33154 (Miami Beach)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market
Median sale price $1,475,000, up 11.6% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 104 days, 167 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
21% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 11.6% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 90.0% of asking. Taken together, the data leans toward buyers — leverage is real for those ready to use it.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors buyers.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 21% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 7.6× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current 33154 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where 33154 is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (39 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on 33154 (Miami Beach)
The median sale price across 33154 currently stands at $1,475,000, up 11.6% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $894 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 104 days. Sellers are capturing 90.0% of their original asking price on average.
There are 167 active listings on the market, with 41 more already under contract.
Zillow's home value index for Miami-Dade County stands at $523,890. About 16% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33154 is 40 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.
33154 since 2014 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $861,148 in 2014 and $3,207,500 over the last recorded year — 272% appreciation across 12 years of recorded sales.
Median sale price · 2014–2026 (2,366 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Home value trend · Miami-Dade County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Miami-Dade County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving 33154
Top inbound states: NY, CA, TX, NJ. Movers arriving report ~$127,200 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
56,357 Citizens policies in force in Miami-Dade County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Miami-Dade purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
2,666 single-family · 13,869 multi-family · 6.2 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
Buyers: ask for concessions — rate buydowns and repair credits are back on the table. Sellers: presentation and the first two weekends decide your outcome; price accordingly.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
Nearby ZIP codes in Miami-Dade
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33154 ← this page | $1.48M | 167 | 40 | |
| 33160 | $455K | 1,295 | 40 | Open → |
| 33131 | $640K | 818 | 46 | Open → |
| 33140 | $570K | 724 | 45 | Open → |
| 33180 | $488K | 602 | 32 | Open → |
| 33130 | $601K | 505 | 33 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| SECOND AMD PLAT OF NORMANSurfside | $2.23M | ▲ 47% |
| OceanaBal Harbour | $6.40M | ▲ 31% |
| BAY HARBOR ISLANDBay Harbor Islands | $3.85M | ▲ 22% |
| KENILWORTH CONDOBal Harbour | $1.68M | ▲ 15% |
| THE PLAZA OF BAL HARBOURBal Harbour | $470K | ▲ 7% |
| HARBOUR HOUSEBal Harbour | $534K | ▼ 36% |
| SOLIMAR CONDOSurfside | $1.31M | ▼ 33% |
| SURF CLUB CONDOSurfside | $17.0M | ▼ 4% |
| BALMORAL CONDOBal Harbour | $1.48M | ▼ 5% |
| THE PLAZA OF BAL HARBOURBal Harbour | $470K | ▼ 7% |
| BAY HARBOR ISLANDBay Harbor Islands | $3.85M | 25 |
| HARBOUR HOUSEBal Harbour | $534K | 18 |
| OceanaBal Harbour | $6.40M | 15 |
| BALMORAL CONDOBal Harbour | $1.48M | 14 |
| MARBELLA CONDOSurfside | $400K | 11 |
| HARBOUR HOUSEBal Harbour | $534K | 42 days |
| BALMORAL CONDOBal Harbour | $1.48M | 44 days |
| THE PLAZA OF BAL HARBOURBal Harbour | $470K | 80 days |
| BAY HARBOR ISLANDBay Harbor Islands | $3.85M | 94 days |
| SECOND AMD PLAT OF NORMANSurfside | $2.23M | 100 days |
Cities in this ZIP
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in 33154 right now?
The data says conditions currently favor buyers in 33154 — the Momentum Score reads 40/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is 33154 becoming more affordable?
No — the median sale price in 33154 is $1,475,000, up 11.6% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 90.0% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.
Where are prices falling fastest in 33154?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are HARBOUR HOUSE (-36%); SOLIMAR CONDO (-33%); SURF CLUB CONDO (-4%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which 33154 neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are HARBOUR HOUSE (42 days); BALMORAL CONDO (44 days); THE PLAZA OF BAL HARBOUR (80 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 104 days.
33154 (Miami Beach) housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in 33154 right now?
As of September 15, 2026, the 33154 housing market favors buyers: the median sale price is $1,475,000 (up 11.6% year over year), 167 homes are for sale, and the typical home goes under contract in about 104 days.
How much is a house in 33154?
The median home sold for $1,475,000 in 33154 over the last 12 months, about $894 per square foot; asking prices on the 167 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in 33154?
By the numbers, sellers in 33154 are getting 90.0% of asking price and going under contract in about 104 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the 33154 housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33154 median sale prices are up 11.6% year over year, and 21% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in 33154?
The median sale price in 33154 is currently $1,475,000, up 11.6% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.
Is 33154 a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors buyers. 33154 scores 40 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in 33154?
The typical home in 33154 goes under contract in about 104 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in 33154?
There are approximately 167 active listings in 33154 as of September 15, 2026.
Are home prices in 33154 rising or falling?
Median sale prices are up 11.6% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33154 (Miami Beach). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.