Autumn Lake
Homes for Sale in Estero, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat

Autumn Lake's numbers this cycle come from a thin slice of the market — just three closings in the window — so the 24.4% year-over-year move should be read as a signal of direction, not a precise measure of appreciation. With that caveat, a median price of $510,000 and price per square foot around $284.6 point to a market where recent sales skewed toward higher-value or better-condition homes rather than a broad repricing of the whole community.
A median days-on-market of 37 and a heat score of 46 describe a market that is not moving fast in either direction — homes are getting real showing time and negotiation before contract, and sellers should not expect the kind of quick, multiple-offer turnaround that a higher heat score would suggest. For buyers, that means room to evaluate a property on its own terms rather than compete on speed.
Autumn Lake right now
🟢 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($510K) is up 24.4% from the prior 12 months ($410K). With about 5 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level fgc closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 29. Confidence: Low (3 and 5 sales in the two windows).
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Updated July 29, 2026 · Live data: fgc, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Autumn Lake market snapshot (as of July 29, 2026): the median sale price is about $510K ($285 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 37 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is up 24% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level fgc closed sales (3 closings in the current window).
Autumn Lake is a single-family community in Estero, Lee County, where the small number of recent closings makes each sale carry outsized weight in the pricing picture — worth understanding before reading too much into any one comparable.
Who Autumn Lake is best for.
Best for
- Buyers comfortable making a decision from a small comparable set and verifying value home-by-home
- Buyers targeting a purchase near the current median price who have flexibility on timeline
- Sellers with a well-maintained home who can price to condition rather than lean on a thin market average
Probably not for
- Buyers who want a large, well-established sales history to lean on for pricing confidence
- Buyers prioritizing confirmed on-site community amenities as a deciding factor
- Sellers expecting a fast, high-competition sale in a market currently posting a moderate heat score
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 29 of each year, from record-level fgc closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($510K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($410K) IS the +24.4% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 8 sales each (3 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Listing information provided by the Florida Gulf Coast Multiple Listing Service, Inc. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
40% of homes for sale in ZIP 34135 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-07-18).
The Autumn Lake buying strategy.
If we were buying in Autumn Lake today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Autumn Lake.
Reading a thin data set
With only three closings feeding the current snapshot, Autumn Lake's pricing is more sensitive to the specific condition and finish level of whichever homes happened to trade than a larger community would be. The $510,000 median and $284.6 per-square-foot figure are real, but they represent a narrow sample — a buyer comparing a listing to that median should look closely at condition, lot, and updates rather than assume the number reflects the whole community evenly.
The 37-day median days-on-market and a heat score of 46 together describe a market with a normal, unhurried pace. That combination is workable for both sides: sellers who price realistically for their home's actual condition can expect a reasonable window to find the right buyer, and buyers can take the time to inspect, negotiate, and confirm value before committing. Current MLS data does not identify community amenities here, so buyers weighing lifestyle features should confirm directly what, if anything, is included with the home or association.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Autumn Lake. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Why work with Momentum here
In a community where the recent sales sample is small, the read on value depends heavily on knowing which specific homes closed and why. We track those individual comparables, not just the headline median, so pricing conversations here are grounded in the actual condition and terms behind each sale rather than an average that may not fit the home in front of you.
Autumn Lake in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Autumn Lake buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Autumn Lake sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Autumn Lake, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Autumn Lake home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Autumn Lake, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Autumn Lake on the map →
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Autumn Lake?
How long do homes in Autumn Lake take to sell?
Do cash buyers compete in Autumn Lake?
Who is the best real estate agent for Autumn Lake?
How do I find a top Estero real estate agent who knows Autumn Lake?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Autumn Lake?
Should you buy in Autumn Lake?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | fgc closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 29, 2026 |
| Under-contract shares | fgc records, as of 2026-07-18 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2012 (71 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of fgc records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Own a home here?
You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.
The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the fgc member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.
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