Land O' Lakes
Housing Market

City market report · Pasco County · 12 ZIP codes

Median sale price $394,990, up 1.0% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 43 days, 196 homes on the market.

162 communities reporting2,369 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 70
Live Market Pulse
70/100
Momentum
Healthy Market
987 homes sold here in the last 12 months. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · Land O' Lakes Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$395K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
up 1.0% vs the prior 12 months
+1.0%
1-yr price change
n = 2,369 recent sales
$181/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Pasco County: $191 · -3.9% vs prior yr
96.4%
Sale vs ask
Pasco County: 94.9% · -0.6pp vs prior yr
$332K
Pasco County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -2.5% vs a year ago
Tempo
2.5mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
43days
Median DOM · closed
Pasco County: 47 days · +3.0 days vs prior yr
38%
Under contract
Pasco County: 27%
196 · 99 ▼1
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
987
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · -1.4% vs prior yr
Market context
32%
Listings with price cuts
Pasco County · Zillow · +0.2pp vs prior month
4,644
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.9% vs prior month
41%
New construction
share of recent sales · -6.4pp vs prior yr
16%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 30% · -2.5pp vs prior yr
70/100
Momentum score
Healthy Market
Economy & people · county layer
$67,384
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
588,758
County population
+15.3% since 2018
4.9×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
76%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,028/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 2.5 months of supply — tight by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 38% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 1.0% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 96.4% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a seller-leaning market.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 70
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage30
Seller leverage70

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — pressure remains upward while supply stays this thin.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 38% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.9× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Land O' Lakes data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
2.9 mo · seller-tilted · 7 active
$300K–$500K
2.3 mo · seller-tilted · 166 active
$500K–$750K
2.7 mo · seller-tilted · 17 active
$750K+
3.6 mo · balanced band · 6 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where Land O' Lakes is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (162 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on Land O' Lakes

The median sale price across Land O' Lakes currently stands at $394,990, up 1.0% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $181 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 43 days. Sellers are capturing 96.4% of their original asking price on average.

There are 196 active listings on the market, with 99 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 2.5 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 987 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Land O' Lakes prices sit above the Pasco County median by roughly 11%. Zillow's home value index for Pasco County stands at $331,636. About 32% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Land O' Lakes is 70 of 100 — healthy market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

Land O' Lakes since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $183,804 in 2012 and $425,528 over the last recorded year — 132% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 16% of recent sales, down from a 30% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (15,902 recorded sales)

$178K$323K$468K$426K2012: $184K2013: $208K2014: $215K2015: $221K2016: $222K2017: $236K2018: $251K2019: $268K2021: $388K2022: $449K2023: $462K2024: $424K2025: $426K2026: $426K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

1d35d69d44d2012: 68d2013: 35d2014: 63d2015: 63d2016: 43d2017: 42d2018: 54d2019: 67d2021: 3d2022: 5d2023: 17d2024: 25d2025: 41d2026: 44d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

15%23%31%16%2016: 24%2017: 19%2018: 17%2019: 20%2020: 16%2021: 18%2022: 30%2023: 23%2024: 24%2025: 18%2026: 16%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Pasco County (Zillow ZHVI)

$331K$336K$340K$332KJul '25: $340KAug '25: $338KSep '25: $337KOct '25: $336KNov '25: $335KDec '25: $335KJan '26: $335KFeb '26: $335KMar '26: $335KApr '26: $334KMay '26: $334KJun '26: $332KJul '26: $332KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

4,2244,4894,7544,644Jul '25: 4,744Aug '25: 4,728Sep '25: 4,662Oct '25: 4,589Nov '25: 4,461Dec '25: 4,304Jan '26: 4,235Feb '26: 4,251Mar '26: 4,424Apr '26: 4,515May '26: 4,569Jun '26: 4,601Jul '26: 4,644Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Pasco County (MLS)

1,3443,1004,856Jul 07 · Active: 4,578Aug 03 · Active: 4,663Aug 04 · Active: 4,488Aug 05 · Active: 4,585Aug 06 · Active: 4,605Aug 07 · Active: 4,652Aug 08 · Active: 4,666Aug 09 · Active: 4,669Aug 10 · Active: 4,654Aug 11 · Active: 4,614Aug 12 · Active: 4,612Aug 13 · Active: 4,613Aug 15 · Active: 4,676Aug 17 · Active: 4,646Aug 19 · Active: 4,646Aug 22 · Active: 4,717Aug 23 · Active: 4,721Aug 28 · Active: 4,722Aug 29 · Active: 4,758Aug 30 · Active: 4,758Aug 31 · Active: 4,753Sep 07 · Active: 4,753Sep 09 · Active: 4,690Sep 11 · Active: 4,786Sep 12 · Active: 4,782Sep 13 · Active: 4,781Sep 14 · Active: 4,729Sep 15 · Active: 4,728Jul 07Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$395K$396K$396K$395KAug 06: $396KAug 08: $396KAug 09: $396KAug 10: $396KAug 11: $396KAug 12: $396KAug 13: $396KAug 15: $396KAug 17: $396KAug 18: $396KAug 19: $396KAug 20: $396KAug 21: $396KAug 22: $396KAug 23: $396KAug 24: $396KAug 26: $396KAug 28: $396KAug 29: $396KAug 30: $396KAug 31: $396KSep 01: $396KSep 04: $396KSep 05: $396KSep 06: $396KSep 07: $396KSep 08: $396KSep 09: $396KSep 10: $396KSep 11: $396KSep 12: $395KSep 13: $395KSep 14: $395KSep 15: $395KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 81%Townhome 15%Villa 3%? 1%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Land O' Lakes

