Lake Padgett Estates
Homes for Sale in Land O Lakes, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
As of October 2026, Lake Padgett Estates in Land O Lakes, FL has 12 homes for sale and 1 pending, asking from $284,900 to $850,000 (median $416,995). Over the 12 months ending 2026-09-20, 23 recorded sales closed at a median of $425,000, $229 per square foot, a median 61 days on market, sellers accepting 93% of original asking (+6% versus the prior year). Homes listed or recently sold were built 1973 - 2006; 17 of 25 report an HOA (median $60/mo); none of the 25 geocoded homes sit in a FEMA special flood hazard zone (median elevation 70 ft). At the median price and Pasco County's FY2025-26 rate of 16.15 mills, annual property tax runs about $6,870 ($6,210 with the full homestead exemption).
Sections of Lake Padgett Estates in the MLS
Lake Padgett Estates in Land O Lakes, FL is recorded as 2 separate subdivisions/phases in the MLS; 0 homes are for sale across them today. Each section has its own page:
Homes For Sale Right Now in Lake Padgett Estates
Live MLS inventory for Lake Padgett Estates. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.
Active and pending Lake Padgett Estates listings as of 2026-10-01, priced high to low. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2004 through 2026. Tap any home to ask about it.
Every Home for Sale in Lake Padgett Estates Land O Lakes Right Now (13)
All 13 active and pending Lake Padgett Estates Land O Lakes listings with a detail page, newest first, refreshed twice a day from the MLS.
- 23414 Cherbourg Loop · $449,000 · 4 bd / 2 ba · listed Oct 1, 2026 · listed by Lpt Realty, Llc
- 2963 Lake Saxon Drive · $625,000 · 3 bd / 2 ba · listed Sep 24, 2026 · listed by Rest Easy Realty Powered By Sellstate
- 23437 Shining Star Drive · $329,500 · 3 bd / 2 ba · listed Sep 10, 2026 · listed by Bam Realty Advisors Inc
- 3753 Meridean Place · $339,900 · 4 bd / 2 ba · listed Sep 10, 2026 · listed by Mihara & Associates Inc.
- 23252 Charlston Place · $345,000 · 4 bd / 2 ba · pending · listed Sep 3, 2026 · listed by Agile Group Realty
- 4745 Canterbury Drive · $345,000 · 3 bd / 2 ba · listed Aug 31, 2026 · listed by Realty One Group Advantage
- 23110 Dover Drive · $284,900 · 3 bd / 2 ba · listed Aug 21, 2026 · listed by Entera Realty Llc
- 23513 Bellaire Loop · $399,000 · 3 bd / 2 ba · listed Aug 11, 2026 · listed by Re/Max Realty Unlimited
- 3777 Parkway Boulevard · $324,900 · 4 bd / 2 ba · listed Jul 29, 2026 · listed by Re/Max Alliance Group
- 3215 Lake Saxon Drive · $556,400 · 4 bd / 2 ba · listed Jul 23, 2026 · listed by Realty One Group Advantage
- 21855 Ocean Pines Drive · $434,990 · 3 bd / 2 ba · listed Jul 5, 2026 · listed by Coastal Pioneer Realty
- 3545 Lake Padgett Drive · $850,000 · 3 bd / 3 ba · listed Jul 5, 2026 · listed by Richard Doyle Real Estate
- 3922 Lake Joyce Drive · $500,000 · 3 bd / 2 ba · listed Jul 5, 2026 · listed by Richard Doyle Real Estate
Lake Padgett Estates right now
🟡 Balanced market. 2.3 months of supply and 17% of the inventory already under contract put buyers and sellers on roughly even footing.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of Stellar MLS records, as of September 20, 2026. Confidence: Very High (12 active and pending listings, 23 closed sales in 12 months).
🟡 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($425K) is up 6.3% from the prior 12 months ($400K) and up 143% since 2012. With about 22 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending September 20. Confidence: High (23 and 33 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
· Updated October 4, 2026 · Live data: Stellar MLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Lake Padgett Estates market snapshot (as of September 20, 2026): the median sale price is about $425K ($229 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), a median 61 days on market for closed sales, and 2.3 months of supply, a balanced market. The trailing-12-month median is up 6% from the prior 12 months and up 143% since 2012, computed from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales (23 closings in the current window).
In ZIP 34639 (LAND O LAKES), 829 homes closed in the last 12 months at a median of $370K ($184/sq ft), down 1.7% year over year, with a median 39 days on market. Right now 71 active and 22 pending listings put supply at about 3.4 months - a balanced market. See the live ZIP 34639 housing market and the Pasco County market.
