the recent window and 1.1 months of supply, this reads as a seller-leaning market where a well-priced home does not sit long — median days on market is 26. Year-over-year price movement is close to flat at 0.4%, though the community has still appreciated 241% since 2012, so the real story right now is scarcity rather than a fresh price run-up.
Figures in this note are as of July 15, 2026. The live market numbers elsewhere on this page update nightly and are newer.
Pablo Point right now
🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($552K) is down 2.4% from the prior 12 months ($565K) and up 226% since 2012. With about a dozen sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending October 23. Confidence: Medium (12 and 9 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
· Updated October 23, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Pablo Point market snapshot (as of October 23, 2026): the median sale price is about $552K ($310 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 25 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 2% from the prior 12 months and up 226% since 2012, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (12 closings in the current window).
Pablo Point is a community of 126 homes in Jacksonville, Duval County, built between 1980 and 1987 (median 1983.0), with a median living area of about 2,072 square feet. 90% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Pablo Point is a fenced, established Jacksonville community of 312 homes where inventory is thin enough that a single active listing can effectively define the market at any given moment.
The setting & the homes.
Aerial and on-site photos of Pablo Point. Swipe to explore the community.
Swipe or use the arrows → tap any photo to enlarge
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Pablo PointPhotos from realMLS listings in Pablo Point; content deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Who Pablo Point is best for.
Best for
- Buyers ready to act fast in a seller-leaning market running at 1.1 months of supply
- Buyers comfortable with a mixed build era (1979 to 2020) rather than a single-vintage product
- Buyers targeting a median price point of $565,000 in Duval County
Probably not for
- Buyers who want to compare several active listings before deciding — there is currently just 1
- Buyers set on new construction throughout, given a median build year of 1983
- Buyers expecting fast near-term appreciation, since year-over-year growth is currently 0.4%
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending October 23 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($552K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($565K) IS the -2.4% one-year change.
Windows contain 4 to 15 sales each (12 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
24% of homes for sale in ZIP 32225 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-10-20).
Pablo Point Market Scorecard
Pablo Point is currently a balanced market..
Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Housing distress & ownership in Pablo Point, Jacksonville
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Pablo Point on the map.
Every active, pending, and recently sold home, plotted. Toggle the layers and tap a home for the details.
Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors.
Life at Pablo Point
- Security Fence · reported on 1 of 3 listings
Community amenities as reported across realMLS listings in this community; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Verify current amenities and access with the HOA.
How far is everything?
Everyday stops around Pablo Point are close: the nearest dining is about 2 minutes away.
- Catullo's Italian · Dining2 min
- Village Shoppes At San Pablo · Shopping2 min
- Castaway Island Preserve · Parks2 min
- Keely Clare · Groceries3 min
- Starbucks · Coffee3 min
- Pablo Oaks Building · Health8 min
Approximate drive times via Mapbox Search + Directions, 2026-07-03. Verify for a specific address.
Schools
- Duval County Public Schools
- Verify the zoned schools by address
- Magnet and choice options may be available
- Alimacani ElementaryFLDOE grade A · Public PreK-5
- Duncan U. Fletcher MiddleFLDOE grade A · Public 6-8
- Sandalwood High SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 9-12
Grades are official Florida Department of Education school grades for 2025-26. Assignments are reported as of the 2025-26 year and can change; always confirm with Duval County Public Schools for a specific address.
Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Pablo Point address.
Recent Developments in Pablo Point
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Pablo Point, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated October 2026.
- October 2026Market
St. Johns County denies 4,462-acre Palm Valley farmland housing application under new state enclave law
Commissioners denied 3-2 on Sept. 15 the 4,462-acre Palm Valley application near Nocatee under the state agricultural enclave law, and the county plans to fight it in court. Another proposal of nearly 1,200 acres and about 15,000 homes south of St. Augustine was approved in August, then denied 3-2 on Sept. 28. St. Johns County has received 16 applications under the law.
What it may mean for the marketThe outcome of these applications will shape how much new housing supply can be added on rural land in the county. The site is about 11 miles south of Pablo Point.
Source: Jacksonville Today - September 2026Infrastructure
JEA advances about $690 million in infrastructure projects including Fulton Cut transmission line raise near JAXPORT
JEA is moving forward with three water reclamation projects (Blacks Ford in northwest St. Johns County, over $220 million; near Jacksonville International Airport, about $193 million; East Arlington, just under $165 million) and the $117 million Fulton Cut transmission line clearance over the St. Johns River near Blount Island. Fulton Cut, shared with JAXPORT and the city, is expected to finish in summer 2027 and all four projects by 2030.
