Chestnut Ridge in Orange Park

Chestnut Ridge
Homes for Sale in Orange Park, FL

Community in Orange Park · Clay County · ZIP 32065
128 homesBuilt 2007–2017Median sale $258K
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Live Market Pulse
35/100
Market Heat
Cooler than normal
2014 → 2026 · 70 at the 2022 peak
0 is Chestnut Ridge's coldest market since 2014, 100 its hottest. Today: 35. How it's scored
Built fromLive realMLS data17 years of closingsFL DOR public recordsUpdated twice daily
Live · Chestnut Ridge Housing Pulse realMLS + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$258K
Median sold · 12 mo
down 11.0% vs the prior 12 months
-11.0%
1-yr price change
n = 5 and 5 sales in the two windows
$183/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
peak $183 in 2026
95.9%
Sale vs ask
Clay median: 96.3%
Tempo
4.8mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
69days
Median DOM · closed
6 days at the 2021 low
0%
Under contract
Clay: 29% (473 of 1,630)
2 · 0
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
5
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 15 a year
Ownership and context
60%
Owner-occupied · Chestnut Ridge
77 of 128 parcels homesteaded (FL DOR 2025)
40%
Non-owner-occupied · Chestnut Ridge
incl. 6% trust or LLC-held · 10% out-of-state
14%
Cash buyers · Chestnut Ridge
1 of 7 sales, 12 mo ending July 2024
128
Homes in the community
128 residential parcels (FL DOR 2025)
Track record · 17 years of records
Est. 2007
Community established
homes built 2007-2017, median 2015 (FL DOR 2025)
0
Failed listings · 2025
peaked at 13 in 2008
1,381sqft
Median sold home size
12-mo windows, closed sales
3.9%/yr
Turnover rate
about 5 of 128 homes trade a year
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Current Read

Chestnut Ridge is a compact, fully built-out community of 128 homes in Orange Park, all constructed between 2007 and 2017 with a median build year of 2015 -- a narrow, coherent construction window rather than a mix of eras. Homes run a median of 1,808 square feet, and the current median sale price of $265,000 works out to $182.80 per square foot as of 2026-07-11.

The numbers point to a soft, buyer-leaning market right now. Prices are down 8.1% year over year, the median closed sale sat 69 days on market, and the market-heat reading of 35 sits well below a hot-market level. That said, the sample is thin -- just 5 closings feed this snapshot, and there are zero active listings at the moment, so any single figure here should be read as directional rather than precise. Sellers should price to the current trend rather than last year's comps; buyers with patience have room to negotiate once new inventory surfaces.

Chestnut Ridge Housing Pulse · Momentum Research · as of August 5, 2026

Chestnut Ridge right now

🟡 Balanced market. 4.8 months of supply and 0% of the inventory already under contract put buyers and sellers on roughly even footing.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, as of August 5, 2026. Confidence: Medium (2 active and pending listings, 5 closed sales in 12 months).

🔴 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($258K) is down 11.0% from the prior 12 months ($290K). With about a dozen sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 5. Confidence: Low (5 and 5 sales in the two windows).

Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ

Updated August 5, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness

The 60-Second Overview

Chestnut Ridge market snapshot (as of August 5, 2026): the median sale price is about $258K ($183 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), a median 69 days on market for closed sales, and 4.8 months of supply, a balanced market. The trailing-12-month median is down 11% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (5 closings in the current window).

Chestnut Ridge is a community of 128 homes in Orange Park, Clay County, built between 2007 and 2017 (median 2015.0), with a median living area of about 1,808 square feet. 60% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).

A small, single-era enclave in Orange Park where all 128 homes were built within one decade (2007-2017), giving it a more consistent construction profile than older, more piecemeal communities nearby.

Best for

  • Buyers comfortable with a thin resale market who are willing to wait for the right listing to surface
  • Buyers targeting a budget near the community's median price in Orange Park with a preference for 2010s-era construction
  • Owner-occupant buyers, given roughly 60% of homes here carry a homestead exemption

Probably not for

  • Buyers who need to choose among several active listings immediately, since none are currently on the market
  • Buyers expecting rising resale values in the short term, given the 8.1% year-over-year price decline
  • Investors seeking a high-turnover rental market, given the homestead-heavy ownership pattern

Windows contain 0 to 39 sales each (5 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Median sale price · trailing 12 mo
$150K$200K$250K$300K20122014201620182020202220242026
Down 11.0% year over year.
Every sale since 2009 · price vs size
$0$100K$200K$300K2k2k
219 closed sales; green = recent. Size sets the floor, condition and lot set the rest.
Sold $ per sq ft · trailing 12 mo
$100$15020122014201620182020202220242026
Up from $79 in 2012 to a $183 peak in 2026; $183 now.
Median days on market · closed sales
010020030020122014201620182020202220242026
6 days at the 2021 low; 69 now.
Sale price vs original ask · median
95%98%100%102%20122014201620182020202220242026
95.9% now vs Clay 96.3%.
Homes sold per 12-mo window
0204020122014201620182020202220242026
0 to 39 a year; 5 in the current window.
Sellers who gave up · failed listings per year
051020082016202020242025
Canceled, expired, or withdrawn. 13 quit in 2008; 0 so far in 2025. The clearest stress gauge a community has.
Market Heat · 0 coldest, 100 hottest in the record
20406080seller-leaningbuyer-leaning2014201620182020202220242026
70 at the 2022 peak, 27 in the troughs, 35 now. Same score as the hero card, full history.