County records show 11 qualified sales in Lake Padgett Estates across 2024 - 2025 (9 in 2024, 2 in 2025), median $392,500 - the last recorded sale per parcel on the Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll, independent of the MLS.
Flood zones in Lake Padgett Estates: of 20 listing addresses checked against the FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer, 100% sit outside the FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area (Zone X). Individual parcels vary - verify any specific address at msc.fema.gov. See flood zones by neighborhood in Land O Lakes.
Lake Padgett Estates is a community of 238 homes in Land O Lakes, Pasco County, built between 1967 and 2024 (median 1984), with a median living area of about 1,834 square feet. 83% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
The setting & the homes.
Aerial and on-site photos of Lake Padgett Estates. Swipe to explore the community.
Swipe or use the arrows → tap any photo to enlarge
Photos from Stellar MLS listings in Lake Padgett Estates; content deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending September 20 of each year, from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($425K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($400K) IS the +6.3% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 46 sales each (23 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2004 through 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Pasco County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · Pasco County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.
8% of homes for sale in Lake Padgett Estates are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-10-04).
Lake Padgett Estates Market Scorecard
Lake Padgett Estates is currently a strong seller's market. About 2.4 months of supply, a median asking price of $372,000, and homes go under contract in about 20 days.
Typical home value in the 34639 ZIP is $405,126, about 18.4% below the Florida norm (Zillow Home Value Index).
Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: Stellar MLS, distributed by MLS GRID, refreshed twice daily. Typical value: Zillow Research. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Housing distress & ownership in Lake Padgett Estates, LAND O LAKES
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period October 2026 through October 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Lake Padgett Estates on the map.
Every active, pending, and recently sold home, plotted. Toggle the layers and tap a home for the details.
Listing locations from Stellar MLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.
Life at Lake Padgett Estates
- Playground · reported on 20 of 23 listings
- Tennis Court(s) · reported on 19 of 23 listings
- Pool · reported on 12 of 23 listings
- Clubhouse · reported on 11 of 23 listings
- Park · reported on 11 of 23 listings
- Racquetball · reported on 10 of 23 listings
- Fitness Center · reported on 9 of 23 listings
- Recreation Facilities · reported on 9 of 23 listings
- Deed Restrictions · reported on 8 of 23 listings
- Basketball Court · reported on 7 of 23 listings
- Stable(s) · reported on 6 of 23 listings
- Golf Carts OK · reported on 4 of 23 listings
Community amenities as reported across Stellar MLS listings in this community; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Verify current amenities and access with the HOA.
Schools
- Pasco County Public Schools
- Verify the zoned schools by address
- Magnet and choice options may be available
- Pasco County Public Schools (verify by address) · Public
- Confirm zoned elementary, middle, and high · By address
- Magnet and choice options may apply · Choice
Zoned schools reflect the assignments reported on recent Lake Padgett Estates listings and can change; always confirm with Pasco County Public Schools for a specific address.
Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Lake Padgett Estates address.
Shop the zone: Homes zoned for Land O' Lakes High-Po High School · Homes zoned for Sunlake High School-Po
Recent Developments in Lake Padgett Estates
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Lake Padgett Estates, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- July 2026Development
Pomelo Square mixed-use community advances in Wesley Chapel
Ryan Cos. and PulteGroup are advancing Pomelo Square, a mixed use development at the northeast corner of Old Pasco Road and Overpass Road in Wesley Chapel. Plans call for 415 residential units made up of 325 apartments and 90 townhomes, about 42,000 square feet of retail, and a hotel pad. Completion is targeted for the first quarter of 2028.
What it may mean for the marketAdds a mixed use community of apartments and townhomes with retail space and a hotel pad, expanding housing and commercial supply in a growing Pasco County corridor. The project is about 9 miles northeast of Lake Padgett Estates, elsewhere in Pasco County.
Source: Florida YIMBY - April 2026Development
New mixed-use development planned on State Road 52 in central Pasco
A mixed-use development planned on State Road 52 in central Pasco County, next to Pilot Country Airport, would add 108 single-family homes, about 175,000 square feet of commercial and retail space, and a 120-room hotel, with completion expected around 2030.
What it may mean for the marketA new mixed-use community adds housing, retail, and lodging along the State Road 52 corridor in central Pasco, the kind of growth that can shape demand and pricing for nearby communities. The site is about 5 miles north of Lake Padgett Estates.
