Neptune Beach
Housing Market

City market report · Duval County, FL

Median sale price $779,900, up 3.2% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 30 days, 14 homes on the market.

11 communities reporting79 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 56
Live Market Pulse
56/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
About 4 months of supply — room to negotiate. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh October 5, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET.
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Live · Neptune Beach Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$780K ▲
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: Medium
up 3.2% vs the prior 12 months
+3.2% ▲
1-yr price change
n = 79 recent sales
$512/sf ▲
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Duval County: $183 · +1.0% vs prior yr
95.4% ▲
Sale vs ask
Duval County: 95.6% · +0.8pp vs prior yr
$295K ▼
Duval County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -0.7% vs a year ago
Tempo
4.1mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
30days ▲
Median DOM · closed
Duval County: 44 days · +5.0 days vs prior yr
10%
Under contract
Duval County: 31%
14 · 2 ▼12
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
62 ▲
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +19.7% vs prior yr
Market context
28%
Listings with price cuts
Duval County · Zillow
5,434
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly
3% ▼
New construction
share of recent sales · -2.0pp vs prior yr
56/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
11
Communities reporting
of 46 tracked in Neptune Beach
Economy & people · county layer
$68,447
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
1,007,189
County population
+9.0% since 2018
4.3×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
58%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,142/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
✓ $3.5B+ sold✓ 10,000+ customers served✓ Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends✓ 800+ five-star reviews✓ Licensed FL MLS data✓ Updated daily
Today's Take · October 5, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks →
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 4.1 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 10% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 3.2% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 95.4% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 56
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage44
Seller leverage56

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — balanced supply argues for a sideways market; condition and pricing decide individual outcomes.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 10% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.3× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current Neptune Beach data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

$500K–$750K
1.6 mo · seller-tilted · 3 active
$750K+
3.7 mo · balanced band · 9 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where Neptune Beach is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (11 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on Neptune Beach

The median sale price across Neptune Beach currently stands at $779,900, up 3.2% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $512 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 30 days. Sellers are capturing 95.4% of their original asking price on average.

There are 14 active listings on the market, with 2 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 4.1 months of supply — roughly balanced conditions by the standard six-month benchmark. 62 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Neptune Beach prices sit above the Duval County median by roughly 148%. Zillow's home value index for Duval County stands at $294,579. About 28% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for Neptune Beach is 56 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 5, 2026.

Trends & History

Neptune Beach since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $275,520 in 2012 and $873,452 over the last recorded year — 217% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (1,194 recorded sales)

$260K$638K$1.01M$873K2012: $276K2013: $321K2014: $302K2015: $321K2016: $356K2017: $390K2018: $442K2019: $509K2020: $530K2021: $565K2022: $660K2023: $708K2024: $982K2025: $1000K2026: $873K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

20d45d69d31d2012: 63d2013: 69d2014: 58d2015: 63d2016: 47d2017: 54d2018: 54d2019: 37d2020: 40d2021: 28d2022: 21d2023: 46d2024: 26d2025: 26d2026: 31d20122015201920232026

Home value trend · Duval County (Zillow ZHVI)

$294K$295K$297K$295KAug '25: $297KSep '25: $296KOct '25: $295KNov '25: $294KDec '25: $294KJan '26: $294KFeb '26: $295KMar '26: $296KApr '26: $296KMay '26: $295KJun '26: $295KJul '26: $295KAug '26: $295KAug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

5,2095,7916,3725,434Aug '25: 6,349Sep '25: 6,193Oct '25: 6,087Nov '25: 5,883Dec '25: 5,602Jan '26: 5,338Feb '26: 5,233Mar '26: 5,326Apr '26: 5,415May '26: 5,453Jun '26: 5,461Jul '26: 5,438Aug '26: 5,434Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26

Daily active vs pending · Duval County (MLS)

1,4612,8254,189Jul 07 · Active: 4,030Aug 03 · Active: 4,015Aug 04 · Active: 3,979Aug 05 · Active: 3,982Aug 06 · Active: 3,986Aug 07 · Active: 4,037Aug 08 · Active: 4,070Aug 09 · Active: 4,065Aug 10 · Active: 4,051Aug 11 · Active: 4,047Aug 12 · Active: 4,058Aug 13 · Active: 4,072Aug 15 · Active: 4,135Aug 17 · Active: 4,048Aug 19 · Active: 4,034Aug 22 · Active: 4,116Aug 23 · Active: 4,108Aug 28 · Active: 4,120Aug 29 · Active: 4,126Aug 30 · Active: 4,106Aug 31 · Active: 4,098Sep 07 · Active: 4,093Sep 09 · Active: 4,082Sep 11 · Active: 4,099Sep 12 · Active: 4,087Sep 13 · Active: 4,067Sep 14 · Active: 4,055Sep 15 · Active: 4,054Sep 16 · Active: 4,042Sep 17 · Active: 4,068Sep 19 · Active: 4,086Sep 20 · Active: 4,066Sep 21 · Active: 4,045Sep 22 · Active: 4,028Sep 23 · Active: 4,035Sep 24 · Active: 4,082Sep 25 · Active: 4,120Sep 26 · Active: 4,128Sep 28 · Active: 4,115Oct 01 · Active: 4,054Oct 04 · Active: 4,129Oct 05 · Active: 4,117Jul 07Sep 07Oct 05ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$697K$772K$848K$780KAug 06: $812KAug 08: $812KAug 09: $812KAug 10: $812KAug 11: $812KAug 12: $812KAug 13: $812KAug 15: $812KAug 17: $845KAug 18: $845KAug 19: $845KAug 20: $825KAug 21: $825KAug 22: $825KAug 23: $825KAug 24: $825KAug 26: $743KAug 28: $743KAug 29: $743KAug 30: $743KAug 31: $743KSep 01: $743KSep 04: $743KSep 05: $743KSep 06: $743KSep 07: $743KSep 08: $743KSep 09: $743KSep 10: $743KSep 11: $743KSep 12: $743KSep 13: $743KSep 14: $743KSep 15: $743KSep 16: $743KSep 17: $743KSep 19: $700KSep 20: $700KSep 21: $700KSep 22: $700KSep 23: $700KSep 24: $700KSep 25: $700KSep 26: $700KSep 28: $700KSep 29: $700KSep 30: $845KOct 01: $845KOct 03: $845KOct 04: $780KOct 05: $780KAug 06Aug 21Sep 07Sep 21Oct 05
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving Neptune Beach