What it may mean for the marketRaised power lines support larger ship access to port terminals, and new reclamation capacity supports growth in surrounding areas. The site is about 6 miles northwest of Pablo Point.
Source: News4JAX - September 2026Development
Gateway Jax seeks more than $70 million in city incentives for Riverfront Plaza tower and Hotel Merrydelle
Gateway Jax is requesting about $55.4 million in incentives for a 17-story, roughly $271.5 million Riverfront Plaza tower with 130 to 170 hotel rooms and 50 to 150 residences on Independent Drive. It also seeks a $15 million loan for the nearly $50 million renovation of the former Ambassador Hotel at 420 Julia Street. The Downtown Investment Authority board votes Sept. 16 and City Council has the final say.
What it may mean for the marketIf approved, the projects would add hotel rooms, residences and restaurants along the Downtown riverfront. The project is about 12 miles west of Pablo Point, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: Jacksonville Today - July 2026Development
Culinary Institute of America selects Jacksonville for Southeast campus
News4Jax reported that the Culinary Institute of America chose downtown Jacksonville for its Southeast hub, to be located at 330 E. Bay Street on the Northbank riverfront. The campus would anchor a $160.5 million hotel and convention center development. The city previously approved up to $35 million in incentives, and the Downtown Investment Authority is finalizing agreements on design and property details.
What it may mean for the marketAnchors a major downtown riverfront redevelopment that pairs an educational campus with hotel and convention space, adding institutional and commercial investment to the urban core alongside Riverfront Plaza and Pearl Square. The project is about 12 miles west of Pablo Point, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: News4Jax - April 2026Development
Southeast Toyota opens $170M vehicle-processing facility at JAXPORT's Blount Island, adding 400-plus jobs
Southeast Toyota Distributors dedicated a new vehicle processing facility at JAXPORT's Blount Island Marine Terminal in April 2026. The company put the investment at $170 million and said the facility created more than 400 full-time jobs, most of them hired locally.
What it may mean for the marketA large new employment center on Blount Island adds sustained local job demand, a factor that has historically supported nearby housing absorption. The site is about 6 miles northwest of Pablo Point.
Source: JAXPORT - February 2026Infrastructure
JAXPORT details $250M Blount Island modernization and record cargo in 2026 State of the Ports
At its February 2026 State of the Ports address, JAXPORT outlined a $250 million modernization of Blount Island's container and vehicle-handling capabilities and reported record fiscal-2025 cargo volumes. The port also said an air-draft expansion to accommodate larger ships is on track to finish by the end of 2026.
What it may mean for the marketContinued heavy investment in the Blount Island port complex anchors long-term industrial employment on the northeast side, a structural demand driver for the surrounding area. The site is about 6 miles northwest of Pablo Point.
Source: News4Jax
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
The Pablo Point buying strategy.
If we were buying in Pablo Point today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Pablo Point.
Scarcity Behind the Numbers
The numbers here point to a market defined by scarcity more than heat. At last count there was 1 active listing against 11 closings in the tracked window, a combination that produces 1.1 months of supply — Momentum classifies this as seller-leaning. Homes that do come to market move quickly, with a median of 26 days on market, and a market heat score of 59.
Zoom out and the appreciation story runs longer than the current snapshot suggests. Pablo Point has gained 241% since 2012, even as the most recent year-over-year read sits close to flat at 0.4%. Construction spans 1979 to 2020, with a median build year of 1983 and a median living area of 2,008.5 square feet, so buyers are choosing between an older core of homes and later infill rather than a single-era product. A homestead exemption share of 86.9% points to a market where most of these properties are held long-term rather than turned over quickly.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Pablo Point. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Pablo Point buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 4 factors (8.5). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +226% since 2012; Recent Direction -2.4% year-over-year; Owner Commitment 90% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 99.3% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
With just 1 active listing and 1.1 months of supply, timing and access matter more than negotiating leverage in Pablo Point right now. Momentum tracks this community's MLS activity closely enough to flag a new listing the moment it hits, and to help a seller price against the real comparable set rather than guesswork in a market this thin.
Pablo Point in 15 seconds.
Tools for a Pablo Point buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Pablo Point sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Pablo Point, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Pablo Point?
How long do homes in Pablo Point take to sell?
How many homes are in Pablo Point?
What share of Pablo Point is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Pablo Point built?
Have Pablo Point home prices gone up?
What schools serve Pablo Point?
Who is the best real estate agent for Pablo Point?
How do I find a top Jacksonville real estate agent who knows Pablo Point?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Pablo Point?
Should you buy in Pablo Point?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Pablo Point with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: October 21, 2026) |
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending October 23, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR assessment roll (street-list match (3 streets, ZIP 32225)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-10-20 |
| Schools | 2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2001 (213 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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