The real cost & risk here

Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Clay County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.

$1,990/mo
Clay County typical true cost to own
$99/mo
Clay County typical home insurance
Check CDD
Confirm before you offer

County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.

Chestnut Ridge Market Scorecard

Balanced

Chestnut Ridge is currently a balanced market. About 4.8 months of supply, a median asking price of $284,500, and homes go under contract in about 127 days.

4.8
Months supply
$284,500
Median list
$265,000
Median sold
$155
Per sqft
127
Days on mkt
2/1/5
Active/Pend/Sold

Typical home value in the 32065 ZIP is $329,654, about 29.0% below the Florida norm (Zillow Home Value Index).

Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.

Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Typical value: Zillow Research. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Housing distress & ownership in Chestnut Ridge, Orange Park

Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.

Active inventory in distress
33.33%
2 of 6 listings · short sale 2
Median closed sale price — $276,000 · ▼ 2.6% yr (12-mo rolling)

Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period August 2026 through August 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Homes For Sale Right Now in Chestnut Ridge

Live MLS inventory for Chestnut Ridge. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.

Active and pending Chestnut Ridge listings as of 2026-08-05, priced high to low. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Tap any home to ask about it.

Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.

Community amenities as reported across realMLS listings in this community; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Verify current amenities and access with the HOA.

Recent Developments in Chestnut Ridge

Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Chestnut Ridge, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.

Dev Momentum71/100 · High
  1. June 2026
    Development

    Hillwood contracts with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center

    Master developer Hillwood contracted with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center on Jacksonville's Westside, continuing the buildout of the former Naval Air Station Cecil Field into an industrial and logistics park.

    What it may mean for the marketContinued absorption of large industrial parcels at Cecil signals sustained employment growth on the Westside, which can support housing demand across nearby communities. The site is about 5 miles northwest of Chestnut Ridge.

    Source: Jax Daily Record
  2. June 2026
    Builder Activity

    Hyland Trail to bring over 3,000 homes to Lake Asbury in Clay County

    News4Jax reported that Hyland Trail, along with the related Edenbrooke and The Glens communities, will bring more than 3,000 new homes to the Lake Asbury area of Clay County. Homes are being built by Dream Finders, Pulte and Lennar, with a Lodge amenity center featuring a beach-entry pool, splash zone, exercise facility and pickleball courts. Edenbrooke includes an age-restricted, low-maintenance home section.

    What it may mean for the marketAdds a large volume of new single-family housing supply and a private amenity center to the Lake Asbury area, expanding for-sale inventory across a range of home sizes and price points. The project is about 10 miles south of Chestnut Ridge, elsewhere in Clay County.

    Source: News4Jax
  3. June 2026
    Infrastructure

    First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns

    The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.

    What it may mean for the marketNew limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 12 miles southeast of Chestnut Ridge.

    Source: Jax Daily Record
  4. April 2026
    Development

    Hillwood seeks to mass-grade an AllianceFlorida site for a possible 1 million-square-foot building

    Hillwood asked to mass grade a site at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center to prepare for a possible 1 million-square-foot building, a step that typically precedes a large industrial or distribution user committing to the Westside park.

    What it may mean for the marketA build-ready million-square-foot pad points to a potential large employer on the Westside, the kind of jobs anchor that can lift demand for nearby housing. The site is about 5 miles northwest of Chestnut Ridge.

    Source: Jax Daily Record

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Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.

If we were buying in Chestnut Ridge today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Chestnut Ridge.

Best Buy
Buyers who want a smaller, single-decade-built community in Orange Park and are comfortable negotiating in a market that is currently trending down.
Biggest Risk
With just 5 closings feeding the current snapshot and zero active listings, pricing data here is thinner than in larger communities.
Sweet Spot
Buyers targeting a median-sized home near 1,808 square feet around the community's $265,000 median price.
Avoid If
Avoid if you need immediate inventory to choose from -- there are no active listings in Chestnut Ridge right now.

The Math Behind a Thin Market

At $182.80 per square foot on a $265,000 median, Chestnut Ridge is pricing below the recent-year trend, reflecting both the 2007-2017 construction window and the current 8.1% year-over-year decline. About 60% of the community's 128 homes carry a homestead exemption, indicating owner-occupancy is common here -- a factor that tends to make resale timing more predictable than in investor-heavy communities.