Source: Tampa Bay Times - January 2026Development
Moffitt Cancer Center opens flagship outpatient center at its new Speros FL campus in Pasco
Moffitt Cancer Center held the grand opening of its flagship outpatient cancer center in January 2026 at Speros FL, its large new campus on State Road 52 in Pasco County. The campus is planned as a long-term life sciences and medical hub expected to bring substantial employment to the area.
What it may mean for the marketA large new medical and life sciences campus is a long-term employment anchor for central Pasco, a structural demand driver for housing in the surrounding area. The site is about 7 miles northwest of Lake Padgett Estates.
Source: WUSF - January 2026Development
Flagship breaks ground on 46,000-square-foot Wiregrass Ranch Medical Pavilion in Wesley Chapel
Flagship Healthcare Properties broke ground in January 2026 on a 46,000-square-foot medical pavilion at Wiregrass Ranch in Wesley Chapel, adding outpatient medical space to the growing State Road 56 corridor.
What it may mean for the marketAdded outpatient medical space along the State Road 56 corridor deepens healthcare access and professional employment in Wesley Chapel, an amenity factor that can support nearby housing demand. The site is about 6 miles east of Lake Padgett Estates.
Source: HCO News
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
The Lake Padgett Estates buying strategy.
If we were buying in Lake Padgett Estates today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Lake Padgett Estates.
A closer look at the Lake Padgett Estates market
At a median of $229 per square foot, Lake Padgett Estates prices sit in a fairly defined band, so condition and updates — more than the list price — tend to separate one home from the next.
Inventory runs at 2.3 months of supply, a balanced market and the trailing-12-month median up 6% year over year. Homes that do trade take a median 61 days on market, useful leverage on any listing that has lingered.
The housing stock is 238 homes built between 1967 and 2024, and 83% of parcels are homesteaded — the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Lake Padgett Estates. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Lake Padgett Estates buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 5 factors (7.6). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +143% since 2012; Recent Direction +6.3% year-over-year; Liquidity & Demand 2.3 months of supply; Owner Commitment 83% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 93.4% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- HOA dues reported around $60/month (about $720/yr) · median of 339 MLS listings, most billed monthly
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Listings in this community report association dues of about $60 per month ($720 a year) - the median AssociationFee across 339 MLS records, normalised to a monthly figure; most are billed monthly. Dues change with budgets and can differ by section or product type; confirm the current figure with the association before you offer. Source: MLS listing records, 2026-10.
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Lake Padgett Estates buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Lake Padgett Estates sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Lake Padgett Estates, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Lake Padgett Estates home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Lake Padgett Estates, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Lake Padgett Estates on the map →
Recently off market in Lake Padgett Estates
Homes in Lake Padgett Estates that recently left the market. Each address opens its public-record profile: county-recorded value, property taxes, the last recorded sale, community sales history, and what is for sale nearby now. 12 on record.
- 21865 Ocean Pines Drive · off market
- 21924 Ocean Pines Drive · off market
- 22402 Stillwood Drive · off market
- 22519 Southshore Drive · off market
- 23108 Dover Drive · off market
- 23300 Dover Drive · off market
- 23450 Cherbourg Loop · off market
- 3818 Biscay Place · off market
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Lake Padgett Estates?
How long do homes in Lake Padgett Estates take to sell?
Is Lake Padgett Estates a buyer's or seller's market right now?
How many homes are in Lake Padgett Estates?
What share of Lake Padgett Estates is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Lake Padgett Estates built?
Have Lake Padgett Estates home prices gone up?
What schools serve Lake Padgett Estates?
Who is the best real estate agent for Lake Padgett Estates?
How do I find a top Land O Lakes real estate agent who knows Lake Padgett Estates?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Lake Padgett Estates?
Where is Lake Padgett Estates, and what county is it in?
Is Lake Padgett Estates in a flood zone?
Is Lake Padgett Estates a good place to live?
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | Stellar MLS, refreshed twice daily (last: October 1, 2026) |
| Community market stats | Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending September 20, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR assessment roll (street-list match (5 streets, ZIP 34639)) |
| Under-contract shares | Stellar MLS records, as of 2026-09-20 |
| Schools | 2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2004 (347 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of Stellar MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the Stellar MLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live local comps.
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See how Lake Padgett Estates fits the bigger picture — live prices, inventory, and Momentum Scores:
More on Lake Padgett Estates
- Home values · What homes in Lake Padgett Estates actually sell for
- Find an agent · How to choose the best real estate agent in Lake Padgett Estates
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Lake Padgett Estates with Momentum Realty’s local guides.