Bay Run Sec 03
Homes for Sale in Orlando, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Bay Run Sec 03 right now
🔴 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($420K) is down 8.1% from the prior 12 months ($457K) and up 215% since 2012. With about 4 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 15. Confidence: Low (5 and 5 sales in the two windows).
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Updated July 15, 2026 · Live data: Stellar MLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Bay Run Sec 03 market snapshot (as of July 15, 2026): the median sale price is about $420K ($223 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 34 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 8% from the prior 12 months and up 215% since 2012, computed from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales (5 closings in the current window).
Bay Run Sec 03 is a community of 212 homes in Orlando, Orange County, built between 1973 and 1993 (median 1983.0), with a median living area of about 1,883 square feet. 81% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 15 of each year, from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($420K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($457K) IS the -8.1% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 9 sales each (5 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period %s through %s. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The Bay Run Sec 03 buying strategy.
If we were buying in Bay Run Sec 03 today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Bay Run Sec 03.
A closer look at the Bay Run Sec 03 market
At a median of $223 per square foot, Bay Run Sec 03 prices sit in a fairly defined band, so condition and updates — more than the list price — tend to separate one home from the next.
The trailing-12-month median down 8% year over year. Homes that do trade take a median 34 days on market, useful leverage on any listing that has lingered.
The housing stock is 212 homes built between 1973 and 1993, and 81% of parcels are homesteaded — the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Bay Run Sec 03. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Bay Run Sec 03 buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 4 factors (6.9). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +215% since 2012; Recent Direction -8.1% year-over-year; Owner Commitment 81% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 93.0% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Bay Run Sec 03 buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Bay Run Sec 03 sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Bay Run Sec 03, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Bay Run Sec 03 home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Bay Run Sec 03, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
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Recent Developments in Bay Run Sec 03
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Bay Run Sec 03, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- July 2026Development
Capstone begins construction on The Gateway luxury apartments
Capstone Building Corp began construction on The Gateway, a 270-unit apartment community at 7250 Shadowridge Drive in Orlando, developed by JBL Development. The five-story gated project spans more than 417,000 square feet and is expected to be completed in late 2027. Amenities include a saltwater pool, fitness center, pickleball court, and a clubhouse with a restaurant and bar.
What it may mean for the marketAdds 270 market rate apartments in a five story building with resort style amenities, expanding the local rental housing stock in the Airport Lakes area of south Orlando. The project is about 7 miles south of Bay Run Sec 03, elsewhere in Orange County.
Source: Construction Owners - July 2026Development
Orange County opens Enclave at Canopy Park with 104 affordable units
Orange County opened The Enclave at Canopy Park, a 104-unit affordable apartment community at 4440 Canopy Park Loop developed by Archway Partners. The county contributed 3 million dollars from its Affordable Housing Trust Fund. The community includes one and two bedroom homes plus a community center, fitness center, technology lab, and EV charging.
What it may mean for the marketAdds 104 income-restricted apartment homes to the local rental supply along with new community amenities and green-certified construction. The project is about 4 miles southwest of Bay Run Sec 03, elsewhere in Orange County.
Source: ClickOrlando - July 2026Civic
Orange County previews new Innovation Center on West Colonial Drive
Orange County previewed its new Innovation Center at 7149 West Colonial Drive, located within the county's Multicultural Center and Senior Center complex, with an official opening set for Fall 2026. The center will offer technology programs including 3D printing and makerspace prototyping through the Orange County Library System, plus career exploration and workforce training through CareerSource Central Florida.
What it may mean for the marketAdds a county operated civic and technology facility with library and workforce programming to the West Colonial corridor. The project is about 6 miles west of Bay Run Sec 03, elsewhere in Orange County.
Source: Orange County Newsroom - June 2026Development
Mixed-use high-rise redesigned for 924 and 934 North Magnolia Avenue
A redesigned 17-story mixed-use high-rise was proposed for 924 and 934 North Magnolia Avenue in Orlando's North Quarter district by Acram Group. The project would include 350 residential units, about 3,300 square feet of ground-floor commercial space, and a parking garage with 510 spaces, replacing two 1972 office buildings. A public plaza is planned at the corner of Magnolia and Weber Street.
What it may mean for the marketWould replace two aging office buildings with 350 residences, ground floor retail, and structured parking, adding housing density and a public plaza along the Orlando Urban Trail. The site is about 1 mile northwest of Bay Run Sec 03.
Source: Florida YIMBY - June 2026Development
Planning board approves zoning for 37-story tower at 170 East Washington Street
Orlando's Municipal Planning Board voted to approve a Planned Development amendment for a 37-story, 425-foot mixed-use tower at 170 East Washington Street across from Lake Eola Park. The project would include 252 residential units, a 221-room hotel, a three-story restaurant, and structured parking. It still requires City Council consideration before construction.
What it may mean for the marketWould add a 37 story tower with 252 residences and a hotel to the downtown skyline, replacing a prior approval for a 7 story hotel and increasing high density housing and parking supply. The site is less than a mile northwest of Bay Run Sec 03.
Source: Florida YIMBY - March 2026Development
Orlando approves the 380-acre Dowden Central Community Development District in Lake Nona
Orlando approved the Dowden Central Community Development District, a roughly 380-acre district in the Lake Nona area of southeast Orlando, in March 2026. The district provides the framework to build roads, drainage, utilities, and parks for future development phases.
What it may mean for the marketA new community development district lays the groundwork for large-scale growth in the Lake Nona area, a step that typically precedes new housing and commercial activity nearby. The site is about 12 miles southeast of Bay Run Sec 03.
Source: ClickOrlando
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
Frequently Asked Questions
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What share of Bay Run Sec 03 is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Bay Run Sec 03 built?
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Have Bay Run Sec 03 home prices gone up?
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Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 15, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (4 streets, ZIP 32825)) |
| Under-contract shares | Stellar MLS records, as of 2026-07-12 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2005 (59 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of Stellar MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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