Who’s moving here
+18,430 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, NJ, IL, CA. Movers arriving report ~$76,486 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,659/yr avg premium

8,233 Citizens policies in force in Pasco County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Pasco purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
7,878 units permitted +16% YoY

6,191 single-family · 1,687 multi-family · 13.4 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
East Lake Add ▼ 42%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
$750K+: 3.6 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Land O' Lakes right now.

Biggest opportunity
$300K–$500K: 2.3 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Pasco County

MarketMedianActiveScore
Land O' Lakes ← this page$395K19670
New Port Richey$267K42653Open →
Zephyrhills$340K30050Open →
Wesley Chapel$425K29860Open →
Hudson$300K22844Open →
Port Richey$236K16760Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
LAKE PADGETT ESTATES EASTLand O' Lakes$360K▲ 25%
Lake Padgett Estates East UnrecLand O' Lakes$358K▲ 24%
Angeline - Active AdultLand O' Lakes$370K▲ 17%
ANGELINELand O' Lakes$395K▲ 12%
Angeline Ph 1A 1B 1C & 1DLand O' Lakes$350K▲ 11%
Prices cooling fastest
East Lake AddLand O' Lakes$454K▼ 42%
Suncoast Lakes Ph 3Land O' Lakes$370K▼ 24%
Del Webb Bexley Ph 3BLand O' Lakes$451K▼ 22%
SUNCOAST LAKES PH 01Land O' Lakes$385K▼ 21%
ASBEL ESTATESLand O' Lakes$340K▼ 19%
Most homes for sale
ANGELINELand O' Lakes$395K39
DEERBROOKLand O' Lakes$416K20
ConnertonLand O' Lakes$442K18
Salem TwnhmsLand O' Lakes$329K14
Lakeshore RanchLand O' Lakes$534K13
Selling fastest
Grand Oaks Ph 02 Unit 03 & 05Land O' Lakes$438K5 days
Suncoast Meadows Increment 02Land O' Lakes$385K8 days
Concord Station Ph 04 Units A & BLand O' Lakes$380K8 days
BallantraeLand O' Lakes$375K12 days
Connerton ThLand O' Lakes$307K12 days
Explore Deeper

Land O' Lakes ZIP codes

Most active communities

More on Land O' Lakes

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Land O' Lakes right now?

The data says conditions currently favor sellers in Land O' Lakes — the Momentum Score reads 70/100 with 2.5 months of supply. Buyers should come fully underwritten; sellers still set the pace here. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Land O' Lakes becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in Land O' Lakes is $394,990, up 1.0% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.4% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in Land O' Lakes?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are East Lake Add (-42%); Suncoast Lakes Ph 3 (-24%); Del Webb Bexley Ph 3B (-22%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which Land O' Lakes neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Grand Oaks Ph 02 Unit 03 & 05 (5 days); Suncoast Meadows Increment 02 (8 days); Concord Station Ph 04 Units A & B (8 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 43 days.

How does Land O' Lakes compare to the rest of Pasco County?

Land O' Lakes's median of $394,990 runs 11% above the county-wide median of $354,820, and homes here take 43 days to go under contract versus 47 county-wide.

Questions

Land O' Lakes housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in Land O' Lakes right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the Land O' Lakes housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $394,990 (up 1.0% year over year), 196 homes are for sale against 987 sales in the last 12 months, which is 2.5 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 43 days.

How much is a house in Land O' Lakes?

The median home sold for $394,990 in Land O' Lakes over the last 12 months, about $181 per square foot; asking prices on the 196 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in Land O' Lakes?

By the numbers, sellers in Land O' Lakes are getting 96.4% of asking price and going under contract in about 43 days with 2.5 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the Land O' Lakes housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Land O' Lakes median sale prices are up 1.0% year over year, inventory stands at 2.5 months of supply, and 38% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in Land O' Lakes?

The median sale price in Land O' Lakes is currently $394,990, up 1.0% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is Land O' Lakes a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. Land O' Lakes scores 70 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 2.5 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Land O' Lakes?

The typical home in Land O' Lakes goes under contract in about 43 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in Land O' Lakes?

There are approximately 196 active listings in Land O' Lakes as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in Land O' Lakes rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 1.0% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Land O' Lakes. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.