With only 5 closings in the tracked window and no active listings right now, there is not enough current inventory to draw firm conclusions about where prices go next. The 69-day median time on market and the year-over-year decline both point to a slower stretch, but confirming that trend means watching the next few closings rather than reading too much into any single sale.

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Chestnut Ridge. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty
5.4C · Buy Score
Recent Direction3.2/10
Liquidity & Demand5.2/10
Owner Commitment6.0/10
Pricing Power7.3/10

Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 4 factors (5.4). Basis: Recent Direction -11.0% year-over-year; Liquidity & Demand 4.8 months of supply; Owner Commitment 60% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 95.9% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.

Why work with Momentum here

In a community with only 5 recorded closings and zero active listings, generic online estimates have almost nothing to work with. Momentum tracks Chestnut Ridge's realmls closing data directly and prepares a hand-built valuation for any of the 128 homes here, rather than publishing an automated number that cannot account for a thin, fast-changing sample like this one.

Chestnut Ridge in 15 seconds.

Best forBuyers who want a smaller, single-decade-built community in Orange Park and are comfortable negotiating in a market that is currently trending down.
Biggest advantageA narrow 2007-2017 build window means fewer surprises from mixed-era construction across the 128 homes.
Biggest riskWith just 5 closings feeding the current snapshot and zero active listings, pricing data here is thinner than in larger communities.
Sweet spotBuyers targeting a median-sized home near 1,808 square feet around the community's $265,000 median price.
Avoid ifAvoid if you need immediate inventory to choose from -- there are no active listings in Chestnut Ridge right now.

HOA, CDD & Fees

In short
  • Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Chestnut Ridge sales matched to your home.

What is your Chestnut Ridge home worth?

Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Chestnut Ridge, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.

See homes for sale in Chestnut Ridge on the map →

Real comps, not an automated estimate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Chestnut Ridge?
The median sale price in Chestnut Ridge was $258K over the 12 months ending August 5, 2026 (5 closed sales, realMLS).
How long do homes in Chestnut Ridge take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending August 5, 2026 took a median 69 days on market (5 sales, realMLS).
Is Chestnut Ridge a buyer's or seller's market right now?
As of August 5, 2026, Chestnut Ridge is roughly balanced: 4.8 months of supply at the current sales pace (realMLS live counts).
How many homes are in Chestnut Ridge?
The Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll shows 128 homes in Chestnut Ridge (public records).
What share of Chestnut Ridge is owner-occupied?
60% of Chestnut Ridge parcels carry a homestead exemption on the 2025 Florida DOR roll, the owner-occupancy proxy in public records.
When were the homes in Chestnut Ridge built?
Homes in Chestnut Ridge were built between 2007 and 2017, with a median year built of 2015.0 (FL DOR 2025 roll).
Do cash buyers compete in Chestnut Ridge?
Cash buyers took 14% of Chestnut Ridge sales in the 12 months ending July 2024 (1 of 7 closings, realMLS).
Who is the best real estate agent for Chestnut Ridge?
The best agent for Chestnut Ridge is one who actively works Orange Park and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for Chestnut Ridge.
How do I find a top Orange Park real estate agent who knows Chestnut Ridge?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 280+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows Chestnut Ridge and the wider Orange Park area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Chestnut Ridge?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your Chestnut Ridge purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.
Buyers comfortable with a thin resale market who are willing to wait for the right listing to surfaceExcellent fit
Buyers targeting a budget near the community's median price in Orange Park with a preference for 2010s-era constructionExcellent fit
Owner-occupant buyers, given roughly 60% of homes here carry a homestead exemptionExcellent fit
Buyers who need to choose among several active listings immediately, since none are currently on the marketProbably not
Buyers expecting rising resale values in the short term, given the 8.1% year-over-year price declineProbably not
Investors seeking a high-turnover rental market, given the homestead-heavy ownership patternProbably not

Nearby Communities

Explore more neighborhoods near Chestnut Ridge with Momentum Realty’s local guides.

HMHighland Mill Oakleaf Orange ParkOrange Park, FL · 0.3 miDADistrict At Oakleaf MiddleburgOrange Park, FL · 0.7 miGMGreyhawk MiddleburgOrange Park, FL · 0.7 miBOBriar Oaks Townhomes Orange ParkOrange Park, FL · 1.0 miTOTowering Oaks Oakleaf Orange ParkOrange Park, FL · 1.1 miKFKindlewood Forest MiddleburgOrange Park, FL · 1.2 miKMKindlewood MiddleburgOrange Park, FL · 1.2 miDBDouble Branch MiddleburgOrange Park, FL · 1.2 mi

Browse all Florida neighborhood guides →

Data sources & freshness

Live listingsrealMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: August 5, 2026)
Community market statsrealMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 5, 2026
Housing stock & ownershipFlorida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (2 streets, ZIP 32065))
Under-contract sharesrealMLS records, as of 2026-08-01
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 2009 (219 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

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