Who’s moving here
+912 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: GA, CA, VA, NY. Movers arriving report ~$67,296 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,315/yr avg premium

2,001 Citizens policies in force in Duval County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Duval purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
6,017 units permitted -7% YoY

3,732 single-family · 2,285 multi-family · 6.0 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Leeward Landing ▲ 22%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
$750K+: 3.7 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in Neptune Beach right now.

Biggest opportunity
$500K–$750K: 1.6 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

How it stacks up across Duval County

MarketMedianActiveScore
Neptune Beach ← this page$780K1456
Jacksonville$311K2,46748Open →
Jacksonville Beach$630K7451Open →
Atlantic Beach$610K3854Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Leeward LandingNeptune Beach$700K▲ 22%
Neptune BeachNeptune Beach$1.15M▲ -2%
Jax Beach ParkNeptune Beach$650K▲ -6%
Prices cooling fastest
Jax Beach ParkNeptune Beach$650K▼ 6%
Neptune BeachNeptune Beach$1.15M▼ 2%
Leeward LandingNeptune Beach$700K▼ 22%
Most homes for sale
Neptune BeachNeptune Beach$1.15M6
Jax Beach ParkNeptune Beach$650K3
Indian WoodsNeptune Beach$1.28M1
Prado FerrerNeptune Beach$465K1
Secluded WoodsNeptune Beach$780K1
Selling fastest
Jax Beach ParkNeptune Beach$650K7 days
Leeward LandingNeptune Beach$700K12 days
Neptune BeachNeptune Beach$1.15M42 days
Explore Deeper

Neptune Beach ZIP codes

Most active communities

More on Neptune Beach

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in Neptune Beach right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in Neptune Beach — the Momentum Score reads 56/100 with 4.1 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is Neptune Beach becoming more affordable?

No — the median sale price in Neptune Beach is $779,900, up 3.2% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 95.4% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.

Where are prices falling fastest in Neptune Beach?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Jax Beach Park (-6%); Neptune Beach (-2%); Leeward Landing (22%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which Neptune Beach neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Jax Beach Park (7 days); Leeward Landing (12 days); Neptune Beach (42 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 30 days.

How does Neptune Beach compare to the rest of Duval County?

Neptune Beach's median of $779,900 runs 148% above the county-wide median of $314,237, and homes here take 30 days to go under contract versus 44 county-wide.

Momentum Realty in Neptune Beach: our agents closed 6 homes here for buyers and sellers in the last 12 months (3 as the listing brokerage, 3 representing the buyer), median sale $893,000 (brokerage closed records through October 2026). Find a Momentum agent near Neptune Beach →

Questions

Neptune Beach housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in Neptune Beach right now?

As of October 5, 2026, the Neptune Beach housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $779,900 (up 3.2% year over year), 14 homes are for sale against 62 sales in the last 12 months, which is 4.1 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 30 days.

How much is a house in Neptune Beach?

The median home sold for $779,900 in Neptune Beach over the last 12 months, about $512 per square foot; asking prices on the 14 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in Neptune Beach?

By the numbers, sellers in Neptune Beach are getting 95.4% of asking price and going under contract in about 30 days with 4.1 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the Neptune Beach housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: Neptune Beach median sale prices are up 3.2% year over year, inventory stands at 4.1 months of supply, and 10% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in Neptune Beach?

The median sale price in Neptune Beach is currently $779,900, up 3.2% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 5, 2026.

Is Neptune Beach a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. Neptune Beach scores 56 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 4.1 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in Neptune Beach?

The typical home in Neptune Beach goes under contract in about 30 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in Neptune Beach?

There are approximately 14 active listings in Neptune Beach as of October 5, 2026.

Are home prices in Neptune Beach rising or falling?

Median sale prices are up 3.2% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

How many homes has Momentum Realty sold in Neptune Beach?

Momentum Realty's agents closed 6 homes in Neptune Beach for buyers and sellers in the last 12 months (3 as the listing brokerage, 3 representing the buyer), median sale $893,000 (brokerage closed records through October 2026). The count is our brokerage's own closed transactions and is refreshed nightly; it is not a market total.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across Neptune Beach. Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 5, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.